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Gold gains over 1% due to weaker dollar ahead of July 9 tariff deadline

Gold prices rose more than 1% Tuesday, helped in part by the weaker dollar as well as economic uncertainty before President Donald Trump's deadline of July 9 for reintroducing higher tariffs. As of 1003 am EDT (1403 GMT), spot gold was up 1.4% at $3,348.96 an ounce. This is the highest price since June 24. U.S. Gold Futures rose 1.6% to $3361.30. The U.S. Dollar weakened on Monday as Trump's tax-cut bill and spending bill combined with concerns over trade agreements weighed on sentiment.

Rhona O’Connell, StoneX's head of EMEA & Asia market analysis, explained that gold is being moved by bargain hunters, dollar weakness, and continued uncertainty over what will happen on July 9.

O'Connell said that gold is likely to be around $3000/oz in the fourth quarter, and could even fall lower by year's end. U.S. Senate Republicans struggled to pass Trump's sweeping spending and tax bill in the early morning, amid deep divisions among the party. They were concerned that the legislation would add $3.3 trillion to America's debt.

Gold has traditionally been considered a hedge in times of political or economic uncertainty. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned on Monday that, despite the good faith negotiations in trade agreements, countries may be informed of sharply increased tariffs as an approaching deadline, July 9, approaches. Investors will also be watching the U.S. ADP Employment data, due Wednesday, as well as Thursday's Payrolls data to get a sense of how the Federal Reserve is going to set its interest rate policy.

Jerome Powell, Fed chair, spoke at a conference in Portugal and said that the U.S. was in an excellent position. He said that, excluding tariffs and other factors, the inflation rate was performing as expected.

The markets are expecting two rate reductions totaling 50 basis point this year.

Gold's appeal is boosted by lower rates, as it pays no interest.

Palladium rose 1.2% to $1.111.04 per ounce while platinum fell 0.1% to 1,350.78.

(source: Reuters)