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Copper prices rise on the back of dollar weakness but demand is still cloudy

The copper price rose on Thursday due to a weaker US dollar. However, persistent concerns about demand and unresolved tensions in trade continue to cloud the outlook for the market.

The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.2% to $9,667 per metric tonne by 0925 GMT.

Dollars are cheaper for those who use other currencies.

The weaker dollar is providing some support. "But more generally, uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations continues pressure cyclical assets such as copper," said Nitesh Sharma, commodities strategist at WisdomTree.

U.S. president Donald Trump said Wednesday that he was willing to extend the deadline of July 8 for the completion of trade talks. He added, however, that the U.S. will send letters to dozens of countries in the coming weeks, detailing the terms of the trade agreements, which they can then accept or reject.

UBS stated in a report that the most recent manufacturing PMIs in China, Europe and the U.S. remain in contractionary territory, underlining the drag of the ongoing tariff situation.

The PMI is indicating that the final demand for copper will be low. The note said that some demand was front-loaded ahead of U.S. Tariffs, which has helped copper consumption. U.S. Imports have also tightened the market in other countries.

Washington began an investigation in February into U.S. imports of copper, which pushed COMEX prices up to a significant premium over LME. Trading firms have taken advantage of the situation and redirected copper flow from other regions to the U.S.

U.S. COMEX Copper Futures dropped 0.2% to $4.80 a lb. This brings the premium over LME Copper to $920 a tonne.

Ivanhoe Mines, a major copper producer in the Democratic Republic of Congo announced Wednesday that underground operations had been resumed at a portion of the mine, which was previously suspended due to seismic activity. The company has lowered its guidance for production this year.

"Downgrades in production estimates, particularly from the DRC, are weighing down on the outlook for supply." According to Shah, "the market will be in a deficit of supply by the end of the year."

LME aluminium rose 0.2%, to $2,521.5. Zinc fell 0.4%, to $2,642.5. Nickel dropped 0.5%, to $15,100. Tin remained at $32,605. Lead gained 0.2%, to $1,990.5. (Reporting and editing by Jan Harvey in Bengaluru, Ashitha Shivaprasad from Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)