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Shanghai's base metals benefit from China stimulus hopes

Shanghai's base metals benefit from China stimulus hopes

Shanghai's base metals gained Tuesday, as the market hoped for more stimulus in China, the largest metals consumer in the world, and an improvement in manufacturing in China.

By 0342 GMT, the most active copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had risen 0.1% to $10,590.45 per metric ton.

Base metals rose on signs of increased factory activity in China, ahead of the National People's Congress gathering (NPC), which will take place on March 5. There are also expectations of further stimulus for the economy. This was said by Daniel Hynes of ANZ Bank, a senior commodities strategist.

China's manufacturing sector expanded at its fastest rate in three months during February. This should reassure officials about the stimulus measures taken last year to help shore up the patchy recovery of the second largest economy in the world.

Trump announced on Monday that tariffs of 25% on goods imported from Mexico and Canada would take effect at 0501 GMT, on Tuesday. He also doubled the China tariffs to 20%. This sparked fears of a North American trade war and sent financial markets into a tailspin.

JP Morgan predicts that the global deficit of refined copper will grow to 160.000 metric tons by 2026. They continue to forecast copper prices to average around $11,000 per ton in 2019.

According to the International Copper Study Group's (ICSG) December report, there was a global deficit of 22,000 metric tons in refined copper.

SHFE aluminium increased by 0.1%, to 20,650 Yuan per ton. Zinc rose by 0.2%, to 23,695 Yuan. Nickel gained 1%, to 127330 Yuan. Tin rose 0.5%, to 256900. Lead remained at 17,245 Yuan.

The London Metal Exchange's (LME) three-month copper fell 0.4% to $9.384 per metric ton. LME aluminium remained at $2,610 per ton. Zinc fell by 0.4% to 2,831, while nickel dropped 0.5% to 15,815. Tin rose 0.4% to $30,700, and lead increased 0.1% to 1,994.5. ($1 = 7.2792 Chinese yuan renminbi) (Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Sumana Nandy)

(source: Reuters)