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South America is shivering in the cold as Europe sizzles
While Europe and North America suffer through heatwaves, South America is experiencing a similar extreme weather event at the opposite end: a sudden freezing snap. On Tuesday morning, residents of Buenos Aires bundled up in scarves and wore wooly hats as they sipped warm drinks while frost covered cars. The temperatures in the city fell below zero. This is a rare occurrence, even during the winter in the Southern Hemisphere which is now underway and runs in opposition to the seasons in the Northern Hemisphere. Juan Manuel Amnini wore a gray hat with a wool face cover to protect himself from the cold. You can cover yourself with anything you have. "I'm like an onion, wearing layers upon layers of clothing." Meanwhile, in Europe, Italy has banned outdoor work from certain areas while France closed schools and a part of the Eiffel tower. Spain has confirmed that it had its hottest ever June as a severe heatwave gripped Europe and triggered widespread health warnings. Authorities in Barcelona were investigating whether the death of an street sweeper at the weekend was due to heat. Since late June, temperatures have consistently been high in the northern and central swaths of the United States. There have been heat warnings issued in large areas. This is part of a pattern that has been linked to climate changes, with temperatures rising earlier and lasting for longer. The impact of asphalt and concrete in urban areas is amplified by their ability to absorb and radiate heat. The cold snap in Argentina, as well as Chile and Uruguay's neighbors, led to snowfall in unexpected places. Chilly winds from Antarctica blew south. Residents said that many homes and offices weren't built to withstand these conditions. Gael Larrosa, a student from Buenos Aires, said: "Right Now, I have a thermal under my clothes, a couple of trousers and another pair on top." I have a hard time with cold. The cold here kills, and it kills. Reporting by TV, writing by Adam Jourdan. Cynthia Osterman is the editor.
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Powell's comments and data gauged the impact of Powell's comments on US yields, stock prices, and US stocks.
Investors weighed the latest economic data from the United States and remarks by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell in order to determine when interest rates will be cut. Powell said at a central bank conference in Sintra that he couldn't say whether July would be too soon for a rate reduction, but "it will depend on the data and we are going from meeting to meeting." According to CME's FedWatch Tool the market expectations for a rate cut in July briefly increased to 21,2%, up from 18,6% in the previous session. However, they then declined to 19,1%. The Dow Jones rose about 1% on Wall Street but the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Nasdaq remained in check after reaching record levels Monday. This was partly due to a nearly 6% increase in Tesla following President Donald Trump's threat to stop the federal subsidies worth billions that Elon Musk’s companies receive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 427.24, or 0.99%, to 44,522.63. The S&P 500 increased 1.03, or 0.02% to 6,206.19. And the Nasdaq Composite dropped 107.68, or 0.5%, to 20,262.06. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.32 points, or 0.03% to 918.21, while the pan-European STOXX 600 closed down 0.21%. Concerns over the impact of the tariffs on the global economy were reignited as the deadline of July 9 by Trump drew closer. The Institute for Supply Management reported that U.S. manufacturing was still in contraction in June. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report showed that the number of openings had increased by 374,000, to 7.769 millions, on the last day in May. However, a decrease in hiring suggested the market might have slowed. Brian Jacobsen is the chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, a company in Menomonee falls, Wisconsin. "Despite a big jump in job openings, the economy remains stuck in Powell's equilibrium, which says, 'no fire, no hire'. It's not an equilibrium that is stable and, if you look at the ISM Manufacturing data for the summer, it may be the case that the job market will become weaker. Investors are closely watching the key government payrolls data due out on Thursday, a day sooner than usual because of the Independence Day holiday. This report will help to shape their expectations about rate cuts by the Fed. After the data, U.S. Treasury rates reversed their course and moved higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes rose 2.9 basis points to 4,255%. The yield on the 2-year note, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates from the Federal Reserve (usually based on their forecasts), rose by 6.2 basis points, to 3.783%. Trump's tax-cut and spending legislation continued its advance, as the Republican-controlled U.S. Senate passed by the thinnest of margins, and now heads back to the House of Representatives for final approval. "It will create some problems for fixed income markets as we continue spending no matter which party in power is in office, and that, in the end, is a negative for stock market," Rick Meckler said, a partner at Cherry Lane Investments, in New Vernon, New Jersey. Investors are not worried about inflation and continue to purchase stocks. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) is on course to end an eight-session streak of declines. The euro fell 0.03% to $1.1782, while the pound fell 0.01% at $1.3732. The dollar fell 0.26% against the Japanese yen to 143.63. The Bank of Japan Tankan Index of Business Sentiment showed that the largest economies in the region are likely to be holding up despite tariffs. A separate survey of the private sector revealed that the manufacturing sector in Japan expanded for the first time since 13 months in June. U.S. crude oil rose by 0.4% to $65.37 per barrel. Brent was up to $67.05 a barrel, a 0.46% increase on the day.
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Stellantis could close its factories as a result of EU fines on carbon emissions
The head of Stellantis' European operations, a Franco-Italian company, said that the automaker may be forced to shut down factories as he fears hefty fines from the European Union for failing to meet CO2 emissions targets. As part of the EU's effort to curb the devastating effects of climate changes, European auto manufacturers must sell more electric cars to reduce CO2 emissions. Otherwise, they risk being penalized. The automaker industry successfully lobbied to extend the deadline for compliance, so that fines are based on emissions in 2025-2027 and not just 2025. Jean-Philippe Imparato, the Europe Chief of Stellantis, said that automakers were not able to reach their targets and his company could be fined up to 2,95 billion euros in "two-three" years. He said, at a conference held in the lower chamber of the parliament in Rome, that if there are no significant changes to the regulatory environment by the end this year, then "we will be forced to take tough decisions." Imparato explained that Stellantis's fleet would have to be re-energy by switching to electric vehicles rather than petrol or diesel. This is not possible, as Stellantis either has to double the sales of electric vehicles (which is impossible) or reduce the production of petrol/diesel vehicles. "I have only two options: either I push hard (on electric vehicles) or I shut down ICEs (internal-combustion engine vehicles). "I close factories," he said at one point, mentioning Atessa's Italian van plant.
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Minister: Peru's economy is expected to grow by up to 3.5% per year in 2025
Economy Minister Raul Perez stated on Tuesday that Peru's economic growth is expected to be between 3.0% to 3.5% by 2025. This is lower than what the government previously predicted and compares to the 3.33% recorded last year. Perez said at a press event that he didn't see "severe risk" for Peru's economic future from the United States tariff policies. The Minister's Estimate is higher than the Central Bank's forecast for 2.9% growth in late June, but lower than earlier estimates by the government that projected a 3.5%-4% expansion. Peru's economy has been one of Latin America’s best performers for decades. But in recent years, growth has slowed due to social unrest that hit the mining sector and political instability. Perez stated that his ministry would meet with executives of the embattled Petroperu to ensure that its cash flow remained "viable." The company, which was seeking alternative sources of funding to avoid relying on more state aid, reported a net loss of $111 million in the first quarter of this year. (Reporting and editing by Natalia Siniawski, Alison Williams and Marco Aquino)
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Bezos' methane satellite lost in space
The group operating the satellite said that an $88 million satellite that was backed by billionaire Jeff Bezos and that detected emissions from the oil and gas industries of the powerful greenhouse gas, methane, has been lost in orbit. Environmental Defense Fund, who led the initiative, stated that MethaneSAT was collecting emission data and images at drilling sites, pipelines and processing facilities in the world since March. However, it went off track around 10 days ago. EDF stated that it does not expect the satellite to be recovered, as it has lost power. Amy Middleton is the senior vice president of EDF. She said: "We see this as a setback and not a failure." "We have made so many progresses and learned so much that we would not have these learnings if we had not taken this risk." Launching MethaneSAT on March 20, 2024 marked a major milestone in EDF's campaign to hold more than 120 nations accountable for their pledges to reduce methane emissions in 2021. The report also sought to enforce a promise made by 50 oil and gas firms at the Dubai COP28 Climate Summit in December 2023, to eliminate methane emissions and gas flaring. Methane has a powerful greenhouse gas. Its warming power is 80 times greater than that of carbon dioxide in a period of 20 years. Scientists believe that capping oil and gas leaks in wells and on equipment is one of the fastest and most effective ways to combat global warming. MethaneSAT is not the only satellite project that publishes data on methane emission sources. However, it's supporters claim it provides more details on these emissions and has partnered with Google in order to create an publicly available global map of emissions. ENGINEERS INVESTIGATING EDF said that it reported the lost satellite on Tuesday to federal agencies, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Federal Communications Commission and U.S. Space Force. According to the EDF, the cost of building and launching the satellite was $88 million. The Bezos Earth Fund had granted $100 million to the organization in 2020. Arnold Ventures and the Robertson Foundation, as well as the TED Audacious Project along with EDF donors also provided major financial support. The project also had a partnership with the New Zealand Space Agency. EDF stated that it has insurance to cover any losses and that its engineers are investigating the incident. The organization stated that it would continue to use resources, such as aircraft equipped with methane detection spectrometers to search for methane. The company also stated that it is too early to determine whether or not it will launch another satellite, but MethaneSAT was a proof of concept for a highly sensitive tool "that could see total methane emission, even at very low levels, across wide areas." The United Nations reported in a recent report that despite efforts to increase transparency about emissions, "super-emitters of methane" rarely take action when they are alerted. As the United States, under Donald Trump's second term in office, has ended its program to collect data on greenhouse gases from major polluters as well as rescinded Biden era regulations aimed at curbing Methane, there is less pressure to act. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis, Alison Williams, and Valerie Volcovici)
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Bezos' methane satellite lost in space
The group that operated the satellite said on Tuesday that an $88 million satellite, backed by billionaire Jeff Bezos, that measured the emissions of powerful greenhouse gases methane from the oil and gas industries had been lost in the space. Environmental Defense Fund, who led the initiative, stated that MethaneSAT was collecting emission data and images at drilling sites, pipelines and processing facilities in the world since March. However, it went off track around 10 days ago. EDF stated that it does not expect the satellite to be recovered, as it has lost power. Amy Middleton is the senior vice president of EDF. She said: "We see this as a setback and not a failure." "We have made so many progresses and learned so much that we would not have these learnings if we had not taken this risk." MethaneSAT was launched in March last year as part of a campaign that EDF has been running for years to hold more than 120 countries accountable who in 2021 committed to reduce their methane emission. The report also sought to enforce a promise made by 50 oil and gas firms at the Dubai COP28 Climate Summit in December 2023, to eliminate methane emissions and routine gas flaring. Methane has a powerful greenhouse gas. Its warming power is 80 times greater than that of carbon dioxide in a period of 20 years. Scientists believe that capping oil and gas leaks in wells and on equipment is one of the fastest and most effective ways to combat global warming. MethaneSAT is not the only satellite project that publishes data on methane emission sources. However, it's supporters claim it provides more details on these emissions and has partnered with Google in order to create an publicly available global map of emissions. EDF said that it reported the lost satellite on Tuesday to federal agencies, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Securities and Exchange Commission and U.S. Space Force. According to the EDF, the cost of building and launching the satellite was $88 million. The Bezos Earth Fund had granted $100 million to the organization in 2020. Arnold Ventures and the Robertson Foundation, as well as the TED Audacious Project along with EDF donors also provided major financial support. The project also had a partnership with the New Zealand Space Agency. EDF stated that it has insurance to cover any losses and its engineers are investigating the incident. The company said that it will continue to use all of its resources to search for methane leaks, including aircraft equipped with methane detection spectrometers. The United Nations reported in a recent report that despite efforts to increase transparency about emissions, "super-emitters of methane" rarely take action when they are alerted. As the United States, under Donald Trump's second term in office, has ended its program to collect data on greenhouse gases from major polluters as well as rescinded rules established by Biden to curb methane emissions, there is less pressure to act. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Valerie Volcovici)
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Investors assess data and Powell's comments as they lower the dollar and stocks
The dollar and global shares both fell for the ninth consecutive session on Tuesday as investors analyzed a torrent of U.S. data and Jerome Powell's comments to determine the timing of interest rate cuts. Powell said that he couldn't say whether July was too soon for a rate reduction, but "it will depend on the data and we go meeting by meeting". According to CME's FedWatch Tool, market expectations for a cut in July have increased to 21,2% from 18,6% the previous session. The Dow Jones advanced on Wall Street but the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Nasdaq retreated to record lows after a fall of over 5% by Tesla. This was due to the threat of U.S. president Donald Trump of cutting off billions in federal subsidies for Elon Musk's businesses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 227.77, or 0.52% to 44,322.06, while the S&P 500 dropped 19.78, or 0.32% to 6,185.17, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 181.49, or 0.89% to 20,190.00. MSCI's global stock index dropped 1.69 points or 0.18 percent to 916.20, while the pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.3%. Concerns about the impact of tariffs and the global economy were reignited as the deadline of July 9 neared. According to the Institute for Supply Management, U.S. manufacturing data for June showed that the industry was still in contraction territory. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report showed that the number of openings had increased by 374,000, to 7.769 millions, on the last day in May. However, a decrease in hiring suggested the market might have slowed. Brian Jacobsen is the chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, based in Menomonee falls, Wisconsin. "Despite the large increase in job openings, the economy remains stuck in Powell's equilibrium, which states that there are no new hires and no firings." It's not stable and the ISM Manufacturing data may indicate a weaker employment market this summer. Investors are closely watching the key government payrolls data due out on Thursday, a day sooner than usual because of the Independence Day holiday. This report will help to shape their expectations about rate cuts by the Fed. After the data, U.S. Treasury rates reversed their course and rose. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased by 2.9 basis points to 4.25%. The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve has risen 4.3 basis points, to 3.764%. The markets were also waiting for a resolution on Trump's tax cut and spending legislation that the Senate Republicans in the United States were battling to pass. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose by 0.09%, to 96.85. The euro fell 0.08%, at $1.1776. The pound fell 0.17%, to $1.3709. The dollar fell 0.34% against the Japanese yen to 143.52. The Bank of Japan’s tankan business sentiment index showed that the largest economies in the region are likely to weather the tariff storm at least for now. A separate survey of the private sector revealed the manufacturing sector in Japan expanded for the first time since 13 months in June. U.S. crude climbed 0.48%, to $65.42 per barrel. Brent rose 0.27% to $66.92 a barrel.
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Kpler data show that Saudi Arabia increased crude exports to the United States in June.
Saudi Arabian oil exports reached their highest level in over a year during June, as the country shipped more crude into overseas storage amid fears that supply disruptions could be caused by conflict in the Middle East. OPEC’s largest producer has intervened on oil markets since decades ago to supply more oil when there are disruptions in the market or reduce output when they feel that the market is oversupplied. Kpler data show that crude exports increased by 450,000 barrels a day (bpd), from the level of May to 6.33 millions bpd, in June. Kpler predicts that there could be an increase to almost 7.5 millions bpd in July. The rise in prices last month came against the backdrop of concerns about disruptions to supply due to conflict between Israel, Iran and a U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear sites. OPEC+ sources claim that Saudi Arabia and the OPEC+ producer groups are looking to increase market share following years of production cuts. The June increase coincided also with a June decision by OPEC+ that it would raise its oil production quotas by 411,000 bpd. (Reporting and Editing by David Goodman).
The Austrian government is aiming to reduce energy costs and revamp the industrial sector
Austria's three-party ruling coalition announced on Tuesday that it plans to overhaul the energy market in order to lower costs for consumers, and develop an industrial strategy in order to boost weak economic growth.
Ministers of the newly formed centrist coalition met in their first working retreat to develop plans aimed at reducing the country's ballooning budget deficit and reviving an economy that had been contracting for the last two years.
Austria has also been working to find reliable energy sources since it weaned itself off Russian gas in the wake of a sudden shakeup of natural gas supply late last year.
Christian Stocker said that today was the day to address industrial strategy and energy markets. He added that the current trade disputes between western powers, as well as the effects of the war on Ukraine, posed challenges.
Stocker, who is a conservative member of the People's Party, stated that one of the main goals of the government was to reduce energy costs, both for businesses and households.
Stocker stressed the need to reduce grid costs, as they are a major factor in keeping industry competitive. Stocker said at a press briefing that the government also wanted to reduce red-tape so that approvals pending are expedited. (Reporting and writing by Alexandra Schwarz Goerlich, Editing by Madeline Chambers).
(source: Reuters)