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EU ramps up retaliation as US tariff deal prospects diminish

EU ramps up retaliation as US tariff deal prospects diminish

According to EU diplomats, the European Union is looking at a wider range of countermeasures that could be taken against the United States. This comes as the prospects of an acceptable trade deal with Washington are fading.

Diplomats report that a growing number of EU member states, including Germany are considering implementing a wide range of "anti-coercion measures" which would allow the bloc to target U.S. service and other sectors if negotiated deals were not reached.

The European Commission (which negotiates trade deals on behalf of 27 member countries) had seemed to be on track for an agreement where the EU would have still faced a 10% U.S. duty on most of its exported goods, but with some concessions.

These hopes seem to have been dashed following President Donald Trump’s threat to impose 30% tariffs by August 1 and the talks between EU Trade Commissar Maros SEFCIOVIC and U.S. counterparts last week in Washington.

Sefcovic who said that a 30% tariff on transatlantic trade would "practically prevent" it, gave a sobering report to EU envoys about the current situation on Friday.

The EU diplomats said that the U.S. counterparts he met with had proposed divergent solutions, including a base rate of well over 10%.

Each interlocutor had a different idea. One diplomat stated that no one could tell what (Sefcovic), would work with Trump.

The chances of the United States reducing or eliminating their 50% tariffs on aluminum and steel, and 25% on automobiles and auto parts are limited.

'NUCLEAR OPTION'

Washington also rejected the EU demand for a'standstill' arrangement whereby no tariffs will be imposed following a deal. Diplomats claim that Trump cannot be restrained on issues of national security. This is the reason for Section 232 investigations into timber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals.

EU diplomats report that the mood among EU member states has shifted, and that they are now more willing to respond, even though a negotiation solution is still their preferred choice.

The EU currently has a package of tariffs that are suspended until the 6th of August. It is on goods worth 24.5 billion dollars (21.5 billion euros) from the United States. The EU still has to decide on another set of countermeasures for 72 billion euro of U.S. imports.

The EU has also been discussing the use of its "anti-coercion instrument" (ACI), which allows it to take retaliatory action against third-country countries who put economic pressure on their member states to alter their policies.

It would be possible to restrict U.S. investments, or limit U.S. access to financial services or public procurement markets, if the bloc was more focused on China.

France has always backed the ACI. Others have resisted what they see as a nuclear alternative. Trump has threatened to retaliate against other countries who take action against the United States.

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, said last week that ACI was designed for situations beyond normal. She added: "We're not there yet."

It would require a majority of 15 EU countries, which represents 65% of its population, to be able to use it. Diplomats in the EU say that it would only do this if it felt confident about passing it. However, there are signs of increasing support, including Germany, who has said it should be taken into consideration. Reporting by Philip Blenkinsop, Andrew Gray and Andrew Heavens; editing by Andrew Heavens.

(source: Reuters)