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Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February
The gold price rose to its highest level in nearly seven weeks on Wednesday and was on track to post the largest daily increase since February due?to lower Treasury rates and hopes of progress regarding opening the Strait of Hormuz. By 11:04 am, spot gold had risen 4.4% per ounce to $4256.85. The spot gold price rose 4.4% to $4,256.85 per ounce at 11:04 a.m. ET (1504 GMT), after reaching $4,258.99 - its highest level since June 18 - and breaking above the 50 day moving average. It now stands at $4,160. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 4% to $4317.40. The early adopters have returned to precious metals, as the probability of rate increases has decreased since last week. The dollar is down sharply, which helps. "The Iran pause also helps," said Tai Wong an independent metals dealer. The dollar fell to six-week-lows against other major currencies and the yield on U.S. 10 year notes was at one-week-lows. President Donald Trump had said that his administration held "very good talks" with Iran in a full-day of negotiations. This fueled hopes that?the five month conflict might be approaching. Gold is down by 24% from its record high of $5 595 in January, and 19% since the beginning of the Iran War, which fueled concerns about energy inflation, and reinforced bets for interest rate hikes. According to the World Gold Council, the demand for gold by central banks in the first half of 2026 will be the lowest it has been since 2022. The World Gold Council reported that the outflows of gold-backed exchange traded funds totalled 45 tonnes in the second quarter. This was when bullion experienced its steepest quarterly decline since 2013. J.P.Morgan stated in a recent note that with central bank purchases?muted?, retail interest elsewhere focused and subdued demand for physical gold in Asia, the rates-sensitive ETF is now the main driver of gold prices. Wong stated that "for the metals industry to really gain steam, rate cuts must be priced in, but for now, this is a story of 2027 at the very earliest." Silver spot rose 4.9%, to $62.44 an ounce after reaching its highest level since the 6th of July. Palladium rose 1.6% to $1.374.75, while platinum remained at $1.735.28. The prices are the highest they have been since June 17th and June 2nd, respectively. Standard Chartered's Suki Cooper said that "Platinum & palladium has priced in many headwinds" since the beginning of the conflict. These include concerns?over a slowing in auto production, a growing market share EVs & the potential for recycling growth. She believes that platinum will be in short supply this year, and palladium will become a surplus by 2026. (Reporting from Sukanya Mittra and Noel John, in Bengaluru; and Polina Devitt, in London. Additional reporting by Anjana Anil. Editing by Shailesh Kumar and Joyjeet Das.
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Gold jumps over 3% due to weaker dollar. Eyes on Mideast developments
Gold prices jumped by over 3% in?Wednesday's trading, mainly due to a weaker dollar. The?dollar fell and Treasury yields dropped, as markets watched developments in the Middle East to get fresh signals about inflation and interest rates outlook. By 09:44 am EDT (1344 GMT), spot gold had risen 3%, to $4199.78 an ounce. Bullion reached its highest level since the 22nd of June earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures increased 2.6% to $4260.80. Tai Wong is an independent metals dealer. He said, "Two consecutive days of lower yields combined with a week of softer dollars seem to have cleared the way for gold and silver." The U.S. Dollar was at its lowest level against the Japanese currency since?three months. This made dollar-priced gold more affordable to overseas buyers. Meanwhile, yields on U.S. 10 year notes were hovering?near a one-week-low. The ADP National Employment Report showed that the growth of private payrolls in the United States slowed down in July. Payrolls increased by 44,000, which was below what economists expected, who had predicted a gain of 70,000. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kahkari said that he believed now was the right time to begin slowly increasing interest rates. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders?are pricing in about a 57% probability of a rate increase at the central bank's meeting on September. Due to its non-yielding characteristics, higher interest rates may reduce the appeal of bullion. Donald Trump, the U.S. President, said that his administration has had "very positive discussions" with Iran. This fuels expectations for a quick end to this five-month conflict. Spot'silver' rose by 4.2%, to $62.05 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.5%, to $1.725.58, reaching its highest price since June 17. Palladium also climbed 0.5%, to $1.359.80 and reached its highest price since early June. (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)
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The Russian central bank claims that higher fuel prices in Russia have accelerated the consumer price increase
The Russian central bank published the minutes of its July 24 meeting on Wednesday. They stated that higher fuel prices in Russia accelerated the consumer price growth in June by 0.3% and by 0.2% in the first half. After Ukrainian drone attacks on oil refining facilities disrupted the supply, Russians experienced a 'fuel shortage across all 11 time zones of the country. This led to long queues, higher gas prices, and rationing in some regions. Authorities say that the?situation? has stabilised?in many areas. Central bank officials said that the total direct and indirect impact on inflation of the fuel price increase will not exceed 1.5% for the entire year. The benchmark interest rate was cut to 14% from 14.25% on July 24, despite an 'inflation spike linked to Ukrainian drone strikes on major oil refineries and ecommerce warehouses. The regulator stated that most?board members thought there was room for more rate cuts in this?year, although the scope had shrunk. Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya, Writing by Anastasia Teterevleva, Editing by Andrew Osborn
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TAE, a developer of fusion energy, signs an agreement for future fuel supply options with helium-3
TAE Technologies, a developer of fusion energy, announced on Wednesday that it had signed a deal with Black Moon Energy, whose private company could 'provide helium-3 as a fuel option in the future for its planned power plant. Nuclear fusion is still a long way from commercial power plants. Developers are still trying to prove the performance of reactors, attract capital, and ensure long-term supply. TAE has raised over $1 billion from Alphabet, Google, and Chevron. It is planning to build its first fusion plant, Da Vinci. The power plant will be able to generate 50 megawatts of electricity. Site selection is planned for later this year and operations are expected to start in 2031. The company stated that future power plants will be designed to produce between 350 and 500 megawatts. According to the companies, this agreement also includes collaboration in commercial development. Michl Binderbauer, TAE's chief executive officer, said that the agreement could offer a "alternative fuel supply option" as the company transitions to commercial power generation. Trump Media announced in December that it would acquire TAE through an all-stock transaction valued at more than $6 billion. This deal would create a publicly-traded fusion-energy firm. In 'June, the companies had planned to spin-off Trump Media's legacy business in social media, including Truth Social, and other assets into a separate listed entity. The Foothill Ranch, California-based firm expects to file merger-related documents to U.S. regulators, and complete the transaction by the end of 2026. This is subject to regulatory approvals, and other closing conditions.
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India eyes Venezuela blocks operatorship; regains Russia's Sakhalin-1 stake
India's Oil and Natural Gas 'Corp (ONGC) hopes to sign agreements soon with Venezuela 'to operate two oil 'blocks under the South 'American nation's 'new petroleum 'law', its finance chief'said 'on Wednesday. ONGC Videsh (ONGC Videsh is the overseas investment arm of the state-run ONGC) holds a stake of 40% in the San Cristobal oil field, and along with other Indian firms, a stake 18% in the Carabobo-1 Project. "Now, we are able to work freely on Venezuelan projects." We had restricted our operations in Venezuela because of sanctions-related risks," said finance director Anupam agarwal on a?analyst's call following the company's earnings for the June quarter. He said Venezuela offered additional incentives under its 'petroleum laws' and that ONGC was experienced in 'operating fields of similar geology? in India. He said, "We are taking over operatorship of some projects from PDVSA, we believe we will soon see positive developments." RUSSIAN SKHALIN-1 ASSET Agarwal stated that ONGC regained their 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 project for oil and gas after a four-year gap. He said that the restored stake increased the group's revenue contribution to the project from 5 billion to 6 billion rupees. After the West imposed broad?sanctions against Moscow in response to its invasion of Ukraine, Sakhalin-1 was transferred by Russia to a new domestic operator. ONGC has agreed to pay?payments to the Sakhalin-1 Abandonment Fund?in roubles, using dividends that have been frozen in Russia. This will allow it to keep its 20% stake, as was reported last year.
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India eyes Venezuela blocks operatorship; regains Russia's Sakhalin-1 stake
India's Oil and Natural Gas 'Corp (ONGC) hopes to sign agreements soon with Venezuela 'to operate two oil 'blocks under the South 'American nation's 'new petroleum 'law', its finance chief'said 'on Wednesday. ONGC Videsh (ONGC Videsh is the overseas investment arm of the state-run ONGC) holds a stake of 40% in the San Cristobal oil field, and along with other Indian firms, an 18% share in the Carabobo-1 Project. "Now, we are able to work freely on Venezuelan projects." We had restricted our operations in Venezuela because of sanctions-related risks," said finance director Anupam agarwal on a?analyst's call following the company's earnings for the June quarter. He said Venezuela offered additional incentives under its 'petroleum laws' and that ONGC was experienced in?operating similar geology - fields?in India. He said, "We are taking over operatorship of some projects from PDVSA." We believe that we will soon see positive developments. The new agreements have been signed. RUSSIAN SKHALIN-1 ASSET Agarwal stated that ONGC regained their 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 project for oil and gas after a four-year gap. He said that the restored stake increased the group's revenue contribution to the project from 5 billion-6 billion rupees per quarter, up to a total of?10 billion Indian?rupees (about 105.13 millions dollars). After the West imposed broad?sanctions against Moscow in response to its invasion of Ukraine, Sakhalin-1 was transferred by Russia to a new domestic operator. ONGC has agreed to pay?payments to the Sakhalin-1 Abandonment Fund?in roubles, using dividends that have been frozen in Russia. This will allow it to keep its 20% stake, as was reported last year.
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Reliance's luxury unit brings Kim Kardashian SKIMS to India
Reliance Brands is the luxury retail arm of Reliance Retail. They have partnered with Kim Kardashian's SKIMS in order to bring this shapewear brand into India. This comes as global companies race to enter India's growing fashion and beauty market. The company, which is a subsidiary of Mukesh-Ambani's Reliance Industries, said that it would launch the SKIMS name across both physical and digital channels?starting in Delhi and Mumbai. Indian beauty retailers are racing to introduce international brands into the country as Gen Z and younger consumers gravitate towards global trends in beauty and brands backed by celebrities, thanks to social media. This year, Indian beauty and fashion retailer Nykaa teamed up both with Selena Gomez’s Rare Beauty as well as Shiseido Group’s NARS Cosmetics. SKIMS is a new partnership that will add to Reliance Retail’s growing portfolio of foreign brands, including Rihanna’s Fenty Beauty, Fenty Skin and designer brands like Stella McCartney and Valentino. The entry of SKIMS comes at a time when India's shapewear industry is booming, with a mix?of?homegrown direct to consumer brands, such as Underneat, competing for customers. SKIMS, founded in 2019, has recently opened'stores in London and Dubai after raising $225m in funding which valued the company at 5 billion dollars.
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Phillips 66 surpasses its quarterly expectations as the Iran War boosts US refining profits
Phillips 66'reported a nearly 4-fold increase in'second-quarter profits on Wednesday, crushing Wall Street expectations, as the Middle East conflic? squeezed global fuel suppli?es and sent U.S. refinery margins soaring. The Iran War has been a boon to U.S. refiners, as buyers from around the world have scrambled for alternative fuels amid fears of disruptions in Middle Eastern exports. Fuel exports from the United States have reached record levels, especially for diesel and other refined fuels. Phillips' refining segment reported a record jump in earnings adjusted to $3.09 Billion from $392 MILLION a year ago. The?realized profit margin? in the second quarter?more than?doubled from a year ago to $24.08 a barrel. The company's quarterly net profit was $3.85 billion. This is its highest quarterly profit since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, which disrupted global supply chain and increased refinery earnings. In premarket trading, shares of the company increased 1.4% to $208,67. Phillips 66’s renewable fuel segment reported a quarterly adjusted profit of $544 million compared to a loss of $133 millions a year ago. After years of margin pressures, U.S. refiners have begun to see better returns on renewable fuels. This is due to a recent rise in the blending of biofuels mandates as well as a rise in diesel prices related to the Middle East conflict. According to data compiled and published by LSEG, Houston-based Phillips 66 posted an adjusted profit of $9.41 for the three months ended June 30 compared to analysts' average estimates of $7.44.
The top cases in the US Supreme Court docket
The U.S. Supreme Court has a number of important cases on its docket during the current term. These include issues like presidential powers, tariffs and birthright citizenship. Other topics are race, transgender sportspeople, campaign finance laws, voting rights, LGBT “conversion therapy”, religious rights and capital penalty. The term began in October, and will run through June. Separately, the court has also acted in emergency cases in several cases that challenge President Donald Trump's policy.
TRUMP'S FIRE OF FED OFFICIAL Justices expressed skepticism about Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, a move that could threaten the independence of the central bank. The justices said they would not grant Trump's request for a judge to overturn a decision that prevented him from firing Cook immediately while her legal case played out. Congress created the Fed by passing a law, the Federal Reserve Act, that contained provisions to protect the central bank against political interference. The law stipulated that governors could only be fired "for cause" by the president, though it did not define this term or establish procedures for its removal. Trump claimed that Cook's firing was due to unproven allegations of mortgage fraud, which she has denied. Cook, who is still in her post, said that the allegations were a pretext for firing her because of monetary policy disagreements, as Trump pressures the Fed to reduce interest rates. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
TRUMP TARIFFS During arguments on the 5th of November, the justices raised questions about the legality Trump's sweeping Tariffs. This case?with implications for global economic?marks a major test to Trump's power. Both conservative and liberal justices questioned the lawyer for Trump's administration on whether or not a 1977 law intended to be used during national emergencies had given Trump the authority he claimed to impose a tariff, or if the president infringed upon the powers of Congress. Some conservative justices emphasized the inherent power of presidents when dealing with foreign nations, indicating that the court may be divided on the outcome. Lower courts ruled Trump had overreached by invoking the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act in order to impose tariffs. This was challenged by 12 U.S. States and various businesses. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
Birthright Citizenship The court agreed to rule on the legality Trump's directive restricting birthright citizenship. This is a controversial part of Trump’s efforts to curb immigration, and would change the way a 19th-century constitutional provision was long understood. The lower court ruled against Trump's executive orders that instructed U.S. agencies to not recognize citizenship for children born in the U.S. when neither parent was an American citizen, or a legal permanent resident (also known as a "green-card" holder). The court found that Trump's directive violated the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution and federal law codifying the birthright citizenship rights. This was in response to a class action lawsuit filed by parents and their children who felt threatened by this directive. Arguments in the case have not been scheduled.
LOUISIANA ELECTORAL DISTRECTS The conservative justices of the court signaled on October 15, their willingness to undermine another key section in the Voting Right Act, the landmark 1965 legislation enacted by Congress in order to prevent racial bias in voting. This was during the arguments in a significant?case involving Louisiana's electoral districts. The case centers on Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, which prohibits voting maps that dilute the power of minorities without proof of racism. The lower court found that the Louisiana electoral map, which divided the six U.S. House of Representatives district into two districts with a majority of Black people instead of one before, violated the Constitution promise of equal treatment. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
Federal Trade Commission Firing The conservative justices of the court have indicated that they will uphold Trump's legality in firing a Federal Trade Commission Member and also give a "historic boost" to presidential power, while also putting at risk a 90-year old legal precedent. On December 8, the court heard arguments in the Justice Department appeal of the lower court's ruling that the Republican President exceeded his authority by dismissing Democratic FTC member Rebecca Slaughter before the term she was due to finish. The conservative justices seemed sympathetic to the Trump Administration's argument that tenure protections granted by Congress to independent agency heads unlawfully infringed on presidential powers under the U.S. Constitution. Trump was allowed to remove Slaughter until the case concluded. The court is expected to make a decision by the end June.
TRANSGENDER SPORTS PARTIcipation The conservative justices seemed ready to uphold the state laws that ban transgender athletes to female sports teams, amid an escalating nationwide effort to restrict transgender rights. On January 13, the court heard arguments from Idaho and West Virginia in appeals of lower court decisions siding with transgender student who challenged the bans as being in violation of the U.S. Constitution, and a federal antidiscrimination act. 25 other states also have laws similar to Idaho's. The conservative justices expressed concerns over imposing a uniform law on the whole country, amid a sharp disagreement and uncertainty about whether medications such as puberty-blocking hormones or gender affirming hormones remove male physiological advantages in sport. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
LGBT 'CONVERSION THERAPEUTY'
During arguments on October 7, the conservatives of the?court appeared to be ready to support a challenge to a Colorado statute that prohibits psychotherapists from performing "conversion therapy", which aims to change minors' sexual orientation or gender identities. A Christian licensed counsellor challenged the law based on the First Amendment's protections from government abridgment. Colorado said that it regulates professional conduct and not speech and has the legal power to prohibit a healthcare practice they deem unsafe and ineffective. A lower court upheld this law. A decision is expected to be made by the end June.
HAWAII GUNS LAW The conservative Justices expressed skepticism about a Hawaii gun law which restricts the carry of handguns on private property that is open to the public, as are most businesses. They appeared ready to expand the right to own a firearm again. On January 20, the court heard arguments in an appeal filed by opponents of the law, backed by Trump's administration. The challengers were appealing a ruling by a judge that Hawaii's Democratic backed measure probably complied with the U.S. Constitution’s Second Amendment right. Hawaii's law demands that a property owner "expressly authorize" the bringing of a handgun on private property. Four other states in the United States have laws similar to Hawaii's. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
Drug Users and Guns On March 2, the justices will hear arguments from the Trump administration in a Texas case that involves a dual American/Pakistani national to defend a federal gun law which prohibits users of illegal drugs. Hunter Biden, son of former president Joe Biden, was charged under this law in 2023. The Justice Department appealed a lower court ruling which found that the gun restrictions were in violation of the Second Amendment rights to "keep and carry arms" guaranteed by the U.S. Constitution. The Gun Control Act, which was passed in 1968, prohibited gun ownership by drug users.
CAMPAIGN-FINANCE On December 9, the court heard arguments in a Republican led bid to overturn federal spending limits by political parties coordinated with candidates. The case involved Vice President JDVance. The conservative justices seemed to be sympathetic towards the challenge. However, the three liberal members of the court appeared inclined to maintain the spending limits. The debate centers around whether federal limits on campaign spending coordinated with candidates' input violate First Amendment protections against government abridgment. Vance and Republican challengers have appealed the ruling of a lower court that upheld restrictions regarding the amount of money political parties can spend in campaigns, with input from candidates who they support. This type of spending is called coordinated party expenses. The ruling is expected to be made by the end of June.
MAIL-IN-BALLOTS The Mississippi state court will hear the defense of a law that Republicans are challenging. This law allows for a five-day period to count mail-in votes received after Election Day. This case could lead to stricter voting laws in other states. A lower court declared illegal a state law that allows mail-in votes sent by certain voters be counted even if the postmark was made on or before Election Day, but they are received up to 5 business days after an election. Arguments in this case have not been scheduled.
U.S. ASYLUM - PROCESSING - The court accepted to hear the Trump Administration's defense to the U.S. Government's authority to restrict the processing of asylum requests at ports of entry on the U.S. - Mexico border. The Trump administration appealed the lower court's ruling that the "metering policy" - which allowed U.S. Immigration officials to stop asylum seekers and refuse to process their claims at the border - violated federal laws. Former President Joe Biden rescinded the policy, but Trump has said that he would be open to resuming its use. Arguments in the case have not been scheduled.
HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES ABROAD HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES ABROAD HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES ABROAD - The Court heard an appeal from Cisco Systems, in which both the company and Trump administration asked the court to limit the scope of a federal statute that was used to hold companies liable for abuses committed by corporations abroad. Cisco appealed the 2023 ruling which gave new life to a lawsuit filed in 2011 accusing the California-based firm of developing technology allowing China's government surveillance and persecution of members of the FalunGong spiritual movement. The Alien Tort Statute was the basis of the lawsuit. This 1789 law had lain dormant in U.S. courtrooms for almost two centuries, before attorneys began to use it in the 1980s in international human rights cases. Arguments in the case have not been scheduled.
CRISIS PRGNANCY CENTERS In a dispute arising from an investigation by the New Jersey Attorney General into whether or not these facilities engaged in deceptive practice, the court seems to be inclined to side with the Christian faith-based "crisis pregnancies centers" that are anti-abortion. During the December 2 arguments, a'majority' of the justices appeared to be inclined to revive a lawsuit filed by First Choice Women's Resource Centers against Democratic Attorney General Matthew Platkin's subpoena 2023 seeking information about the organization's doctors and donors. First Choice's facilities are designed to discourage women from getting abortions. The decision is expected to be made by the end June.
RASTAFARIAN INMATE The conservative justices seemed inclined to reject the Rastafarian inmate's attempt to sue Louisiana state prison officials after they shaved him bald, in violation of religious beliefs. The case was argued in front of the court on 10 November under a federal statute protecting incarcerated persons from religious discrimination. Plaintiff Damon Landor's religion requires that he let his hair grow. He appealed the decision of a lower court to dismiss his lawsuit, because they found that he could not sue officials individually for monetary damages under the statute in question. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
DEATH ROW INMATE The court heard arguments in December in an attempt by Alabama officials in order to pursue the execution. An inmate who was convicted of a murder in 1997 had been found to be intellectually handicapped and therefore ineligible for the death penalty. The Republican-led state has appealed a lower court ruling that Joseph Clifton Smith was intellectually disabled based upon his intelligence quotient (IQ), test scores, and expert testimony. In a 2002 Supreme Court decision, the court ruled that executing a person intellectually challenged violated the Eighth Amendment of U.S. Constitution prohibiting cruel and unusual punishment. The Supreme Court is expected to rule by the end June.
FCC FINES FOR WIRELESS CARRIER The Justices will hear the dispute over fines levied by the Federal Communications Commission against major U.S. carriers who shared customer location data with other companies without their consent. This is the latest case that has reached the Supreme Court challenging the authority of an American regulatory agency. The case concerns the FCC's efforts to impose tens-of-millions-of-dollars in fines on carriers like Verizon Communications and AT&T before they had a chance in court. Arguments in the case have not been scheduled.
COX COPYRIGHT DISSERT The court heard arguments in December in an attempt by Cox Communications, a provider of internet services, to avoid financial responsibility in a major copyright lawsuit brought by record labels who accused Cox of allowing its customers to piracy thousands of songs. Justices appeared to be skeptical about Cox's claim that mere knowledge of user piracy was not enough for it to be held liable for copyright violations. A lower court ordered that a new trial be held to determine the amount of money Cox owes Sony Music Group, Warner Music Group Universal Music Group, and other labels in relation to contributory copyright violations. Cox, which is the largest division of privately-owned Cox Enterprises said that the retrial may result in a verdict of up to $1.5 billion against it. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
(source: Reuters)