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China's air travel fuel demand expected to increase 13% in 2024 - CNPC research

China's air travel fuel consumption is likely to expand 13.1% this year on a rise in passenger travel, however its petroleum imports might remain flat, according to projections by a research study arm of state energy giant China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC).

Aviation fuel intake might strike 39.3 million metric lots this year, and crude oil imports are anticipated to increase 0.1% to 565 million metric loads, or about 11.3 million barrels each day ( bpd), CNPC's Economic & & Technology Research Institute (ETRI). said in its annual outlook on Wednesday.

Kerosene need has actually been widely anticipated to grow even more. this year, as China's global flight demand slowly. recovers in the post-COVID travel market. Worldwide traffic. remained depressed, at 53% of pre-COVID levels at completion of. 2023, LSEG data revealed.

Kerosene consumption is in a period of post-epidemic. recovery and quick growth, said Wang Lining, head of the oil. marketing researches unit at ETRI.

With increasing per capita incomes and the improving air. transport facilities, China's kerosene need still has. space to increase, Wang included.

China's kerosene demand is anticipated to reach 54 million heaps. in 2030 and to peak in 2040, according to ETRI figures.

Broader economic pressures have weighed on demand for diesel,. a crucial fuel for trucks in the logistics and building sectors,. as CNPC anticipated diesel usage to fall 2.8% this year to 196. million metric tons.

Gas usage, nevertheless, may grow 1.3% to 165.1. million metric lots, CNPC said.

Analysts have anticipated China's fuel need will likely. peak between 2024 and 2025, as a rollout of electrical cars. ( EVs) continues at breakneck speed. EV sales are anticipated to. represent 40% of about 23 million overall vehicle sales this year.

National crude oil throughput is seen growing 1.8% to a. record 752 million tons, or 15.04 million bpd, with average. refinery utilisation rate pegged at 78.3%, off a little from. last year's 78.9%, CNPC added.

Natural gas demand was forecast to grow 6.1% to reach 415.7. billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2024, with imports expected to. represent 43.1% of this.

LNG imports are expected to grow 8.1% to total 77.11 million. lots this year, slightly listed below 2021's record of 78.93 million. lots in spite of a considerable boost in LNG port getting. capacity over the last year.

(source: Reuters)