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Gold falls for the third consecutive week due to Fed's hawkish signals

Gold falls for the third consecutive week due to Fed's hawkish signals
Gold falls for the third consecutive week due to Fed's hawkish signals

Gold prices dropped?on Friday. The yellow metal is now on course for its?third consecutive weekly decline. This was due to a stronger U.S. Dollar and a Federal Reserve that has become more hawkish.

By 1306 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.9% to $4,169.44 an ounce, after hitting its lowest level in over a year at $4119.78. Since June 5, it has traded below the 200-day moving mean.

U.S. Gold Futures dropped 1.4% to $4,186.50.

The U.S. Dollar was heading for a weekly increase, making metals priced in greenbacks less affordable to holders of other currencies.

Nikos Tzabouras is a senior market analyst for Jefferies' Tradu.com. He said that gold faces the distinct risk of falling deeper into bear-market territory, and below $4,000/oz, as it continues to navigate through a difficult environment.

Tzabouras said that "higher Fed expectations for longer are toxic to non-yielding assets while benefiting the Dollar."

Nine out of 19 U.S. policymakers now believe they will have to raise the Fed policy rate this coming year. This is according to the projections made by the Fed board on Wednesday when it decided to keep the rate at its current range of 3.50% to 3.75%.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders currently believe that there is a 70% probability of a Fed rate hike in September.

Tzabouras said that gold's "trajectory depends on the developments in the U.S. Iran negotiations, the U.S. inflation update next week and how the markets price the Fed going forward".

Switzerland announced that U.S. negotiations with Iranian negotiators to end the Middle East conflict will?not be held?on Friday as Vice President JDVance canceled plans to visit the European country.

A senior U.S. official said that Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a "ceasefire" which will begin at 1300 GMT this Friday.

Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecast for gold prices to $4,900 an ounce in December from the previous projection of $5,000. Goldman Sachs said that its price views are structurally "constructive" but tactfully cautious with near-term downside risks and medium-term upside risks.

Spot silver dropped 1.1% to $65.11 an ounce. Platinum fell 1.7% to $1.667.14 and palladium declined 1.9% to 1,254.69. All three metals are headed for weekly losses.

(source: Reuters)