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Oil prices stabilize after dropping to a four-year low in the previous session

The price of oil was stable on Tuesday, after it hit four-year lows the previous session. This was due to a decision by OPEC+ to increase output. This decision stoked fears of an oversupply during a period when U.S. Tariffs are causing concern about demand.

Brent crude futures increased 10 cents, to $60.33 per barrel at 0050 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude also rose 10 cents, to $57.23 per barrel.

On Monday, both benchmarks reached their lowest levels since February 2021.

OPEC+ decided on Saturday to accelerate oil production increases for a second month in a row, increasing output by 411,000 barrels / day (bpd) in June.

The increase in June by eight members of the OPEC+, which includes allies like Russia, will bring the combined increases for April, may and June to 960,000 bpd. Calculations show that this represents a 44% reduction of the 2.2m bpd in various cuts that have been agreed upon since 2022.

OPEC+ said that the group may fully undo its voluntary reductions by the end October if member countries do not improve their compliance with production quotas.

Diamondback Energy, a U.S. shale oil producer, lowered its production forecast for 2025 Monday. It said that a combination between global economic uncertainty and increasing OPEC+ supplies has brought U.S. crude production to a critical point.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, said that President Donald Trump’s agenda of tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation would all work together in order to drive long-term investments into the U.S. Economy. He added that U.S. Financial Markets were "antifragile" so they would weather any short term turbulence.

As tariffs threaten the economy, it is likely that on Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve won't change interest rates.

Barclays lowered their Brent crude forecast by $4 to $72 a bar for 2025, and their 2026 estimate was set at $62 a bar. They cited "a rocky path ahead for fundamentals", amid escalating tensions in trade and OPEC+’s shift in production strategy. (Reporting and editing by Muralikumar Aantharaman in Houston)

(source: Reuters)