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Oil Futures Return to Structure Signaling Tight Supply on Russia Sanctions

Oil Futures Return to Structure Signaling Tight Supply on Russia Sanctions

The Brent crude futures contract for the immediate period on Thursday traded at a higher price than the six-month contract, after the new U.S. Sanctions on Russia revived concerns of a tighter market in the short term. This erased earlier signs of fear of a glut.

Brent's first-month contract trades at a price of around $2 per barrel higher than the contract for delivery within six months Backwardation is a term used to describe a tight supply in the near future. The global oil price rose by more than 5% after U.S. president Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Russia's biggest oil companies, Lukoil & Rosneft. The EU has added two Chinese refiners, a trader and other sanctions to its list of Russia sanctions.

Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, said that market participants' concerns are now shifting from oversupplied markets towards disruptions in supply. He said that Lukoil, and Rosneft, accounted for between 50-55% (of Russian oil output) of the country's third largest oil producer.

Brent prompt traded at a discount of up to 56 cents per barrel earlier this week. This was the first time in May that Brent had been discounted since October 16. This structure is a reflection of the perception that the market will be well-supplied in near term, as prompt barrels are trading at a discount compared to later supplies.

The spread between the WTI Crude Futures Contract and its major U.S. counterpart Also, trading ended in backwardation Thursday after a brief time in contango. Reporting by Seher dareen, London. Editing by Alex Lawler & Chizu Nomiyama.

(source: Reuters)