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Copper backs off Fed caution amid concerns about Chinese demand
The Federal Reserve's cautious comments on U.S. rate cuts and concerns about Chinese demand led to a decline in copper prices on Thursday, compared with the record highs of the previous day. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange fell 1.8% in open-outcry official trading to $10,978 a metric ton, after reaching a record high on Wednesday, $11,200, due to supply concerns. Robert Montefusco, a broker at Sucden Financial, said: "Copper prices are down today due to the lackluster physical demand and the Fed's dovish sentiment on a rate cut in December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell shocked the markets on Wednesday, casting doubt on the prospects for an interest rate reduction at the next central bank meeting in December. He said that such a move "was not a foregone decision". This helped push the dollar index up to its highest level in three weeks, making commodities priced using the U.S. dollars more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.1% to 87.960 yuan (12,348.73 dollars) per ton. The physical demand for metals in China, the top consumer of metals, has been weakening as prices rise. Spot copper prices are higher than SHFE prices. Flipping to a 55-yuan discount per ton of coal on Thursday, from a premium 90-yuan on 15 October. A poll found that major miners have reported lower output of copper in the first nine month of the year. This has led analysts to raise their price predictions for next year. Dan Smith, managing Director at Commodity Market Analytics said that the market is bullish but some miners may be holding it back because they want to sell ahead to lock in high prices. I'd imagine that copper producers are doing a lot of hedging, which prevents prices from rising. These are good numbers for many copper producers." Other metals include LME aluminium, which fell 1.4% to $2.845.50 per ton in official activity, nickel, which dropped 1% to $16,215; zinc, which slipped 1.9% to $3,000; lead, a 0.1% drop to $2.024; and tin, a 0.6% decline to $35,960. Click here for top metals stories ($1 = 7.1230 Chinese yuan). (Reporting and additional reporting by Lucas Liew, Editing by Shareysh Kuber, Shreysh Biswas, and Shareysh Kuber)
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Google Gemini Pro is available for free to Reliance Jio customers in India for 18 months as part of a broader AI push
Reliance Industries in India and Google announced tie-ups in artificial intelligence for consumers and businesses, including a free 18-month subscription to Google's Gemini AI Pro Platform, as part of a push to increase AI adoption in India. The companies have announced that the offer, currently priced at 35.100 rupees (about $399) for 18 months will allow Jio users to access the latest Gemini 2. Pro model, 2TB of cloud storage and its image and videos generation models. OpenAI announced a few days earlier that it would provide users with ChatGPT Go access for a full year in India. India's AI market, which is growing rapidly, has witnessed a rise in competition as firms compete to attract the nearly 1 billion Internet users of India with low-cost or free premium offerings. Google offers Gemini AI Pro for free to Indian students for an entire year, while Perplexity gives Indian users free access to their premium plan through a partnership with Bharti Airtel. Reliance Intelligence, the AI arm of the company, will be working with Google Cloud in order to give organisations access to Google AI hardware accelerators that will help them train and deploy large AI model. Gemini Enterprise will be adopted by Indian companies in partnership with the two companies. Gemini Enterprise enables firms to create and run custom AI agents.
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New Delhi: US gives India a six-month waiver of sanctions to operate Iran's Chabahar Port
India announced on Thursday that the U.S. had granted it a six-month waiver of sanctions to operate Chabahar's Iranian port. This will help New Delhi to boost its trade with Afghanistan and Central Asian nations, bypassing Pakistan. Last year, India signed a contract for 10 years with Iran. Develop and operate a port This month, the United States has increased its cooperation with Taliban-run Afghanistan. Reopening of its Embassy Kabul was closed in 2021 after the Islamist group took power following the withdrawal by the U.S. led NATO forces. Initially, the port was planned to be built on Iran's Gulf of Oman coast in the southeast. It would have a rail connection to Afghanistan. The goal was to build the economy of the landlocked nation through trade while reducing Kabul’s dependency on the Pakistani Port of Karachi. The waiver came after U.S. president Donald Trump said this week that he hoped to reach an agreement with the European Union. Trade deal with India - a sign of a warming in relations, which had deteriorated to their worst point in decades when he doubled the tariffs on Indian imported goods to 50% in punishment for Indian purchases Russian oil. Indian refiners now cut Russian oil imports Following Washington's sanctions imposed last week on Moscow's two largest crude oil exporters, Rosneft & Lukoil. Randhir Jaiswal, spokesperson for the Indian Foreign Ministry, said at a weekly press briefing that the port had been granted an exemption. He said that India and the Trump administration were continuing to discuss a bilateral deal. Washington had last week revoked sanctions waivers for Chabahar that were initially granted in 2018 as part of an effort to "maximize pressure" on Iran in order to counter what they called destabilising activities by the Islamic Republic in support of their nuclear and missile programmes. Unnamed Indian officials confirmed that the waiver of U.S. sanctions had come into effect on Wednesday. The U.S. Embassy in New Delhi didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. Reporting by Shivam Patel, editing by Sudipto Ganuly and Mark Heinrich
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Russell: Imports of thermal coal from Asia are easing as prices increase after a 4-year low.
The prices of the main grades in seaborne thermal coal have been recovering modestly from their four-year lows. However, the gains come at the expense of volume as major importers reduce demand. According to analysts DBX Commodities, China, India and South Korea are on course for lower coal arrivals in September than October. The prices of the main Australian and Indonesian grades have been rising since early June after a downward trend that began in October 2023. The lower prices in July and August did increase import demand, but the higher prices are now causing buyers to pull back. DBX estimates that China imported 28.17 millions metric tons of seaborne thermal coke in October. This is down from 28.43 in September, and below the 33.53 in October last year. India, the second largest coal importer in the world, is expected to import 13,35 million tons in October. This is down from the 13.76 million tons imported in September, and also below the 13.82 millions from last October. DBX predicts that Japan, ranked third in the world, will import 9.52 millions tons in October. This is down from 10.44 in September and 9.94 in 2024. South Korea is the fourth largest coal importer in the world. It expects to receive 6.45 million tonnes of coal in October. This is down from 8.19 millions in September but an increase from 5.92 million in October last year. It is not surprising that October's lower imports reflect the increased prices from July. PRICE RECOVERY Argus, a commodity reporting agency, assessed the price of Australian coal that has an energy content of 5500 kilocalories/kg (kcal/kg), a popular grade in China and India. The price was $76.34 per ton for the week ending October 20. The price has increased by 16% from the low of $65.72 set in early June, and now stands at its highest level since the week ending March 3. Argus assessed Indonesian coal, with an energy content 4,200 kcal/kg at $45.26 a tonne in the seven-day period ending October 20. This is a 12% increase from its low of $40.45 a tonne in the week of July 4. GlobalCOAL assessed the price for 6,000 kcal/kg of fuel at Newcastle Port at $105.34 per ton on Tuesday, an increase from $103.74 last week. Newcastle's price, however, has remained largely unchanged in recent weeks in a small range of around $104 per ton. The lower imports to Japan and South Korea is more likely due to a weaker demand during the shoulder season, between the peak of northern summer and winter. Recent trends in the import and price of Asian seaborne thermal coke show that the market is divided between buyers who are more sensitive to prices, such as China and India and those who are more seasonal-driven, such as Japan or South Korea. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X. These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
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Southern Co exceeds its quarterly profit forecasts as US demand for power soars
U.S. utility Southern Co surpassed Wall Street expectations for third-quarter profits on Thursday, thanks to a surge in demand for electricity by businesses. Kilowatt-hours sold in the commercial sector grew 2.3% from the previous year's third quarter, while in the industrial sector they increased 1.5%. The extreme heat of the summer months increased the use of air conditioners, refrigerators and data centers in factories and offices. Businesses rushing to adopt artificial-intelligence technology also drove demand for power-hungry servers. In three years' time, data centers may consume up to 12% of the nation's production, which is nearly triple its current share. Electric utilities made $1.92 billion during the third quarter of 2018, up from $1.62billion a year ago The CEO Chris Womack stated that the results highlighted "momentum surrounding electric demand growth opportunities". Southern Co is the second largest utility in the United States, with 9 million customers. It serves the states of Alabama Georgia Illinois Mississippi Tennessee and Virginia. The company's operating revenues increased 7.5% for the quarter to $7.82 Billion. According to LSEG, the Atlanta-based company reported an adjusted profit per share of $1.60 for the three months ending September 30. This was compared to analysts' expectations of $1.51, according LSEG data. Sumit Saha, Bengaluru. Devika Syamnath, editing.
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Hurricane Melissa slams Caribbean and accelerates towards Bermuda
Hurricane Melissa, which swept through the Caribbean on Thursday and was seen gaining speed as it moved across open water towards Bermuda, left a path of destruction and high winds from Jamaica to Cuba. As the storm passed, people in the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos were slammed with rain and dangerous winds. Bermudans, located around 600 miles (970km) northeast of the last position of the storm, prepared for the expected evening arrival. Authorities in the region are struggling to keep up with the devastation. They have confirmed 25 deaths, 10 of which were children, in Haiti and four in Jamaica. According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center at 1200 GMT, Melissa had winds close to 105 mph (165 kph) and was downgraded to a Category 2. WALKING BAREFOOT IN MUD The Florida-based forecaster predicted that it would continue to accelerate northeastward, and "pass northwest of Bermuda" on Thursday before likely weakening Friday. Bermuda will, among other things, close its causeway Thursday night as well as all schools and ferry services on Friday. This is "out of a sense of abundance of caution," said National Security Minister Michael Weeks in a press release. He said: "I urge all residents to be vigilant as we face another natural threat to the way of our lives." He added that people should stay off the roads and check on their neighbors until further notice. Melissa, the strongest hurricane to ever directly strike Jamaica, struck the island on Tuesday. It had sustained winds of over 185 mph - far exceeding the minimum strength required for a hurricane classified as Category 5. Alfred Hines, aged 77, described how he narrowly escaped the floodwaters in a Montego Bay neighbourhood. He waded through thick mud with his bare feet. He said on Wednesday, "I saw the water around my neck and then (after) 10 minutes, I saw it at my waist. I made my escape." I just want it to be over and for things to return to normal. Kingston, the capital city of Jamaica, was spared from the worst damages and its airport is set to reopen Thursday. The U.S. forecaster AccuWeather estimates that Melissa will cost up to $22 billion dollars in economic losses and damages. Rebuilding could take 10 years or longer. The front page of the Jamaica Observer on Thursday read "DEVASTATION". EVACUATIONS & FLOODS AccuWeather reported that Melissa was the Caribbean’s third most intense hurricane recorded, and its slowest moving, making it particularly destructive. As the storm approached the Bahamas, the government evacuated nearly 1,500 people in one of the largest evacuations it has ever conducted. Video showed Wednesday that high winds tore up palm trees at a resort in the vicinity of George Town and created waves. The hurricane did not hit Haiti directly, but it pounded the Caribbean nation with rain for days. Authorities reported that at least 25 people died, mostly due to flooding in Petit-Goave. This coastal town is 64 km west from the capital, where a river burst it's banks. Haiti's disaster agency reported that at least 12 people were missing and 10 children had died. More than 1,000 homes in Haiti have been submerged and more than 12,000 people have moved to emergency shelters. According to initial media reports, Cubans in at least 241 isolated communities were still without communication on Wednesday after the storm passed through Santiago province. This affected up to 140,000 people. As the storm approached, authorities in eastern Cuba evacuated approximately 735,000 residents. Scientists claim that hurricanes are becoming more intense and occurring with greater frequency due to the warming of ocean water caused by greenhouse gas emission. Many Caribbean leaders are calling on heavily polluting nations to offer reparations, either in the form or aid. Reporting by Sarah Morland, Brendan O'Boyle, Steven Aristil, Herbert Villarraga, Dave Sherwood, Zahra Burton, and Maria Alejandra Cardona from Mexico City; writing by Andrew Heavens and editing by Timothy Heritage.
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Vulcan Materials posts quarterly results above estimates on strong construction demand
Vulcan Materials, the U.S. construction materials giant, reported quarterly profits and revenues above Wall Street expectations on Thursday. This was fueled by a resilient demand for concrete, asphalt, and other building aggregates. The company said that favorable weather conditions in most of its markets and strong public construction activities helped it boost aggregate shipments 12% during the third quarter. As we look ahead to 2026 ,...we anticipate continued strength in the public construction sector and an improved private non-residential outlook. This combination should also benefit a healthy pricing environment, said CEO Tom Hill. LSEG data shows that the company expects its 2025 adjusted EBITDA range to be between $2,35 billion and $2,45 billion. This is compared to analysts' estimates of $2,43 billion. Vulcan announced a third-quarter adjusted net profit of $2.84 a share, which was above the analysts' estimate of $2.72. The country's largest producer in construction aggregates reported a gross profit of 612,1 million dollars, an increase of about 23% compared to a year ago. The company reported $2.29 billion revenue for the third quarter ending September 30, exceeding estimates of $2.27. Reporting by Abhinav Paramar in Bengaluru
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Exclusive -State Street removes US Fund arm from climate group
State Street, third largest asset manager in the world, announced that it will withdraw the majority of its operations from the main global climate alliance of the sector, despite its efforts to retain its members by relaxing the rules. State Street's spokesperson did not give a reason for its decision to withdraw its U.S. division from the Net Zero Asset Managers program, but said that the European units would continue to be part of the State Street group. State Street's spokesperson stated that they were "determined to redefine our membership to NZAM in order to support our clients who have net-zero investment goals and objectives". State Street Investment Management's decision, which involves $5.4 trillion of assets, coincides with other major U.S. funds evaluating their memberships in light of rule changes. This is in response to political pressure from the United States and in advance of climate talks in Brazil. NZAM HAS CHANGED THE STATEMENT OF ITS MEMBERSHIP CONDITIONS NZAM was launched five years ago with the aim of addressing financial risks associated with climate change, and providing a platform for collective actions. However, critics have accused it of possible antitrust violations. Vanguard, followed by BlackRock as the industry leader, left the group. This prompted NZAM's review of their activities which culminated on Wednesday with confirmation that membership rules will be relaxed. JPMorgan’s fund division also left the group back in March. NZAM no longer requires members to achieve net-zero emissions portfolio by the mid-century or to set interim goals. Members will be asked to do simpler things, such as providing information on climate risk to clients. State Street refused to discuss the new rules or specify what percentage of assets would be covered by NZAM membership. Other firms that assess membership State Street stated that its EU and UK subsidiaries remain "subjected to our fiduciary duty to our clients", and added that its business "remains at all times independent in investment decisions". The language could be used to counter claims made in Texas, where the Republican Attorney General of Texas has sued State Street BlackRock and Vanguard for their climate records and cited NZAM membership as proof that they have engaged in improper collective behavior. A judge in August allowed the majority of claims to proceed. Maria Elena Drew said that T. Rowe Price, the Global Head of Sustainability at T. Rowe Price, would be reviewing whether it remained a signatory after a period of three months evaluation by NZAM. She said: "Whether or not we do, we are committed to making investment decisions and stewardship with an understanding all material risks, opportunities, and those related to climate and environment," Wellington Management sent an email to say that they were currently reviewing the NZAM commitment. We maintain that we believe material ESG factors, such as climate considerations can impact the long-term value and profitability of assets in which we invest. It is therefore in the best interests of our clients for us to analyse them. (Editing by Kirsten Doovan)
Weekly oil price rises as US sanctions against Iran and OPEC cutbacks
The oil prices continued to rise on Thursday, as the supply was expected to be tighter after Washington imposed new sanctions to curtail Iranian oil trade. Some OPEC producers also pledged to cut their output to compensate for pumping more than agreed quotas.
Brent crude futures increased 55 cents or 0.8% to $66.40 per barrel at 0321 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 66 cents or 1.1%, reaching $63.13 per barrel.
The benchmarks for both currencies settled at 2% higher levels on Wednesday, their highest since April 3. They are now on course to see their first weekly increase in three weeks. Thursday is the final settlement day for the week before Good Friday and the Easter holiday.
Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said: "I believe the rally is due to a few factors - shorts covering and the weaker USD, which makes crude cheaper to purchase. Also, U.S. sanctions against Iran."
He said that WTI may rise to $65 or $67 per barrel, but further gains could be difficult.
Sycamore stated that if we assume the U.S. GDP will be flat for the next two years and the Chinese GDP will slow to somewhere in the range of 3%-4%, this is not good news for crude oil.
The Trump administration issued new sanctions on Iran's oil trade on Wednesday. These included a "teapot oil refinery" in China. This is a way to increase pressure on Tehran as talks about the country's nuclear program escalate.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, (OPEC), said Wednesday that it received updated plans from Iraq, Kazakhstan, and other countries for further production cuts to compensate pumping over quotas.
Michael McCarthy, CEO Moomoo, said that "these factors" could have affected sentiment – would argue that Iranian output (is) not important and that OPEC quotas are more often violated than observed. But both factors contributed to the more bullish mood.
Big draws on U.S. gasoline and distillates stocks and a smaller-than-expected gain in weekly crude inventories also bolstered markets, he said.
McCarthy stated that the recent drop in refining may indicate a bottleneck in supply.
OPEC, International Energy Agency, and Goldman Sachs, as well as several banks including JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, have all cut their forecasts for oil prices and growth in demand this week, despite the fact that U.S. Tariffs and retaliation by other countries has thrown global trade into chaos.
The World Trade Organization has said that it expects the trade of goods to decline by 0.2% in this year. This is down from its October expectation of a 3.0% increase. (Reporting and editing by Tom Hogue; Florence Tan, Reporting)
(source: Reuters)