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Japan imports in August jump as oil costs rise, but exports remain firm

Japan's imports rose sharply for a third ?straight month in August as ?higher crude oil prices lifted energy ?costs, ?while exports rose for a 12th month in a row on resilient semiconductor-related demand, government data showed on Wednesday.

The Ministry of Finance reported that total imports in August grew by 28% compared to a year ago, against a market expectation of a 26.3% rise. This was due to the fact that higher crude oil prices?boosted energy imports, despite a spike in the yen after a rare joint intervention of buying yen with the United States.

The figures show how rising energy costs are increasing import bills, and causing inflationary pressures. This reinforces expectations that the Bank of Japan will increase interest rates on Friday at the conclusion of its two-day meeting.

Exports rose by value by?19.3% in August, against the median economists' forecast of an increase of 18.2%. This follows a 23.2% jump in July.

The data revealed that exports to the U.S. increased by 24.9% from the previous year, and those to China rose by 20.6%.

The rising cost of energy imports kept Japan's balance of trade in the red in August. This was despite economists' expectations of a deficit in the region of 1.053 trillion dollars.

As attacks on Middle East energy and shipping infrastructure have raised concerns over supply disruptions, oil prices are expected to continue rising in Japan in the coming months.

Analysts said that higher import costs, coupled with solid exports and increasing wages, could make the case for further rate increases in the months to come after Friday's widely anticipated 25-basis point hike.

Sources familiar with its thinking say that the BOJ could signal a faster rate of future hikes if price pressures increase the risk of inflation exceeding its forecasts.

Japan's economy has remained resilient in spite of supply chain disruptions. Revised data showed that the growth rate for the April-June period was higher than originally estimated. This was supported by stronger business spending than reported previously.

(source: Reuters)