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India and central Asian countries express joint interest in rare earths exploration
In a statement released after the India-Central Asia Dialogue's fourth meeting in New Delhi, India and five countries from central Asia expressed an interest in exploring rare earths together. The announcement coincides with global alarm about China's decision not to export rare earth alloys and mixtures. This has affected industries from automotives to clean energy and defence. India and central Asian countries, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan as well as Uzbekistan, also asked "relevant authorities" to convene the India-Central Asia Rare Earth Forum sooner than the September meeting. The statement added that the sides agreed to meet again in 2026. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 elements, whose main uses include the creation of magnets for motion in cars, cellphones and missiles. China produces 90% of the rare earth magnets in the world and mines 60% of it. However, as part of a sweeping response to U.S. tariffs on imports by President Donald Trump, China announced export restrictions for these rare earth magnets. India has been in talks with companies about establishing long-term stocks of rare earth magnets, offering tax incentives to domestic producers, to reduce its dependence on Chinese shipments, according to a report on Thursday. South Asia also plans to offer incentives to recycle 24 essential minerals. The plan is currently being approved as the nation looks to secure minerals for the green energy transition. (Reporting and writing by Shivam Patel; editing by Alex Richardson, David Evans, and Sakshi Dayal)
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US declares Biden fuel efficiency rules exceed legal authority
The Transportation Department has paved the road for looser fuel economy standards in the United States by declaring on Friday that former President Joe Biden’s administration overstepped its authority when it assumed a high uptake of electrical vehicles to calculate rules. The Department made this declaration when it published its final "Resetting of the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency Program" (CAFE). Fuel economy requirements will be revised by a separate rule issued by the Trump administration. "We make vehicles more affordable in the United States and we are making it easier to manufacture them." In a statement, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said that the previous administration used CAFE standards to mandate electric vehicles. In writing the rule under Biden last year, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration of the Department of Transportation (NHTSA) "assumed that significant numbers of EVs will continue to be manufactured regardless of the standards established by the agency," the department said on Friday. Duffy signed in January an order that directed NHTSA to cancel fuel economy standards set under Biden, for model years 2022-2031. These standards were intended to reduce the fuel consumption of cars and trucks. Late Thursday Senate Republicans have proposed to eliminate fines for failing to meet CAFE standards as part of an extensive tax bill. This is the latest step to make it easier for automakers build gas-powered cars. In 2018, Chrysler's parent company Stellantis, which is owned by Chrysler, paid nearly $400 million in penalties between 2016 and 2019. GM paid $128.2 millions in penalties between 2016 and 2017. Stellantis stated that it backed the Senate Republican proposal, "to provide relief until DOT develops their proposal to reset CAFE standards." The current standards are not in line with the market realities and immediate relief is needed to preserve affordability and freedom. GM has declined to comment. NHTSA, under Biden in June 2024, said that it would increase CAFE requirements for light-duty vehicle to approximately 50.4 miles per liter (4.67 litres per 100 km), from 39.1 mpg at present. Last year, the agency estimated that the rule for cars and trucks could reduce gasoline consumption and emissions by 659 millions metric tons. This would result in a reduction of fuel costs and a net benefit of $35.2 billion. (Reporting and editing by Aidan Lewis, Peter Graff, and David Shepardson)
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Trump approves coal mine expansion for Asia exports
The U.S. The U.S. The Montana-based company can now recover 22.8 million metric tonnes of federal coal, 34.5 millions of adjacent nonfederal coal as well as extend the life of its Bull Mountains mine for nine years. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum is also the co-chairman of Trump's Energy Dominance Council. He said that by unlocking more federally owned coal, it allows the U.S. a chance to strengthen ties with U.S. ally abroad. He said that President Trump's declaration of a national emergency in the energy sector allowed us to act quickly, reduce bureaucratic delays, and secure America’s future by ensuring energy independence and strategic trade. Signal Peak sent its initial plan to expand their mining operations to Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement (OSMRAE) in 2020, but it is currently under federal review and subject to litigation. The Interior Department has completed the environmental impact assessment for the mine expansion in accordance with its new policy, which speeds up such reviews by a maximum 28 days. Burgum joined Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin and Japanese and Korean officials in Alaska this week to promote an LNG and other energy exports destined for Asian market. The Bull Mountains Mine, located in Musselshell County and Yellowstone County, employs more than 250 workers, and supplies primarily Japan and South Korea. Environmental groups have attempted to block the expansion due to concerns over water consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Valerie Volcovici)
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Gold drops as US job data clouds prospects for rate cuts
Gold prices slipped on Friday after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report dampened hopes for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while silver soared to its highest level since 2012. As of 10:45 am, spot gold was down 0.6%, at $3,333.69 per ounce. ET (1445 GMT), and has risen 1.2% in the past week. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.6% to $3356.50. According to a report by the Labor Department, non-farm payrolls rose 139,000 in may, as opposed to estimates of a 130,000 increase, according economists polled. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in line with expectations. The data came in line with expectations, which is negative for gold, as it suggests that the Fed will stay on hold for some time, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Based on the trading of short-term interest rate futures, traders are hesitant to make bets on a Fed third rate reduction by year's-end. Gold is a hedge for inflation and geopolitical unrest. Gold is less attractive as a result of higher interest rates, since it does not yield any return. There was little clarity on trade policy after the call between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese leaders Xi Jinping, which took place on Thursday. These are difficult negotiations that won't be resolved over the phone. Meir said that if the headlines on tariffs turn negative, it's good for gold. After hitting a record high of more than 13 years, spot silver dropped 0.3% to 36.04. Silver's gains "appear to have been driven by speculative flow, who saw it as way too cheap in comparison with gold. The break above the 35/oz mark amplify the move," Giovanni Staunovo said, an analyst at UBS. Palladium, meanwhile, rose 3.4%, to $1,039.78, the highest level since March 20, 22. Platinum also rose 3.4%, to $1168.72. Both metals are expected to see weekly gains.
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Copper prices rise in the near future due to falling LME stocks
Due to concerns about the near-term supply of copper at the London Metal Exchange, due to the falling stock levels in LME registered warehouses, contracts with shorter maturities have been priced higher than those with longer maturity. A month ago, the discounts on nearby LME copper against forwards with longer dates were converted into premiums as COMEX prices continued to be higher than those of the LME. The premium of cash LME copper over benchmark 3-month futures The price of a ton was $75 on Thursday, but it jumped to $93 at the close. This is the highest level in over two years. The discount was $63 back in early April. The backwardation is a sign of some sort of shortage. "Normally, it's in contango," explained Dan Smith of Commodity Market Analytics. The total copper stock in the LME's warehouse system has been reduced by half since mid-February, to 132.400 tons. This is the lowest level in nearly a year. The 54,600 tonnes of available stocks (those not marked for shipment) are the lowest level since July 2023. Alastair Muuro, Senior Base Metals Strategist EMEA at Marex, explained that the sharp movement in the spread was due to new cancellations of LME stocks. He said that the premium was lower on Friday because there were no new major cancellations of title documents, such as warrants. Stocks continued to leave LME registered warehouses. Recent mine supply disruptions, traders diverting metals to the U.S. and Washington's investigation into the possibility of tariffs on imports of copper are fueling fears. Despite the fact that there is not a dominant holder of LME copper warrants (0#LMEWHL>) ahead of expiration of contracts on Wednesday the third of each month, one party had more than 90% of cash copper contracts as of June 4, helping to maintain the premium. 0#LMEWHC> (Reporting and editing by David Evans; Polina Devitt)
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Fuego volcano in Guatemala spewing ash has forced more than 700 people to evacuate
Guatemala's Fuego Volcano emitted ash miles high into the sky on Friday, as authorities evacuated 700 people as a precaution. Seismology agency INSIVUMEH reported that a lava flow was forming around the crater, which is located about 18 km away from Antigua Guatemala. It added that some ash plumes could reach up to 5 km in the air. Authorities have warned of an increase in activity around the active volcanic cone this week. "We evacuated more than 700 people who spent the night in shelters." "We evacuated them out of caution," said disaster agency CONRED on Friday. It added that people had been relocated from nearby Escuintla and Sacatepequez, as well as Chimaltenango. In a Friday evening report, INSIVUMEH reported that a lava stream could be seen stretching for 1.2 kilometers. It said that "this continues to accumulate in a unstable manner around crater, and in the higher parts of the ravines which could collapse and lead to more pyroclastic flow". Fuego is well-known for its regular activity. Fuego's most violent eruption, in June 2018, killed over 200 people. The Central American nation has 37 volcanoes. Many of these are dormant, or even extinct. Reporting by Sofia Menchu; Writing by Aida Pelaez-Fernandez, Editing by Sarah Morland & Andrew Heavens
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Sinomine, China's copper smelter in Namibia is halted due to a global shortage of concentrates.
Sinomine Resource Group, China, announced on Friday that it had temporarily suspended copper smelting at its Tsumeb facility in Namibia. The group cited a shortage in concentrate due to a rapid expansion of smelter capacities worldwide. Sinomine acquired Dundee Precious Metals' Tsumeb Smelter in 2024, which is one of only a few facilities worldwide that can treat copper concentrates containing arsenic or lead. The smelter has the capacity to process up to 240,000 tons of copper concentrate per year. It previously processed metal from Chile, Peru, and Bulgaria. The global copper smelting industry has grown rapidly in the last few years. This has led to a rapid increase in production, which has outpaced demand for the metal, whose use has been boosted in recent times by its use in technologies that generate renewable energy, such as electric vehicles. Sinomine Tsumeb Smelter's CEO Loggan Lou stated in a press release that the increased smelting capacities in major copper producing regions have "resulted a substantial overcapacity". Lou stated that "this has caused a shortage in copper concentrate and placed pressure on smelters around the world, including Tsumeb." Sinomine plans on upgrading the smelter in order to commercially produce multiple metals and minerals. Sinomine announced in September that the Tsumeb Smelter contained 746 metric tonnes of germanium. This mineral is essential for chipmaking and other applications such as solar cells, infrared technologies, fibre optic cables and infrared technology. The smelter also explores the addition of germanium or zinc smelting to the smelter.
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Russia asks UN agency for help in solving the question of US fuel at Ukraine's nuclear plant
The U.N. nuclear watchdog was asked by Russia on Friday to mediate in the dispute between Moscow and Washington over the fate of U.S. fuel that is stored at an Ukrainian power station controlled by Russian forces. Russia wants to restart Zaporizhzhia, a nuclear power plant that was idled for many years. It is located near the front line of the Ukraine war and produced a fifth or more of Ukraine's electrical output. Fuel is just one of many issues that are preventing the restart. Rafael Grossi of the International Atomic Energy Agency said this week that it is currently impossible to restart the reactor due to the lack of stable electricity and water cooling. After meeting Grossi, Alexei Likhachev, the Russian chief of nuclear energy, said that Russia would be willing to either use the fuel supplied by the U.S. firm Westinghouse or remove it completely and return it back to the United States. In a televised comment, he stated that Westinghouse and U.S. Energy officials had raised intellectual property concerns in relation to the fuel issue with Russia. Grossi was quoted by the state news agency RIA as saying that the IAEA is willing to mediate. Both Russia and Ukraine accuse the other of bombarding Europe's biggest nuclear power plant, Zaporizhzhia, increasing the risk of an accident. Likhachev stated that Russia had prepared "a comprehensive plan" for a phased commissioning. However, it could only take place if all threats to the military were removed. In March 2022, Russia occupied the facility shortly after its troops invaded Ukraine to start the war. The facility has six reactors. The last one stopped producing electricity in September 2022. (Reporting and writing by Mark Trevelyan, Gleb Stolyarov and Maxim Rodionov)
Companies reinforce currency hedges after Trump win as tariffs loom
Multinational business are beefing up their foreign exchange hedging techniques to safeguard their overseas earnings from bigger currency swings that could come from a 2nd Donald Trump presidency. Considering that the U.S. election 3 weeks back, strategists and lenders stated they are seeing more interest in options and crosscurrency swaps as companies, including those in healthcare and commercial sectors, concentrate on how volatile currencies might be under Trump.
The election is a huge driver for hedgers to think about currency danger, said Karl Schamotta, primary market strategist at payments business Corpay in Toronto.
Companies that for a long time were relatively comfortable with the instructions and the scale of exchange-rate moves are being stunned out of that complacency. Trump's election is introducing volatility into foreign-exchange markets as his success clears the method for tariffs and protectionist trade policies that were the hallmark of his first term. Trump stated on Monday he would impose a 25% tariff on all items from Mexico and Canada, and an extra 10% tariff on Chinese items, on his very first day in office, mentioning issues over prohibited immigration and illegal drugs.
The news triggered the peso to drop as much as 2%. while the Canadian dollar fell as much as 1.4%. The U.S. dollar index, which determines the U.S. currency's. strength versus 6 peers, has risen 3.5% considering that the Nov. 5. election, broadly on expectations Trump's policies on trade and. tariffs will be dollar-supportive. Scott Bessent, Trump's U.S. Treasury secretary choice, has actually favored a strong dollar and. supported tariffs. Contributing to the unpredictability is the 2026 evaluation of the United. States-Mexico-Canada trade arrangement that described tariff. provisions and was carried out throughout Trump's first term. Trump. has stated he means to make the agreement a much better offer,. although information of changes are unclear.
Trump's very first term, which was marked by huge swings in. trade-sensitive currencies, highlighted the need for more. hedging, experts stated.
At the exact same time, global reserve banks are trying to. stabilize interest-rate policy while balancing development and. inflation concerns, another potential source of volatility in. the coming months.
About 94% of senior finance decision-makers at UK and U.S. companies in a Nov. 7-18 MillTechFX survey said the U.S. election outcome was triggering them to change their. foreign-exchange hedging strategies.
Some are looking for to extend the duration of hedges, while. others look to bump up their hedge ratios - the proportion of. their overall foreign-exchange exposure that is protected.
LOWER FOREIGN EARNINGS
Amongst currencies that business are wanting to hedge are the. Mexican peso and the euro.
A stronger dollar means U.S. companies' foreign revenue is. worth less when transformed to dollars, which erodes revenues. The. S&P 500 produces 41% of profits outside the U.S., according to. John Butters, senior earnings expert at FactSet. The Mexican peso, which has actually fallen 2% given that the election and. almost 17% year-to-date as of Monday's close, is particularly in. Trump's crosshairs. The close U.S. trading partner is susceptible. to tariffs, which might disrupt business supply chains.
Although the interest-rate differential between the U.S. and. Mexico has tightened up because the election, the cost of hedging. long peso positions has actually increased because of the peso's slide,. said Paula Comings, head of foreign-exchange sales at US Bank .
Those selling MXN and buying dollars may be reluctant right. now to add to forward hedging volumes, but are looking at. choices as a possible alternative, Comings said.
Companies are likewise confronted with tighter credit requirements from. loan providers and increasing hedging expenses, stated Tom Hoyle, service. development director at MillTechFX, a currency trading platform,. which has actually increased FX choice usage.
Ultimately, if services want to protect themselves. longer-term, they will either need to take in higher expenses or. try to find alternatives, he added.
Lots of companies anticipate trade unpredictability to weigh heavily on. East Asia and Europe as well, according to the study.
Comings said the effect on the euro, down some 4% versus. the dollar given that the election, was not priced in ahead of the. election as much as in Mexico's and China's currencies. It is. now being pressed by tariff talks, an ailing German economy. and weakness in making throughout parts of Europe.
Comings is seeing some U.S. healthcare and industrial. companies express interest in using euro cross-currency swaps to. handle currency risks and lower their interest payments. Annual. return on these euro/dollar agreements has increased since the. election to as much as 2% on contracts two years or longer,. highlighting the allure of these contracts.
The election outcomes have exacerbated the requirement to. understand at what rates some companies may not be able to afford. doing worldwide organization if included tariffs and/or policies. are something that will likewise require to be represented, stated. Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA.
(source: Reuters)