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The Russian Central Bank says it will consider the rise in gasoline prices when determining rate changes

Elvira Nabibullina, the governor of Russia's central banking institution, said that she will consider the impact of a rise in gasoline prices on inflation expectations and make decisions about possible interest rate reductions.

Since the beginning of the year, gasoline prices, which are closely monitored by the authorities, have risen 10.2% above the general inflation rate. This spike is partly attributed to the intensification of Ukrainian attacks against Russian refineries.

Calculations in August revealed that Ukrainian attacks and maintenance work reduced Russian oil refinery by nearly a fifth at certain times. Russia extended its ban on gasoline exports to control domestic prices.

Nabiullina said that gasoline is one of the "marker commodities" that impacts people's expectations about inflation, and that it's an important factor the central bank board considers when making rate decisions.

The rise in gasoline costs could slow the decline in inflation expectations. "Unfortunately, they are still at a high level," Nabiullina stated. The next major rate decision will be made by the board on October 24, 2009.

In an economy that was overheating, the central bank raised interest rates last year to the highest level in the past decade, 21%. In several steps this year, it has cut rates down to 17%. It says that inflation is slowing.

Nabiullina stated that the gasoline price spike was an "one-off event" and would not have any lasting impact on inflation. She stated that the central banks still has some room to reduce rates this year.

The decisions for the rest of the year have not been predetermined. Nabiullina stated that everything will depend on how the economy develops. Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya. (Editing by Andrew Osborn, Mark Potter and Mark Potter).

(source: Reuters)