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SNB paper warns against interpreting Swiss export data because of gold demand

In a paper published by the Swiss National Bank on Tuesday, the bank urged caution when interpreting Switzerland's statistics regarding its foreign trade. The paper argued that the increased global demand for gold has led to an increase in the surplus of the country with important partners such as the United States.

Last week, Swiss officials were shocked when U.S. president Donald Trump announced that the United States would impose higher import tariffs than the European Union and Britain.

The demand for gold as a safe haven during global unrest can significantly impact Swiss accounts abroad data, according to an economic note from SNB economist Laurence Wicht. Switzerland is also a major hub for gold refining, and it's a major transit country.

It said that gold-driven changes in Swiss data on the external sector should be carefully studied as they are a reflection of global factors and not changes to Swiss economic fundamentals.

Wicht stated in the six-page report that the U.S. Tariffs were not mentioned.

The Trump administration announced that it would impose a tariff of 31% on Switzerland and 20% on the EU. These figures were calculated based on U.S. trade deficits with other countries.

Documents showed that deviations from bilateral net gold exports had increased the Swiss trade surplus with America, now the single largest export market for Switzerland.

The note stated that gold refineries in Switzerland produce about a third of the refined gold sold worldwide. It also said the country was the fourth-largest issuer of exchange-traded gold funds.

Imports and exports mean that by 2024, gold will account for 27% of all goods traded in Switzerland. Pharmaceutical products, at 22%, will be second.

The United States has exempted gold, silver and platinum-group metals from tariffs. (Reporting and editing by Friederike Hiene and Bernadette B. Baum; Dave Graham, Reporting)

(source: Reuters)