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The second consecutive weekly increase in oil prices is due to Iran sanctions and planned OPEC+ reductions

The second consecutive weekly increase in oil prices is due to Iran sanctions and planned OPEC+ reductions

Oil prices rose Friday and were on track for a second consecutive week of gains as new U.S. Sanctions against Iran and a plan by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+), to reduce output, raised bets that supply would tighten.

Brent crude futures rose 21 cents or 0.3% to $72.21 per barrel at 0435 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 25 cents or 0.4% to $68.32 per barrel.

Brent and WTI are on track for weekly gains of about 2%. This is their largest weekly gain since the first weeks of 2025.

The United States Treasury announced new Iran sanctions on Thursday, targeting for the first-time an independent Chinese refiner as well as other entities and vessels that were involved in supplying Iranian oil to China.

Analysts at RBC Capital Markets wrote in a Friday note that the sanctions against Chinese entities represented "a clear escalation of sanctions policy".

They wrote: "While physical implications may be minimal, we believe it is reasonable to take the risk premium in this case more seriously."

This was Washington's fourth round since U.S. president Donald Trump promised in February to reimpose "maximum" pressure on Tehran and pledged to drive down the country's exports of oil to zero.

Analysts from ANZ Bank expect a reduction of 1 million barrels of crude oil per day (bpd), due to tighter sanctions. Kpler, a vessel tracking service, estimated that Iranian crude oil exported in February was over 1.8 millions bpd.

The new OPEC+ Plan announced on Thursday, which calls for seven members of the group to cut their output further to compensate for production levels that are higher than those agreed upon, also helped to support oil prices. The plan will represent monthly reductions between 189,000 and 435,000 barrels per day (bpd) and last until June 2026.

OPEC+ confirmed earlier this month that eight members will proceed with a 138,000 bpd increase in April. This would reverse some of the 5,85 million bpd output cuts that were agreed to as part of a series steps taken since 2022 for the support of the market.

"The group may have a plan to reduce compensation, but that doesn't guarantee members will adhere to it. In a Friday note, ING analysts noted that a few members consistently exceeded their production targets. Reporting by Shariq KHan in New York, and Sudarshan VARADHAN in Singapore. Editing by Shri Navaratnam & Kate Mayberry

(source: Reuters)