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Dollar strength causes gold to fall from two-week peak.

Dollar strength causes gold to fall from two-week peak.

Gold prices fell on Monday, as the dollar strengthened. This was a retreat from the two-week high reached in the previous session following comments by U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell that boosted bets for interest rate reductions.

As of 0914 GMT spot gold was down 0.3% to $3,362.56 an ounce after reaching its highest level since August 11, on Friday. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery eased 0.3% at $3,407.30.

Gold became more expensive to other currency holders due to the 0.2% increase in the dollar index.

Powell said on Friday that the Fed may cut rates at its meeting next month. He noted that the risks for the job market are increasing, but that inflation remains a concern. A decision is not yet set in stone.

UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said: "Powell indicated to me that he only expected a 25-bps reduction for September. So there is an adjustment based on this, which supports the dollar and weighs on gold."

The markets now price in a 87% chance that the rate will be cut by a quarter point at the September meeting, compared to

Nearly 90%

CME FedWatch Tool predicts a 48-basis-point reduction in the aggregate by year's end, following Powell's Friday comments.

"Another large cut depends on the incoming U.S. economic data. It must indicate a slowdown of economic activity which we anticipate. Staunovo said that gold is expected to reach USD 3,700/oz by mid-2026.

Investors await the U.S. data on personal consumption prices due out Friday, which is expected to show core price inflation.

Creeping up

The rate of inflation has reached its highest level since late 2023, at 2.9%.

In an environment of low interest rates, gold tends to increase in value. This reduces the cost of holding bullion that does not yield.

Silver spot fell 0.2% at $38.75 an ounce. Platinum dropped 0.9% to $1349.35, and palladium declined 0.7% to $1118.26. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Mark Heinrich)

(source: Reuters)