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Oil prices rise, while stocks fall as Iran tightens its grip on the Strait of Hormuz

Oil prices rose 6% and stocks fell on Monday as Iran intensified its military campaign, attacking several ships in Strait of Hormuz?and?setting a UAE port of oil ablaze.

Brent futures rose by $6.27 or 5.8% to $114.44 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, rose $4.48 or 4.4% to $106.42. The move came after U.S. president Donald Trump announced over the weekend that U.S. Navy forces would open the strait, leading to the biggest escalation of the war since the ceasefire was declared.

Since two months, the Strait of Hormuz has been seriously disrupted. It is through this strait that a fifth of all oil and gas transported by sea in the world normally passes.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average?was down 1.13%. The S&P 500 was 0.41% lower. And the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.19%.

The longer oil prices remain above $100 per barrel, the less the fiscal stimulus from the tax cuts that were passed in 2025 will be a stimulus and more likely to act as a shock-absorber, said Brock Weimer. MSCI's broadest?global share index outside Japan dropped 0.22%. German automakers in Europe weighed on regional equity after Trump announced on Friday that he would "raise tariffs" on European cars.

The STOXX 600 index for the whole of Europe fell by 0.99%. The benchmark 10-year bond rate for the Euro Zone, Germany, increased 5 basis points, to 3.08%. London's markets were closed due to a public holiday.

CENTRAL BANKS TURN HAWKISH AFTER OIL FANS INFLATION FEARS

Oil-driven inflation has pushed bond rates higher and complicated global monetary policy outlook.

Markets are no longer expecting the Federal Reserve to reduce rates this year and have started pricing in increases from the European Central Bank (ECB)?and Bank of England. Barclays, along with other brokerages, forecasted on Monday that the Fed would not ease policy in 2019. The Friday April payrolls report may further alter expectations.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased?6 basis points to 4.438%.

FOREX TRADERS ARE KEPT ON THE EDGE BY YEN VOLATILITY

The currency markets were also unsteady, as traders closely watched for signs of a?Japanese Intervention to Support the Yen.

In Asian trading, the dollar dropped sharply against yen before turning around. The Japanese yen last fell 0.04% against greenbacks at?157.12 each. Analysts think Tokyo could have intervened in the last week for around $35 billion.

Roberto Cobo Garcia is the head of G10 'FX strategy' at BBVA. He said: "The case for intervention?is strong given the inflationary effect of a weaker yen through import prices, a U.S. Administration that is generally comfortable with such an action, and Japan’s abundant FX reserves."

The Euro fell by 0.24% at $1.1692, while the Sterling fell by?0.29% at $1.3532.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.28%, reaching 98.44.

On the commodity markets, gold dropped 2.13% to $4,515.27 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)