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Oil prices drop as US-Iran talks ease supply concerns

Early Asian trade on Monday saw oil prices fall as signs of a?potential U.S. Iran dialogue to end the?war decreased concerns about supply risk resulting from?the U.S. Blockade of Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures fell $1.86 or 1.87% to $97.50 while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), which is a blend of U.S. West Texas Intermediate and West Texas Intermediate, dropped $2.25 or 2.27% to $96.83 at 0003 GMT.

The benchmarks both rose in the previous session. Brent had gained more than 4%, and WTI almost 3% after the U.S. began its blockade against Iran's ports.

The U.S. Military said on Monday that its blockade of Strait of Hormuz will extend east to the Gulf of Oman, and Arabian Sea. Ship-tracking data showed two ships turning around in the strait when the blockade was implemented.

Iran has threatened to attack ports in Gulf countries after the weekend talks that were supposed to resolve the crisis in Islamabad failed.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst at KCM Trade. He said that despite the failure of the peace talks in Pakistan, Trump has managed to take a little steam out of oil prices by dangling the carrot of a possible deal.

Sources familiarized with the negotiations confirmed that dialogue between Iran, the U.S. and Pakistan was still active. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Shaif also confirmed ongoing efforts to deescalate tensions. Trump stated on Monday that Iran is "willing to make a bargain".

ANZ analysts estimate about 10 million barrels of crude oil per day have been removed from the market. They also added that a U.S. Blockade that is prolonged could reduce crude shipments by an additional 3 to 4 million bpd.

The oil market does not need a worst case scenario to justify higher prices. ANZ stated in a note to clients that tight balances are enough to keep the price of Brent at or above recent thresholds.

NATO allies, including Britain and France, did not join the blockade. Instead, they advocated for the reopening of the vital waterway.

Chris Wright, the U.S. Energy secretary, said that oil prices would peak "in the next few weeks", once shipping through Strait of Hormuz resumed.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and the International Energy Agency have urged nations to refrain from hoarding or restricting energy exports in the face of what they describe as the greatest shock to the global energy markets.

Fatih 'Birol, the IEA chief, said on Monday that although further strategic oil'releases may not be required yet, the agency is prepared to act if necessary.

In its latest monthly report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has revised its forecast for global demand in the second quarter by 500,000 barrels per day. Anmol Choubey, Bengaluru. Chris Reese & Sonali Paul edited the article.

(source: Reuters)