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Bank of Spain warns of the potential for higher rents if mortgage lending is restricted

On Thursday, the Bank of Spain said that it is carefully calibrating any potential restrictions on mortgage lending to improve the resilience of both households and banks while not increasing rent prices.

The 'authority' is developing a framework which would enable it to activate macroprudential limitations on lending standards when necessary to prevent risky loans.

It estimated in its semi-annual report on financial stability that these measures will shift a part of the housing from ownership to rental, leading to likely lower house prices. It warned that the measures could have a knock-on effect on other variables, such as the rental price, and undermine the effectiveness of the plan.

It said that any'such measures' should be calibrated carefully. Rents are rising at a rate well above inflation, with 10% increases in 2024, and 5% increases in 2025. This is in a housing market that has an estimated deficit of 700,000 houses.

In 2025, home prices will rise at a rate of 9.7% per year, but they are still 14.7% lower than the peak in 2007, when Spain's bubble burst and forced the banks to be bailed out. Financial Stability Director Daniel Perez Cid said at a press briefing that the institution has not yet detected signs of a real estate bubble, such as excessive growth in credit.

The stock of mortgage loans grew by a staggering 3.7 percent in the fourth quarter 2025, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of growth. However, it is still far below the levels of 2000-2008.

In March, the number of new mortgage loans in Spain increased by 9.6% compared to last year.

As of March, Spanish lenders offered the second lowest mortgage rates in the Eurozone. They averaged?2,75%. However, their?approaches differ. Santander's new mortgage lending increased by 44% in Spain in the first quarter compared to the previous year, while Bankinter decreased it by 40%. (Reporting and editing by Andrei Khalip, with Jesus Aguado)

(source: Reuters)