Latest News
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Wall Street Journal, July 28,
These are the top stories from?the Wall Street Journal. These stories have not been?verified and we cannot vouch for their accuracy. Johnson & Johnson, a manufacturer of babycare products, has agreed to pay $5.5 Billion to settle outstanding lawsuits alleging that the company's Talc products cause ovarian cancer. The agreement is conditional on 95% participation by the remaining claimants. Iran and Oman have worked to achieve an agreement for the safe passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a lull between fighting between the U.S. -Kuwait Petroleum signed a $16billion pipeline lease agreement with Kuwait Oil, involving the entire country's export and domestic pipelines. The investors were led by Blackstone, Brookfield, and KKR. Cracker Barrel's CEO Julie Masino has resigned from her position. She will be replaced by David Deno, former Bloomin' Brands' CEO on August 10. Ford has been awarded a Defense Department contract for the development of three truck prototypes that are based on its F-Series pickups. The Pentagon is pushing automakers to help modernize and replenish military equipment depleted from wars in the Middle East, Ukraine and elsewhere. Sazerac, the?cocktail manufacturer of BuzzBallz?, sent a letter to Brown-Forman's shareholders asking them to reconsider their previously rejected $15 billion purchase?offer. Gas cylinder manufacturer Luxfer has agreed to be acquired by Wynnchurch Capital. The company plans to continue as a privately-owned company following the acquisition. (Compiled by Bengaluru Newsroom)
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Gold falls as dollar strength weighs on gold; attention turns to Fed meeting
The gold?prices dropped on Tuesday due to a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the markets were looking forward to the Federal Reserve’s next policy announcement for clues about the interest rate outlook. Gold spot fell by 0.7% at $4,045.89 an ounce as of 0448 GMT. It had risen as high as 1% Monday. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.8% to $4 046.20. Dollars held near a month-high, making bullion priced in greenbacks more expensive for holders other currencies. Ilya Spivak is the head of global macro for finance content network Tastylive. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to conclude its two-day meeting of policy makers on Wednesday. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates steady at 62%. According to CME FedWatch, 38% of participants in the market expect a rate increase at least 25 basis points. The markets are pricing in a 81% chance of a hike during the September meeting of the central bank. On Monday, President Donald Trump called on the Fed?to lower interest rates. He said the U.S. would have the lowest rate of interest in the world. Trump said that on Monday, the United States was in "good talks" and that there was a possibility of a deal to end their conflict. However, he warned that if the negotiations did not succeed then strikes would be resumed. Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Iraq reported drone attacks on Sunday, indicating that Tehran was quickly testing the pause of the U.S. campaign. Spivak said that gold will likely rise above $4,200 an ounce if the Fed meeting does not produce language that is "setting the foundation for a rate hike in September". Silver fell by 2% per ounce to $57.23, platinum dropped 0.9% to 1,605.93, and palladium was down 1.6% at $1,270.97. (Reporting and editing by Varun H. K. and Ronojoya Mazumdar in Bengaluru)
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Morning Bid Europe-Chips are jolted by a shift in momentum for AI
Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Chip stocks in Asia fell on Tuesday due to the twin threats of Chinese competition rising and questions over funding and sustainability of AI infrastructure boom. South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10%, tripping a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei dropped 4.4%. The rally has been so strong that both markets are still the leaders for the year, even though they have now reached multi-month lows. Nvidia fell 5% Monday after a Wall Street Journal article reported that the chipmaker had been in discussions to provide $250 billion worth of financing guarantees for a?OpenAI Data Centre. The report stated that the guarantee would only cover Nvidia inside the center, but that financing OpenAI chips worth up to $35 billion was also being discussed, bringing attention to the circular nature of AI build-out expenditure. Europe's chip leader was also not spared. ASML fell?8.5% following The Information's report that China had begun manufacturing its own immersion deep ultraviolet machines, which are critical to chipmaking and were long dominated exclusively by the Dutch group. Investors are wondering if China's semiconductor sector is moving beyond a catch-up phase to a genuine contender. CXMT soared to the top of China’s stock market on Monday by valuation, causing investors to worry that dominant chip manufacturers may have to share AI spoils more widely. Apple was reported to have asked the U.S. for assurances that CXMT would not be added to a blacklist. The picture of hyperscalers' spending plans will be completed by the earnings at Apple, Meta and Microsoft later this week. Oil prices fell, but that was little help to stocks, or even bonds. They held steady during Tuesday's Asia session, even though crude futures continued their losses. The markets see an approximately 38% chance of a U.S. interest rate increase this week. The following are the key developments that may influence Tuesday's markets: Consumer confidence in France and the U.S. Earnings of Mercedes-Benz (editing by Shri Navaratnam), Barclays, Man Group EssilorLuxottica Logitech Rio Tinto Kering Ford Mondelez Visa NXP Seagate Coca-cola UPS Boeing
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Copper prices fall as rate hike expectations weigh on demand
The copper prices fell on Tuesday as 'lingering bets on an interest rate increase in the U.S. threatened to dampen demand. Crude oil prices also declined as investors assessed a pause in U.S. attacks on 'Iran. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month metric ton of?copper traded on London Metal Exchange had fallen 0.5% to $13,664 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.14% to 104,800 Yuan ($15.484.86) per ton. The market is waiting for the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting on Wednesday and the effect of a possible lull in the fighting between Iran and the U.S. Analysts from the?Chinese brokerage Galaxy Futures said that despite the lower crude oil price, expectations of more Federal Reserve rate increases have increased. According to CME FedWatch, 62% of market participants believe that the Fed's interest rates will remain unchanged, and 38% expect at least a 25% increase. Copper market fears that higher rates will dampen economic activity and reduce demand. Red metal prices have risen due to expectations of increased demand from AI infrastructure, electric vehicles and electrification. The jittery stock market also affected traders' appetite for risk. On Tuesday, chipmakers were the main culprits in the Asian stock market's decline. They were worried about the financing requirements of the AI boom. Galaxy Futures analysts stated that "the?market is entering a week of heavy earnings reporting, and sentiment remains cautious." Aluminium prices were down 0.35% at the LME and stable on theSHFE. Disrupted Middle East supply has caused a massive drop in stocks, as well as total stock levels at LME-registered storage warehouses. The lowest level on record since 1998. Nickel?slid 0.16%, and tin fell 1.71%. On the SHFE, nickel dropped 0.77%, tin fell 1.5% and zinc declined 0.5%.
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Gold falls as dollar strength weighs on gold; attention turns to Fed meeting
The dollar strengthened on Tuesday and gold prices fell. Markets were looking for clues about the future of interest rates in the Federal Reserve's policy announcement. Gold spot fell by 0.7% at $4,044.81 an ounce as of 0250 GMT. It had risen as high as 1% Monday. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.8% to $4.045.40. Dollars are nearing a month-high, which makes greenback bullion prices more expensive for those who hold other currencies. Ilya Spivak is the head of global macro for finance content network Tastylive. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to conclude its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. According to CME FedWatch, 62% of market participants believe that the Fed will keep interest rates at their current level. However, 38% expect a rate increase at least 25 basis points. The markets are pricing in a 81% chance of a hike during the September meeting of the central bank. On Monday, President Donald Trump called on the Fed lowering interest rates. He said that the U.S. would have the lowest rate of interest in the world. Trump said that on Monday, the United States was having "good discussions" with Iran. He also stated that there is a possibility of a 'deal' to resolve their conflict. However, he warned that strikes will resume if the negotiations fail. Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Iraq reported drone attacks on Sunday, indicating that Tehran had quickly tested the pause of the U.S. campaign. Spivak said that gold will likely rise above $4,200 an ounce if the Fed meeting does not produce language that is "setting the foundation for a rate hike in September". Silver spot fell by 1.9%, to $57.30 an ounce. Platinum lost 1%, to $1605.14, and palladium dropped 1.6%, to $1271.09. (Reporting and editing by Varun H. K. and Ronojoya Mazumdar in Bengaluru)
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Australia builds first oil refinery at home in 60 years, to improve fuel security
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced on Tuesday that Australia will be considering building its first?oil? refinery in over 60 years. The war in the Middle East has squeezed supplies from abroad and highlighted the urgency of improving energy security. Albanese stated that the project would help to build Australia's sovereignty and resilience in the fuel sector, which could shield the country against future supply shocks. Albanese stated that if the project is deemed?feasible', Perdaman, a chemical industrial producer in Western Australia will build a new large-scale refinery. Albanese, a reporter in Western Australia's Pilbara Region, told reporters that "the war?in?the Middle East... has an impact here just like it does all over the world." Building national resilience makes Australia less susceptible to events happening around the globe. Albanese announced that his government, along with the Western Australia State Government, will spend A$4,000,000 ($2.8 million) jointly on a feasibility study for the refinery. Albanese continued, "We want the project to be a success and that's why we are looking for the best location. Australia imports about 80% its fuel and is racing to secure supplies in the face of the Iran War. A report by the Australian Treasury warned that global oil markets have become more vulnerable, with "weaker buffers against supply-shocks". The treasury told Treasurer Jim Chalmers that global oil inventories?have decreased since the conflict in the Middle East has intensified. Meanwhile, refined fuel markets now face a?risk of further tightening?, it said. The majority of Australia's oil refineries were constructed in the 1950s and 1960s. However, high operating costs as well as the rise of large refineries across Asia have forced many of them to close over the last three decades. Ampol's Queensland Refinery and Viva Energy's facility in Victoria, both in the east of the country, are now the only two active refineries. In 2000 there were eight. Western Australia's lone refinery will be shut down by 2021, after BP converted its 146,000 barrels a day Kwinana facility into a fuel terminal. ($1 = 1.4306 Australian dollars)
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Asia markets sell off in a broad scale due to AI fears
Asian markets dropped on Tuesday, led by chipmakers, on concerns?about massive funding requirements of the AI boom. A slide in oil prices didn't do much to lift bonds, and traders were worried about U.S. interest rate hikes coming this week. South Korea's KOSPI plunged more than 8 percent to a low of three months, setting off a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei fell 4% after a drop of 2.2% for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Nvidia's shares fell 5% overnight, after the Wall Street Journal reported that the company was in discussions to provide approximately $250 billion in financial guarantees for OpenAI in connection with a massive data center project. CXMT shares in Shanghai surged 466% on their debut day, highlighting the growing interest of investors and the competitive threat from Chinese competitors. Chris Weston is the head of Pepperstone's research. He said that there was a growing sense of optimism in mainland markets regarding China's ability build a global competitive AI ecosystem. The Information reported that China had?also started manufacturing locally developed immersion deep UV lithography machines. This chipmaking tool was long dominated exclusively by Dutch supplier ASML. ASML's shares fell 8.5% on Monday. South 'Korea SK Hynix shares fell by nearly 11%, while Samsung Electronics shares dropped more than 9%. In Tokyo, Kioxia was down 18% and?Tokyo Electron was down 9.8%. CXMT, the chip-making indexes and CXMT were also lower in early trading. OIL SLIDES US YIELDS DIPLEAD Brent crude futures continued their nearly 9% drop on Monday, dropping to $87.55 per barrel as hostilities between Iran and the U.S. cooled following Washington's sudden suspension of airstrikes on Saturday. Donald Trump stated on Monday that the United States and Iran were having "good discussions" and that there was a possibility of a deal. The break in fighting has pushed benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yields down by four basis points, to 4.64%. Shorter-term rates have not moved much. The Federal Reserve is expected to hike by 25 basis points this Wednesday, according to traders. "The U.S. - Iran War, which is driving up the price of crude, remains the main determinant for what will 'happen in the global economy over the next few months and, as a result, what informs the central bank policy forecasts at the margin," said Thierry?Wizman, currency & rates strategist?at Macquarie Group. We expect the Fed to tighten its bias this week. The expectation of a hike?sooner rather than later' kept the dollar at $1.1370, the euro at $1.14 and the Australian Dollar just below 70 cents. The yen was trading at 163.78 per dollar, barely above a four decade low. Markets are on edge about Japan interfering in the currency pairing, especially if the Bank of Japan holds rates this week, and causes another yen drop. Wizman said that if BoJ communication was not hawkish, and USD/JPY continues to rise, traders can expect an official response. This could include verbal interventions, rate checks or direct FX market interventions, possibly on Friday. (Reporting and Editing by Shri Navaratnam).
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Whitehaven Coal's output in 2026 is at the top of its guidance range, but costs are at the low end.
Whitehaven Coal, Australia's largest coal producer, said Tuesday that its annual sales and output were near the top end of their guidance range due to the recovery of its Queensland mines. However, the company expects its costs for the full year to be near the lower end of the forecast. As the Sydney-based coal mining company tries to absorb higher diesel costs linked to Middle?East conflict, it is important to consider cost forecast. Whitehaven has said that unit costs are expected to be around A$132 ($92.29), towards the low end of their forecast range. This is after they achieved savings in line with its annualised target between A$60 and A$80 million. The company made A$222 for every ton of thermal coal it sold in the 'fourth quarter,' up from A$189 per ton a year ago, thanks to a stronger Asian demand after the supply of liquefied gas was interrupted. The managed run-of mine production for the year ending June 30 was 40.3 Mt, up 3% on the previous year and close to the upper end of the 37-41 Mt range. The managed coal sales increased 8%, to 32.7 Mt. This was within the estimates of 29.5 to 33 Mt. The Visible Alpha consensus estimate was that fourth-quarter production would rise by 1.3%, to 10.7 mt. Queensland operations including the Blackwater and Daunia Mines, which were purchased from BHP Group for $4.1 billion in early 2024, have recovered from weather disruptions in previous quarters, with production increasing 41% sequentially. New South Wales' mines including Maules Creek Narrabri, and Gunnedah posted a 1.6% increase in quarterly production year-on-year, but output fell by 8% from the previous quarter due to tougher mining conditions. Whitehaven shares were down 1.1% at 0058 GMT, following the declines of the energy subindex and the wider market. $1 = 1.4302 Australian Dollars (reporting and editing by Shilpi Major and Subhranshu S Ahu in Bengaluru).
Product streams at danger needs to Trump trigger tit-for-tat trade war: Russell
Much of the debate surrounding the ramifications of a possible second U.S. presidential term for Republican politician Donald Trump has concentrated on what may take place to the U.S. and global economies.
Trump's plan to enforce tariffs of 10% on essentially all imports into the United States, and as much as 50% on those from top trading partner China, have actually raised the spectre of greater inflation and interest rates, and a less competitive market.
However for commodities, the bigger threat of a Trump go back to the White Home is the reaction the remainder of the world is likely to have to the imposition of U.S. trade tariffs.
Political leaders around the world will be unable to sit idly by if Trump locations barriers on their exports to the United States.
Any unilateral action by Trump is therefore likely to be met by retaliation from U.S. trading partners, even if they are erstwhile political allies, such as countries in Europe and some in Asia, such as Japan, South Korea and even India.
If it's unavoidable that U.S. trading partners react to Trump's proposed actions by putting tariffs on imports from the United States, the main question is then what type will they take?
While significant U.S. exporting business such as plane maker Boeing will have cause for concern, a far easier target for retaliation is most likely to be U.S. commodity exports.
The United States is the world's biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), and ranks fourth internationally for exports of crude oil and all grades of coal.
A significant buyer of U.S. commodities is China. If Trump were to enforce tariffs of 50% on its exports, Beijing might efficiently ban all product imports from the United States, either formally or informally.
U.S. exports of petroleum to China were 10 million barrels in July, according to commodity experts Kpler, which figure is expected to rise to 16.58 million barrels in August, which would be the most considering that April 2023.
For the first 8 months of this year U.S. crude exports to China are tracking at about 309,000 barrels daily (bpd),. which represents just about 3% of China's total imports, but. represent about 7.5% of total U.S. deliveries.
Simply put, it would likely be relatively simple for China to. stop purchasing U.S. crude and find alternative suppliers, such as. Angola and Brazil.
However how easy would it be for U.S. oil manufacturers to change. the loss of Chinese purchasers?
Much will depend on whether other nations put tariffs on. U.S. commodity exports.
Envision if the European Union, Japan and South Korea all put. a 10% tariff on U.S. crude in retaliation for Trump putting a. similar impost on their exports to the United States.
The European Union, Japan and South Korea typically account. for about 60% of U.S. unrefined exports.
By putting tariffs on U.S. crude, LNG and coal, the rest of. the world could keep U.S. energy exports in the market, but. force U.S. companies to either offer discounts to keep their. rates competitive or lower output.
US LNG EXPOSED
U.S. LNG exporters may be more susceptible than crude. producers, given they have no alternative markets other than. exports.
For China, changing U.S. LNG would be more challenging than. changing U.S. crude, but still likely manageable, offered the relatively. little percentage of U.S. LNG in its overall imports.
In July, China's imports of U.S. LNG were 670,000 metric. tons, or about 10.5% of the regular monthly total of 6.39 million.
For the United States, exports to China represent just about. 8% of its overall LNG shipments. But if Japan and South Korea are. added in too, then exports to the 3 primary Asian purchasers. rise to about a quarter of the total, based on U.S. deliveries in. June of this year.
If tariffs were placed on U.S. LNG by the North Asian. importers, it would put pressure on U.S. companies to lower. prices to compensate.
U.S. coal exports have balanced about 7.5 million tons a. month for the very first seven months of the year, however there is no. dominant purchaser. Rather there is a broad series of importers that. all purchase reasonably small volumes.
This means that buyers of U.S. coal could most likely find. alternative providers for the small volumes involved, but U.S. exporters might struggle to discover brand-new markets should a majority of. its current purchasers impose retaliatory tariffs.
In general, the image that emerges is among substantial. vulnerability for U.S. energy exporters if we do see another. trade war, offered how nations could respond to the tariffs. presently being proposed by the previous president's camp.
Naturally, Trump still has to overcome most likely Democratic. candidate and current vice president, Kamala Harris, in the. November election, and after that actually follow through on what is. likely to be a widely-criticised trade policy.
But the danger stays meaningful. In 2022, Russia's invasion. of Ukraine showed us what can happen when a political occasion. roils energy markets.
If Trump is chosen and does embark on a trade war, the. disturbance may not be quite on that scale. However commodity flows -. and thus a big part of the global economy - might be affected. if the market has to adjust to an unforeseeable political dynamic. once again.
The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a writer. .
(source: Reuters)