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NextEra Energy and Google partner to restart Iowa nuclear power plant
NextEra Energy, a U.S. utility company, and Alphabet’s Google signed a power supply agreement that would help restart Duane Arnold Nuclear Plant in Iowa. After years of stagnation the nuclear industry is experiencing a renaissance. This is due to a massive surge in demand for power as Big Tech searches for cleaner energy sources to power its data centers. After the bell, NextEra Energy shares rose by over 1%. They now stand at $87.24. After 45 years of operation, the Duane Arnold Energy Center with a capacity of 600 megawatts was shut down in 2020. The U.S. has not restarted a fully closed nuclear reactor, but Duane-Arnold would be one of three plants currently in the process. NextEra reported that the Duane Arnold Energy Center in Palo, Iowa is the only nuclear plant in the state. It is expected to be reopened by the first quarter of 2020. The agreement will last 25 years and the tech giant is expected to purchase electricity from the 615 MW plant in order to power its cloud-based AI infrastructure, as well as driving economic investment into the Midwest region. NextEra announced that Central Iowa Power Cooperative, a minority owner of the plant, will buy the remaining output of the plant on the same terms and conditions as Google. NextEra now owns the entire plant. The utility also announced that it has signed agreements with CIPCO and Corn Belt Power Cooperative to purchase their combined 30% stake in Duane Arnold.
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Wall St reaches new highs thanks to tech earnings and US-China trade optimism
Wall Street's major indexes closed at record highs on Monday for the second consecutive day as investors were optimistic about the prospects of a U.S. China trade deal. They also looked forward to an exciting week that will include high-profile earnings from the technology sector and the widely anticipated U.S. rate cut. U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping will meet on Thursday in order to decide on a plan that could pause the tougher U.S. duties and China's export restrictions on rare earths. This would ease market jitters about a possible trade war, and send Wall Street's VIX "fear gauge", to a month-low. During his weekend TV appearances Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, spoke about the agreements reached after two days of talks on trade in Malaysia. These included China purchasing U.S. soya beans and rare-earths. Scott Wren of the Wells Fargo Investment Institute, St. Louis Missouri, commented that Bessent's remarks, along with the upcoming summit, boosted expectations for a easing of U.S. China tensions. The earnings of five of the "Magnificent Seven", namely Microsoft, Apple Alphabet Amazon and Meta, will be released later this week. This will test the durability of the rally in the stock market, which is largely based on the optimism surrounding growth and capital expenditures relating to artificial intelligence. Wren said that "the market expects to see confirmation of all the AI CapEx, revenues and profits coming from AI," with five out of seven Mag Seven reports reporting this week. Preliminary data shows that the S&P 500 rose 82.92, or 1.2%, to 6,874.61 while the Nasdaq Composite grew 431.22 or 1.86% to 23,636.09. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 333.87, or 0.71% to 47,540.99. Communication services, consumer discretionary, and technology are all major S&P 500 sectors that have seen a sharp rise. Materials and consumer staples were the laggards. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index has reached a new record high. Qualcomm's shares soared after the company announced two AI chips that will be available in data centers next year. Nvidia, the leader in AI chips, also rose. On the same day, shares of Chinese companies listed in the U.S., including Alibaba Group Holdings, JD.com Holdings, PDD Holdings, and Baidu, also rose. FED RATE FULLY PRICED IN The Federal Reserve's rate-cutting plans are all but set after last week's lower inflation figures. Investors will be watching Jerome Powell for any clues about a December cut as the U.S. shutdown delays key data releases. Keurig Dr Pepper shares rose after raising $7 billion in order to finance the purchase of Dutch coffee giant JDE Peet’s. Lululemon's shares rose after it announced a partnership to launch a clothing collection with the National Football League. Janus Henderson's shares rose after the company confirmed that it had received an acquisition offer from Trian and General Catalyst. After President Javier Milei won the election, shares of Argentine firms listed in the U.S. soared. Reporting by Sinead carew in New York and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru. Editing by Pooja desai, Devika syamnath, and Richard Chang.
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Australian financiers establish investment company to tap into strategic metals boom
Former executives of Australia's resources investor Taurus launched on Tuesday a company that could provide funding up to $500m per project in multiple strategic metals projects worldwide. This would help junior miners fill the funding gap. Benwerrin is an investment management firm that aims to boost the supply of metals like copper, which are in high demand for energy transition, data centers, and defence at a moment when the U.S., and its allies, are searching for alternatives to China, the dominant producer. "The 'why now?' There is a market crying out for investment. Martin Boland, Managing Partner at Investec, said that there are a large number of projects across many commodities. Due to U.S. regulations on fund-raising, he could not reveal how much money the firm had available to invest. However, he said that it would target junior and mid-tier miner. He said that private capital will need to fill in the void left by traditional capital providers. Interest in the sector is growing The International Finance Corporation and other government institutions are increasingly seeking to work with resource investors who can help them develop high-risk mining projects. The U.S. government and Abu Dhabi announced last week that Orion Resource Partners in New York, one of the largest mining investment firms in the world, would be receiving $1.8 billion to support global mining projects and refinery. Doug Silver, the co-founder of Orion and an early architect of what is called a mine finance method known as streaming, will be working with Benwerrin as an advisor. Boland stated that the firm evaluates opportunities ranging from the low end, tens and millions of dollars to the upper half of a billion dollar range. The company will invest in the development of base metals such as copper and precious metals. It also makes investments in bulks as well as some industrial metals. However, it won't be investing in metals processing, or in frontier areas such as West Africa. He said, "Africa remains a very attractive investment for us. But we are probably investing a little more selectively now than five years ago." Boland stated that rare earths, which are often highly complex projects with high execution risks, will not be the focus of Boland's attention. Benwerrin is named after an Aboriginal word that means "long hill". It will provide capital primarily for brownfield projects and buyout activities, which are mining sites with existing infrastructure. This can be in the form of loans, or as a return for a stream or royalty. These contracts exchange a percentage of revenue or production for funding. Franco-Nevada, a $37 billion gold mining company in North America, has made them a popular form of capital. Boland is one of the three Taurus employees who have joined Benwerrin. The team will consist of 14 specialists in various sectors, including sustainability, from Perth, Melbourne Vancouver, Toronto, and Denver. Boland stated that mining is attracting investors seeking exposure to inflation linked gains from real assets. He also said that not only certain metals are needed for battery technologies, but a wide range. The energy transition, AI demand profiles, and the need for defense - these are all factors that make people realize the importance of mined commodities. (Reporting by Melanie Burton; Editing by Sonali Paul)
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Wall St reaches new highs thanks to tech earnings and US-China trade optimism
Wall Street's major indexes hit new record highs Monday, as the excitement surrounding a possible U.S. China trade deal set a tone for a busy week of high-profile earnings from technology companies and a widely anticipated interest rate reduction. On Thursday, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping (the Chinese counterpart) will meet to discuss the future of the U.S.-China relationship. A framework This could stop the tougher U.S. Tariffs and China's export restrictions on rare earths. It would also ease market anxiety about a possible trade war, and send Wall Street's VIX "fear gauge", to a month-low. During his weekend TV appearances the U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent After two days of talks on trade in Malaysia, the United States and China had reached agreements about China purchasing U.S. soya beans and its rare earth exports. Scott Wren said that Bessent’s comments boosted the hopes of easing U.S. China tensions. He is a senior global market analyst at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, located in St. Louis. Five heavyweights " Magnificent Seven The "group" - Microsoft Apple Alphabet Amazon and Meta will test this week the durability of the rally in the stock market, which is largely based on the optimism surrounding growth and capital expenditures relating to artificial intelligence. Wren said that "the market expects to see confirmation of all the AI CapEx, revenues and profits coming from AI," with five out of seven Mag Seven reports reporting this week. As of 2:12 pm ET The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 214.35, or 0.45% to 47,421.47. The S&P 500 rose 69.51, or 1.02 %, to 6,861.20, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 400.31, or 1.72 %, to 23,604.75. Communication services, consumer discretionary, and technology were the three most active sectors in the S&P 500, while materials and consumer staples lagged behind. Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index hit a new record high, and was the last to gain 2.5%. Qualcomm's shares soared 13% following the announcement of two AI chips that will be available in data centers next year. Nvidia, the leader in AI chips, rose 2.5%. U.S. listed shares of Chinese companies rose on Monday. Alibaba Group Holdings, JD.com, and PDD Holdings all rose by more than 2%. Baidu gained 5%. FED RATE CUTS FULLY PRICED In Cooler inflation numbers last week have all but sealed the bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Investors are closely monitoring Chair Jerome Powell’s comments to get clues about a December rate cut as the U.S. shutdown delays key data releases. Tesla, among individual stocks, was up 5.7%. It was S&P 500’s second largest gain behind Nvidia. Keurig Dr Pepper shares jumped by 7% following an increase in its sales forecast. The company raised $7 billion for the purchase of Dutch coffee giant JDE Peet’s. Lululemon's shares rose by 2% following the announcement of a partnership between the company and the National Football League for the launch of an apparel collection. U.S. listed shares of Argentinean companies soared after the election victory of President Javier Milei. YPF grew by 22.5%. Banco Macro jumped 37%. Banco BBVA Argentina and Grupo Financiero Galicia both advanced by around 40%. Janus Henderson's stock soared nearly 13% following the confirmation of an acquisition proposal by Trian and General Catalyst. On the NYSE, there were 529 highs and 63 lows. On the Nasdaq 2,482 shares rose, while 2,137 fell. The ratio of advancing to declining issues was 1.16:1. The S&P 500 recorded 34 new highs for the past 52 weeks and three new lowests, while the Nasdaq Composite registered 123 highs for this period and 48 lows. Reporting by Sinead carew in New York; Pranav Kashyap, Twesha dikshit and Richard Chang in Bengaluru. Editing by Pooja desai, Devika syamnath, and Richard Chang.
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The US appeals Court overturns the fraud conviction of Iconix founder Cole
On Monday, a federal appeals court in Manhattan overturned Neil Cole's conviction for defrauding the investors of the revenue and earnings of the apparel licensing company. The 2nd U.S. The 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that Cole's conviction for eight counts and an 18-month sentence violated the Fifth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which prohibits a person from being tried twice in the same case. A panel of three judges ruled that Cole's conviction at a November 2022 retrial was founded on a theory rejected by a different jury in October 2021 when they acquitted Cole of conspiracy charges and were deadlocked over other charges. The court dismissed the indictment. Iconix has its headquarters in Manhattan. Iconix's portfolio includes brands such as Candie's, Danskin, Fieldcrest, Joe Boxer, London Fog, Marc Ecko, Pony, and Rocawear created by rapper Jay-Z. Cole was accused by the prosecutors of orchestrating a number of "round-trip" transactions in which a unit from Hong Kong clothing licensing company Li & Fung paid too much for certain assets with the understanding that it would receive a refund. The prosecution said that Cole inflate Iconix’s 2014 results by only reporting the inflated prices of purchase to investors. In Monday's decision, Circuit Judge Susan Carney said the original conspiracy acquittal meant the first jury must have doubted that Cole verbally engineered fraudulent "overpayments-for-givebacks" agreements. Carney wrote that "evidence of Cole's participation in these agreements was indisputably crucial to his conviction" on the charges. The Double Jeopardy Clause prevented Cole from a retrial. The Manhattan office of U.S. attorney Jay Clayton had no comments, but sent an auto-reply email invoking the government shutdown. Cole, in a statement said that he was vindicated and confident Iconix’s brand management business can be reinvented. Iconix settled U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) accounting charges in 2019, paying $5.5 million without admitting any wrongdoing. Lancer Capital bought Iconix in 2021. U.S. Cole, 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals No. 23-7566. (Reporting and editing by Bill Berkrot in New York, Jonathan Stempel)
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Chinese firms drive aluminium expansion in Indonesia, raise surplus fears
The Chinese-led expansion in Indonesia of aluminium production is expected to lead the global market in excess next year. This will result in lower prices for the metal used widely in the transportation industry. Three new smelters backed by China are close to completion, including Xinfa-Tsingshan Juwan in Weda Bay, Taijing at the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park and the Adaro-Lygend Kaltara Project in North Kalimantan. Indonesia exported 325.293 metric tonnes of aluminium from January to August of this year. This is up 67% compared to the same period last year. Ross Strachan is an analyst with consultancy CRU. He said, "The rate of Indonesian growth in supply will play a major role in shaping the aluminium market's balance and prices." The primary production of aluminum, which is also used for construction and packaging, will exceed 72 million tonnes this year. Goldman Sachs predicts a global surplus of aluminium in 2026, and 2,000,000 tons in the following year. Indonesia's primary production will rise from 815, 000 tons in 2020 to 1.6,000,000 tons in 2030 and 2.5,000,000 tons in 2030. In a recent note, the bank stated that "the new supply from Indonesia effectively solves the global shortage we had previously seen forming due to China reaching its smelting cap for at least this decade." Goldman predicts that aluminium prices will fall to $2,350 a metric ton by the fourth quarter 2026. This is above the 90th centile of estimated costs for smelters. It means that 90 percent of aluminium smelters will produce at costs below this level. If prices remain above that level, most smelters will be profitable. On Monday, three-month aluminium was trading at around $2.873 per metric ton. Macquarie predicts that Indonesia's primary aluminum production will push the market to a surplus of 390,000-tons next year. Macquarie, however, sees a return of deficits in the longer term when China reaches its capacity limit and demand increases. China's aluminum production is approaching its 45 million ton limit, which will put a cap on future growth.
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Gold drops below $4,000 an ounce as US China trade progress cools demand for safe-haven gold
Gold prices dropped below $4,000 an ounce on Monday, as signs of a thawing in U.S. China trade tensions diminished some of bullion's appeal as a safe haven. Market participants awaited this week's U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. At 1:45 pm, spot gold fell 2.7% to $4,002.29 an ounce. ET (1745 GMT). The price of gold fell to $3.970.81 an ounce in the early session, its lowest level since October 10. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 2.9% and settled at $4,019.70. David Meger is director of metals at High Ridge Futures. He said that a potential U.S. China trade deal could mean fewer safe-haven investments such as gold. The price of gold reached a record-high of $4,381.21/oz in October. However, it fell 3.2% the following week after hints that trade tensions would be eased between the two world's largest economies. On Sunday, U.S.-China negotiators outlined the framework of a deal that would halt steeper American tariffs while deferring China's controls on rare-earths exports. On Thursday, Donald Trump of the United States and Xi Jinping of China are expected to continue their discussions on a possible trade agreement. Gold prices are also falling due to a easing of trade tensions, which had pushed the price from $3,800 up to $4,400 in the first three weeks. The market expects the Fed to cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its meeting on Wednesday. In a low interest rate environment, gold, which is a non-yielding investment, performs well. Some analysts and investors are sceptical about the sustainability the recent massive rise in the price of yellow metal. Capital Economics analysts lowered their gold forecast on Monday to $3,500/oz by the end of 2026. It said that the 25% increase in gold prices since August was much harder to justify than prior moves during the rally. Silver spot fell by 3.6%, to $46.50 per ounce. Platinum was down 0.4% at $1,592.03, while palladium dropped 1.8%, to $1402.98. (Reporting and editing by Mark Potter, Richard Chang and Anjana Anil in Bengaluru)
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Hurricane Melissa, a Category 5 hurricane, begins to lashing Jamaica.
Hurricane Melissa started pounding Jamaica on Monday with fierce gusts as the U.S. National Hurricane Center upgraded it to a category 5 storm, packing sustained winds exceeding 165 mph. This is the strongest hurricane to ever hit the Caribbean island. The storm is expected to pass through Cuba, Turks and Caicos, and the eastern Bahamas. The hurricane will stay offshore and bring only minor coastal flooding and rough surf to the U.S. East Coast. According to the NHC, Melissa was still about 330 km (530 miles) southwest from Guantanamo in Cuba at noon on Monday (1600 GMT). The center reported that the hurricane was moving west at only 3 mph (5 km/h), but it would make a turn north-northeast through Jamaica on Monday night and Tuesday morning. Forecasters at the center said that the storm's slow motion over unusually tepid Caribbean waters had contributed to its growth and strength. Jamaica is now facing days of unprecedented catastrophic winds, and up to 3 feet of rainfall. The NHC stated that the damage to infrastructure, power and communications outages and isolation of communities will be severe. Authorities in Haiti and Dominican Republic, two island nations nearby, said that torrential rains have caused at least four deaths over the past few days. Damian Anderson is a teacher in Hagley Gap. This town, nestled among Jamaica's Blue Mountains, has already been cut off by impassable roads. "We can't move," Anderson, 47, said. "We're scared. "We've never experienced a multiday event before." Evan Thompson of Jamaica's Meteorological Service said that Jamaica has experienced many hurricanes, including Category 4 Gilbert in 1988. However, a direct strike from a category 5 would be unprecedented. The highest category on the Saffir Simpson scale is Category 5, with sustained winds greater than 157 mph. CUBA PREPARATIONS The eastern half of Cuba was also sacked in preparation for the expected landfall of the storm on Tuesday. Cuban authorities reported that they evacuated more than 500,000 people from coastal and mountainous regions vulnerable to strong winds and flooding. Over 250,000 people have been brought into shelters in and around Santiago de Cuba. The island's second largest city is directly under the predicted hurricane path. In eastern Cuba, schools, buses, and trains were cancelled until further notice on Monday due to the arrival of Hurricane Irma. Havana was not expected directly to be affected by the hurricane. Dave Sherwood, Havana and Zahra Burton in Kingston reported the story; Nia Williams edited it.
Andy Home: Aluminium is the base metal analysts' bullish pick for 2025
Analysts predict that the London Metal Exchange's (LME) pack of base metals will be the most successful in 2025. They also forecast a shortage of light metal this year.
Analysts who participated in the base metals survey of January also expect higher cash prices this year for zinc, copper, and tin compared to 2024.
Nickel remains the ultimate conviction, even though the average LME Cash price has fallen by nearly 22% in the past year. Nickel oversupply is expected to continue in both 2019 and 2020.
Analysts are focusing on supply dynamics to determine the likely winners and losers for this year, but there is a gloomy macro-picture hanging over the industrial metals industry.
Since the last quarterly survey in October, all median forecasts have been reduced for lead, copper, tin and nickel. This is due to concerns about the impact of a trade war on demand.
ALUMINIUM BULLS
According to the median forecasts of 33 analysts who participated in the January survey, the average LME cash aluminum price is expected to rise by 4.9% in 2024, and then another 6.3% in 2025 to $2,573.50 a metric ton.
The result was not much different from October's poll, indicating a growing conviction in the metals' bullish prospects.
The higher price forecast comes from a shift in the market dynamics towards a shortage of supply. Analysts have shifted their consensus from a surplus of 100,000 tons to a deficit of 8,000 tonnes in 2025.
The average price per ton will increase to $2,626 in 2026.
The recent tightness on the alumina markets has boosted the price of aluminium, but the greater structural constraint to supply is China's cap on smelter capacities.
China's annualised production was close to 45.0 million tons by the end of 2024.
It's not clear how the rest the world will fill in the gap if the largest producer of the world has reached the end of its expansion potential.
ZINC PRICE Rally Sighted Fading
Zinc, the second most valuable metal this year, is expected to see a 4.2% increase in the average cash price to $2.895 per ton.
Analysts also raised their expectations for zinc prices from the poll conducted in October, compared to the general trend.
You can see how the story of zinc has changed over the past three months. The market was expected to have a massive oversupply, but it has been surprisingly tight due to a shortage of mined concentrates that drags down the global metal production.
Analysts expect that zinc prices will weaken in 2025 and 2026. Zinc is the only LME metal that analysts expect to see its price fall next year. Zinc's price premium will also decrease over lead, its sister metal. Lead prices are expected to remain steady at $2,050 this year and in the future.
DIALING BACK COPPER
Analysts have reduced their expectations of copper's potential growth.
The median forecast for the cash price this year is lower by 4.8% than the poll from October.
Copper is the LME Metal most sensitive to macro sentiment.
The macro-economic outlook has become even more turbulent since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed 10% tariffs on Chinese imports.
China's carefully calibrated response gives some hope for a successful trade negotiation. However, copper is especially sensitive to any negative effects on China as the largest buyer of red metal in the world.
This year will be no different. The market spent a lot of time last year searching for signs of resurgence in China's massive manufacturing sector. Tariffs, and the possibility of further ones in the future, have muddied the waters.
THINGS CAN ONLY GET BETTER FOR NICKEL
Since October, the median nickel forecast has been downgraded to $16,265 a ton. This is due to the increasing LME stock levels.
Analysts don't expect much more downside after the market has already dropped so dramatically over the past year.
According to the consensus, LME cash nickel will average $15.550 per ton during the current quarter. It is expected to rise steadily to $16,750 by the fourth quarter.
Price recovery is forecast to continue through 2026, with a cash median price of $17.637 per tonne. Indonesia, which is the dominant producer in the world, may slow down its production to stabilize prices.
UNPREDICTABLE Tin
The tin market has been particularly volatile over the past couple of years, and it's hard to predict what the future holds for this soldering material.
Median forecasts indicate a modest 2,6% increase in the average price for this year compared to 2024.
This masks an extremely wide range of expectations ranging from $23,750 per ton to $33,000. In 2026, the range is even larger at $21,000 to $37,000.
This is a good example of how hard it is to understand this small, but deeply opaque market.
These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for.
(source: Reuters)