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EUROPE GAS-Prices firm regardless of healthy supply and demand balance

April 10 - Dutch and British wholesale gas rates posted gains on Wednesday early morning in spite of couple of modifications to weather, supply or need outlooks, however they could reverse instructions before the end of the day as in current sessions.

The benchmark front-month agreement at the Dutch TTF center inched up by 0.25 euro to 27.55 euros per megawatt hour ( MWh) by 0859 GMT, while the day-ahead contract was 0.20 euro greater at 27.75 euros/MWh.

In Britain, the within-day agreement was up 1.50 pence at 67.50 pence per therm, while day-ahead agreement was up 1.50 cent at 67.00 p/therm.

Today, (I) can't really find a strong reason behind this, a trader said, including that Norwegian gas flows were higher and there was still strong wind output in Britain.

It's likely that this is reversed through the day, the trader stated of the rate direction.

Front-month contracts could check key support levels at 68 and 66 p/therm, and 27 euros/MWh respectively, he added.

Peak wind power generation in Britain will stay high at 17 gigawatts (GW) on both Tuesday and Wednesday, according to Elexon data, out of overall metered capability of over 20 GW.

Total Norwegian export elections are at 338 million cubic metres (mcm) a day compared to 331 mcm/day yesterday.

Temperatures in north-west Europe and Britain will increase highly in the coming days to nearly double their seasonal average before dropping to below typical from Monday, LSEG data revealed.

Gas prices witnessed an incremental increase over the past month, followed by a stabilisation period driven by signs of growing competition for liquefied natural gas, Andy Sommer, head of essential Analysis at Axpo said in a month-to-month report.

Notably, strong purchasing interest emerged in Asia, set off by substantial discounts on oil-linked contracts, he added.

Nevertheless, geopolitical tensions remain a larger issue and might support prices, analysts at Energi Danmark stated in their morning report.

Oil costs increased on Wednesday as the deadlock in Gaza ceasefire talks renewed unpredictability about the security of materials from the Middle East.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was 0.11 euro firmer at 64.18 euros per metric load.

(source: Reuters)