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Gold drops 1% due to uncertainty over rate cuts, but is set to rise for a third consecutive month

Gold prices fell 1% on the Friday due to uncertainty over another interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve this year. However, gold is still poised for its third consecutive monthly gain.

At 12.46 pm, spot gold dropped 1% to $3.984.49 an ounce. ET (1646 GMT), and is on track to gain 3.3% this month.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell by 0.5% to $3,997 an ounce.

Dollar index was near its three-month-high, making bullion priced in greenbacks more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Beth Hammack, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said that she was opposed to the central bank lowering interest rates this coming week. She added that the Fed must maintain some restrictions to reduce inflation.

Hammack is crushing gold, as she is the third Fed regional president to publicly oppose rate cuts given high inflation. Hammack is a FOMC member in 2026, and this shows that the market overestimated lower rates.

CME FedWatch showed that the Fed reduced interest rates on Wednesday. However, hawkish comments from Chairman Jerome Powell have led to a drop in market expectations from 90% earlier this week to 63% now.

When interest rates rise, gold loses its appeal as it is not a yielding asset. This metal is up 53% in the past year and reached a new record high on October 20, reaching $4,381.21.

Morgan Stanley stated on Friday that it still sees gold as a positive investment due to interest rate reductions, ETF flows, central bank purchases, and the ongoing uncertainty in the economy. The bank anticipates that gold will average $4,300 during the first half 2026.

U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Thursday that he would reduce tariffs against China from 57% to 47% in exchange for Beijing crackingdown on the illicit fentanyl market, resumed U.S. soya bean purchases and kept rare earths exports flowing.

Silver fell by 0.7%, to $48.58 an ounce. Platinum fell 1.7%, to $1.582.89 and palladium dropped 0.2%, to $1.442.01. (Reporting and editing by Deepababington, Vijay Kishore, and Alexander Smith, with reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru and Pablo Sinha).

(source: Reuters)