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The Russian rouble is expected to continue its decline against the dollar.

The Russian rouble fell sharply against the U.S. Dollar on Thursday. It lost more than 2%. China's currency, the yuan, also hit multi-month lows as a result of fading tax-related support amid rising imports and lower oil prices.

Analysts have predicted that August will be the weakest rouble month of the year so far, due to the Ukrainian attacks on energy infrastructure, which are driving up the imports for fuel and equipment for refinery repair, increasing the domestic demand for foreign currency.

The rouble was supported earlier in the week by exporters who sold?foreign currency revenue before Friday's monthly taxes. But on Thursday, it fell to 12.879 against the yuan at the Moscow exchange. This is its lowest level since?February?2025.

According to LSEG, the euro lost 2.3% against the dollar to reach 86.30. This is its lowest level since March.

In a recent note, Bank Saint Petersburg analysts said that the falling oil price put pressure on Russian currency. Most exporters probably had already sold enough foreign-currency income to pay taxes.

Oil prices have been falling for a number of days this week. However, they started to rise on Thursday when traders weighed the lingering risk of oil supply disruptions from the Middle East against signs of diplomatic progress with Iran.

After the tax deadline, the rouble could continue to lose value. One broker from a major Russian Bank said that it could weaken to?88 or 89 per dollar in the near future.

Andrey Zatepin, analyst at Alor Broker, said that the decline could be accelerated in the first few days of September. (Reporting and writing by the Moscow bureau; Editing and proofreading by Timothy Heritage).

(source: Reuters)