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Copper continues to retreat due to weak Chinese factory data and a stronger dollar

The copper price continued to fall on Friday. Weak industrial data from China, the world's largest metals consumer, coupled with a strong dollar and profit taking following a rally that reached a record high, all contributed to its decline.

The London Metal Exchange's three-month copper was down slightly at $10,915 a metric ton, in open-outcry official trading. This is the second consecutive day of losses, after reaching a record high of $11,200 on Wednesday.

LME copper is on track to achieve its third consecutive monthly gain after gaining 5.7% this month.

The data showed that China's factories shrank in October for the seventh consecutive month, due to a decline in export orders. This was due to the fact that months of putting in extra work in order beat U.S. Tariff threats had finally worn off.

Ewa Mnthey, commodities analyst at ING, said that the China data released today has affected the base metals market sentiment.

She added that "while near-term indicators of demand remain mixed, disruptions in supply will keep prices at a level around $10,000 per ton."

Copper will need to be in high demand, particularly from China, to continue its upward trend.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 1.7%, to 87.010 yuan (12,215.36) per ton. The copper contract was also set to rise 4.8% for the third consecutive month.

As prices have risen, many Chinese buyers have remained on the sidelines.

Yangshan Copper Premium The price of copper, which is based on the demand for imported copper into China, dropped by 28% in the last month, to $36 per ton.

A slightly stronger dollar index also pressed the market, hovering around a three-month high touched on Thursday. A firmer dollar makes greenback-denominated assets more expensive to holders of other currencies.

Marex said in a recent note that the copper price decline could continue. "Caution! We note that some indicators suggest that additional corrective action may be needed."

LME aluminium prices rose by 0.6% to $2,880 per ton in official activity, despite a rise in LME inventories A 102,275 ton inflow into Malaysian warehouses has caused the increase to be a fifth.

Other metals include LME Nickel, which rose 0.1% to $16,240 per ton. Zinc gained 0.6%, to $3,055, while tin increased 1.3%, to $36,265; and lead fell 0.2%, to $2,018.

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(source: Reuters)