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Oil costs increase 2% on China optimism as investors return from holiday

Oil prices increased about 2% on Thursday as financiers returned for the first trading day of the new year with an optimistic eye on China's economy and fuel demand after a promise by President Xi Jinping to promote growth.

Brent unrefined futures increased $1.65, or 2.2%, to $76.29 a. barrel by 11:17 a.m. EST (1617 GMT), after getting 65 cents on. Tuesday, the last trading day of 2024. U.S. West Texas. Intermediate crude climbed up $1.75, or 2.4%, at $73.47.

Xi said in his New Year's address on Tuesday that China. would carry out more proactive policies to promote development in. 2025.

China's factory activity grew in December, a Caixin/S&& P. Global study revealed on Thursday, but at a slower speed than. anticipated, amidst issues about how tariffs proposed by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will impact trade.

The information echoed an official survey launched on Tuesday,. which showed China's manufacturing activity barely grew in. December. However, services and construction fared much better, with. the information recommending policy stimulus is dripping into some. sectors.

Weaker Chinese data is seen by some experts as positive for. oil prices because it might prompt Beijing to accelerate its. stimulus programme.

Swelling fuel inventories in the United States, nevertheless,. minimal gains.

U.S. oil stocks information from the Energy Info. Administration on Thursday, launched a day later than typical due. to the New Year vacation, showed that fuel and extract. inventories leapt last week.

U.S. fuel stocks swelled by 7.7 million. barrels in the week to 231.4 million barrels, while? extract. stockpiles, that include diesel and heating oil,. increased by 6.4 million barrels in the week to 122.9 million. barrels.

Unrefined stockpiles, meanwhile, fell less than expected,. reducing by 1.2 million barrels to 415.6 million barrels last. week compared to analysts' expectations in a Reuters survey for. a 2.8-million-barrel draw.

As traders go back to their desks, they are probably weighing. greater geopolitical risks and Trump running the U.S. economy red. hot against the anticipated impact of tariffs, stated IG market. expert Tony Sycamore.

Tomorrow's U.S. ISM making release will be essential to. crude oil's next move, Sycamore stated.

Sycamore stated WTI's weekly chart is winding itself into a. tighter variety, recommending that a big relocation is coming.

Rather than attempting to forecast in which method the break will. happen, we would be inclined to wait for the break and then go. with it, he added.

Oil rates are most likely to be constrained near $70 a barrel in. 2025, down for a third year after a 3% decrease in 2024, with. weak Chinese need and increasing global materials offsetting OPEC+. efforts to support the market, a Reuters survey showed.

In Europe, Russia stopped gas pipeline exports through. Ukraine on New Year's Day after the transit arrangement expired on. Dec. 31. The European Union has organized alternative supply. ahead of the widely expected stoppage while Hungary will keep. getting Russian gas through the TurkStream pipeline under the. Black Sea.

(source: Reuters)