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After the US government shutdown, copper prices stutter on weak China data

After a four-day streak of gains, copper struggled on Thursday to continue its upward trajectory as the positive sentiment surrounding the end of the U.S. Government shutdown was countered by the weak lending data coming from China, the world's largest metals consumer.

As of 1025 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange had not changed much. It was $10,937.50 a metric ton. The price of copper rose by as much as 0.4% earlier in the day to $10,984, but fell short of the psychologically important $11,000 mark.

Last month, copper reached a new record of $11,200 on fears over disruptions in mine supply.

Ewa Manthey, ING analyst, said that for the rally to continue, stronger demand – particularly from China as the largest consumer – will be critical. Prices will be range bound for the time being.

The longest government shutdown ever in US history was ended by President Donald Trump's signature of a bill on Wednesday. Investors have welcomed the reopening of the government, as it reduces uncertainty in the market and will allow them to access economic data again to gauge the U.S. Economy.

China's new loans fell dramatically in October compared to the previous month. This was below expectations due to persistently weak borrowing demand. Investors await a number of economic data from China, which will be released this Friday. These include new home prices and retail sales as well as industrial output.

Manthey stated that in the short term, disruptions to supply should keep copper prices at around $10,000.

Other LME metals were flat at $2.894 per ton. Zinc fell 0.3% to $3,000, nickel fell 0.2% to $15,000, and lead was down 0.7% to $2.079.50. Tin rose 0.6% to $37,560.00 from its previous high of April.

Data from Indonesia's trade ministry revealed on Monday that the country's tin refinement exports to China dropped by over 50% in October compared to last year, resulting in concerns about supply. (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich, Leroy Leo and Leroy Leo; Additional reporting by Dylan Duan; and Lewis Jackson).

(source: Reuters)