Latest News
-
Copper prices fall on strong dollar while traders wait for Fed rate decision
The price of copper fell for the second consecutive session on Tuesday. This was due to a strong dollar and increased bets that interest rates would rise by the Federal Reserve, which could reduce demand for industrial metals. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.5% to $13,663.50 a metric ton at 0910 GMT. It had fallen as much as 0.8% in the morning. The 50-day moving mean of the contract was supporting around $13,570. Sucden Financial, a brokerage firm, said in a report that "Overall we expect base metals to remain supported when individual supply stories still are positive." The Fed's decision and important U.S. statistics later this week will be key indicators of whether or not the rally is a success. The dollar remained near a four-week high. The dollar remained near its four-week high. The dollar's strength can make metals denominated in dollars more expensive to holders of other currencies. The market awaited the Fed's meeting on Wednesday. This was especially true in light of the recent relief in oil prices following a lull between the U.S. According to CME FedWatch, 62% of market participants believe that the Fed is likely to keep interest rates at their current level. 38% expect a minimum 25-basis point hike. This is up from just 16% one week ago. The higher rates could dampen economic activity and reduce demand for copper. The LME's copper stocks are still tight despite the drop to 268,775 tonnes, their lowest level since March. Cash-to-three month?spread backwardation The price of a ton was $30 after reaching $44.50. This is the highest it has been since January. This indicates a tight supply in the near future. Aluminum prices fell 0.5%, to $3,151.50 a ton, despite the fact that stocks at LME-registered storages increased. The number of people who are unable to work has fallen to the lowest level in this century. Lead was unchanged at $1,890. Zinc fell 0.9%?to $3577.50. Nickel dropped 0.9% to $17.055. Tin lost 1.3% to $43,580. (Reporting and additional reporting by Solomon Cefai, Editing by Varun HK, Mrigank dhaniwala, Jan Harvey).
-
The chip market is on a downward spiral as world stocks fall to a one-month low
Investors dumped chipmakers over concerns about Chinese competition, and the funding of the AI boom. Meanwhile, rising odds?of an interest rate increase in the U.S. as soon as this week further dampened mood. Asian chipmakers were 'at the 'heart' of Tuesday's sale. South Korea's KOSPI plunged more than 10%, hitting a three-month high. This triggered a circuit breaker on its way down, as it headed for its biggest monthly drop on record, surpassing the declines experienced during the Asian Financial Crisis in 1997. The index's value had tripled over the past 12 months, but has lost more than a quarter of that value since its peak. Shares of SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and other companies that are facing extra pressure on a market that is transforming due to leverage, have suffered losses in excess of 12%. Their stratospheric rise has slowed down in a hurry. Wall Street was set to open with a weaker opening as Nvidia's and Micron Technology’s shares dropped?in the premarket trading. Nvidia's shares fell 5% overnight, after The Wall Street Journal reported that the company is in discussions to provide $250 billion worth of financing guarantees for OpenAI in a massive data center project. Positive earnings reports from Unilever, Mercedes-Benz and other companies helped to offset losses in technology shares. The MSCI All Country World Price Index fell by 0.5%, to its lowest level since June 29. "You've seen hyperscalers not participating in AI because they are worried about cost and leverage. We're now seeing concerns about the profitability of the semiconductor industry, especially in Asia," Dorian Carrell said, Schroders' head of multi-assets income. The AI story is still evolving, but this kind of growth rate (in profit) is rarely sustained. We believe that the market is healthy in questioning these issues. The Information reported that China had begun producing its own immersion deep ultraviolet machines, which are used to make chips. ASML has long been the dominant supplier of this tool. ASML's shares fell 8.5% on Monday. CXMT, China's largest memory manufacturer, raised $8.6 Billion on Monday. It ended its first session as the most valuable Chinese company. OIL SLIDES AND US RATE IS UP EYED Brent crude oil futures continued their nearly 9% drop on Monday, dropping more than 3% at $85.55 per barrel as hostilities between Iran and the U.S. cooled following Washington's sudden suspension of airstrikes on Saturday. Donald Trump stated on Monday that the United States was having "good discussions" with Iran, and that there is a possibility of a deal. The break in fighting on Monday pushed benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rates down?by approximately 4 basis points?to 4.64%, but shorter-term interest rates barely moved. The markets have estimated that there is a 35% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike by 25 basis points this Wednesday. Thierry Wizman is a currency and rates analyst at Macquarie Group. He said that the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has pushed up the price of crude, will continue to be the'most important' factor in determining what happens to the global economic outlook... and by extension what determines the central bank policy forecasts at the'margin. We expect the Fed to tighten its bias this week. The dollar was supported by the expectation of a hike sooner rather than later, keeping the euro at $1.1370. The yen was trading at 163.83 against the dollar. This is barely above a four decade low. Markets are worried that Japan will intervene in the currency pair, especially if it holds rates this week. Wizman said that if BOJ communication was not hawkish, and USD/JPY continues to rise, traders can expect an official response. This could include verbal interventions, rate checks or direct FX market interference, possibly on Friday. (Reporting and editing by Tom Westbrook, Sruthi Shakar, Amanda Cooper, Saad Saeed and Anil D’Silva).
-
Sources say that the Russian Tyumen oil refinery stopped operations on July 25, after a drone attack.
Two industry sources confirmed on Tuesday that the?Tyumen?oil refinery in western Siberia stopped oil processing on 25 July following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The domestic fuel market has been experiencing a worsening shortage since May when Ukraine intensified its attacks on oil refineries to undermine Russia's military efforts. Local Russian authorities said on Saturday that an 'Ukrainian drone attack' sparked the fire at a refinery located more than 2,000 kilometers (1,200 miles), from Ukraine. Sources said that following the attack, a diesel hydrotreater as well as a unit for producing high-octane gas caught fire. The sources declined to give a timeframe for when the refinery could be back in operation. RI-Invest?which owns?the refinery?did not immediately respond?to a request for a comment. The refinery's nominal capacity is around?9 millions metric tons annually, or 180,000 barrels a day. According to estimates, it processes approximately 6 million?tons crude oil annually and produces?about 0.5million?tons gasoline and 2.8million tons diesel. (Reporting and Editing by Jan Harvey).
-
The Fed's rate decision is in the spotlight as gold falls against a dollar that remains firm
Investors waited for the Federal Reserve to announce its policy decision at the end their two-day meeting in this week. They wanted insight into the direction U.S. rates will take. Spot gold dropped 0.8% at $4,042.29 an ounce as of 0843 GMT. U.S. gold contracts for August delivery fell 0.8%, to $4.042.80. "Gold has held to a very tight range since late June based on the support in $4,000 region, which suggests at some stage there will be a breakout," said Rhona Connell, StoneX's head of market research. Connell said: "Fundamentally the physical markets are still very quiet, while professionals are contorting over the interaction between interest rates, oil and the dollar. All of these are important drivers." The U.S. Dollar held at an all-time high on Tuesday, making bullion priced in greenbacks?expensive to buyers abroad. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Monday that Washington is having "good discussions" with Iran, and that there was a possibility of a resolution to their conflict. He warned, however, that if the talks failed, strikes would be resumed. The oil prices fell on Tuesday and hovered around their one-week-low amid?hopes of a resolution to the U.S./Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates due to the rising energy prices. Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, due to its non-yielding nature, it loses some of its appeal when interest rates rise. Trump said on Monday that the U.S. must have the lowest interest rate in all of the world. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, market participants are preparing for tomorrow's?Fed decision on interest rate. About 34% of participants anticipate a 25 basis-point increase. Also, traders have priced in a 79% probability of an interest rate increase at the September meeting of the central bank. Silver spot fell by 1.4%, to $57.56 an ounce. Platinum dropped 0.8%, to $160776. Palladium was down 1.5%, to $1272.71. (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore)
-
TotalEnergies and Eni approve Cyprus Gas Field for LNG startup in 2028
TotalEnergies announced on Tuesday that France's TotalEnergies, and Italy's Eni, have 'approved' the development of 'the Cronos gas field' in Cyprus, which will supply Europe with natural gas liquefied. Production is expected to begin in 2028. The two companies will share the 2.8 million tons of LNG expected to be produced by the field. After losing their access to Russian gas and oil in 2022, the European countries are now focusing on their own resources. Cronos is the name of a large?natural gas find in Block 6 in Cyprus' exclusive economic zones in the Mediterranean Sea. It was discovered by Eni and TotalEnergies in a joint venture. The project, estimated to contain more than 3 trillion cubic feet of gas, will pipe and process reserves at Eni's facilities in Egypt for export to Europe via the Damietta?terminal. Cronos, as Cyprus' first gas project, will help develop a regional gas hub in the Eastern Mediterranean by leveraging Egypt’s infrastructure, said TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne. He added that "this new gas route will help Europe to be more secure in terms of its energy supply by diversifying the LNG sources." Reporting by Hugo Lhomedet, Gdansk; Francesca Landini, Milan; America Hernandez, Paris. Editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak, and Louise Heavens.
-
Japan's Kyushu region is hit by a major earthquake
A quake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.1 hit Japan's southern Kumamoto Prefecture on Tuesday. It knocked out the power to thousands of homes, stopped rail services, and triggered warnings about tsunamis and aftershocks. The area where the quake occurred is home to many companies, including Sony, the world's biggest contract chipmaker. Sony's spokesperson confirmed that the company is?checking on the situation. TSMC didn't immediately respond to a?request for comment. The Japanese government has issued emergency earthquake alerts for Kumamoto and Nagasaki prefectures as well as Kagoshima and Fukuoka. These are all located on Japan's southern Kyushu Island. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that a tsunami warning was issued for a wave measuring 1 m (3.2 feet). Japan is one the most earthquake-prone nations in the world, with an earthquake occurring every five minutes. Japan, located along the "Ring of Fire", a series of volcanoes and oceanic trenches that partially surround the Pacific Basin region, is responsible for about 20% of all earthquakes of magnitude 6 or higher in the world. According to an official count, a massive earthquake that struck Kumamoto ten years ago killed 275 and injured 2,739 people. Kyushu Electric Power reported that 40,000 homes lost power due to the quake. JR Kyushu, a railway company, said it suspended all services including bullet trains. The nuclear regulating authority in Japan said that there were no irregularities at the nuclear power stations. (Reporting and writing by Anton Bridge, Kantaro Kommiya and Mariko Katsumura; editing by Chang-Ran and Kate Mayberry; Writing by John Geddie)
-
Major Gulf bourses are in red as they await Fed decision and Iran talks
The major Gulf stock markets fell in early trading on Tuesday as investors awaited U.S. Federal Reserve policy decisions and developments in the Iran Conflict, although ongoing corporate earnings provided some support. The majority of Gulf?Cooperation Council nations,?including?UAE?, have their currencies pegged against the U.S. Dollar and closely follow the Fed?s policy, exposing them to the direct effect of monetary tightening on the world?s largest economy. The Fed ends its two-day session on Wednesday. CME FedWatch?shows that 62% of policymakers are likely to keep rates the same, and 38% are expecting a minimum 25-basis point increase. This is up from 16% one week ago. The markets are also pricing in an 81% probability of a rate increase at the meeting scheduled for September. Donald Trump urged the Fed on Monday to lower rates. He argued that the United States should have the lowest borrowing costs in the world. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index fell 0.4%. This was due to a 0.6% drop in the oil giant Saudi Aramco, and a 1.2% decline in Saudi Arabian Mining Co. Yemen's Iran aligned Houthi group said that it had attacked several crude oil transportation and supply facilities linking eastern Saudi Arabia with Yanbu, an important Red Sea oil export hub. Zain Saudi Arabia, however, saw its share price rise by 1.4% after it reported a profit increase of more than 60% in the second quarter. Dubai's main stock index fell?0.5% due to a 1.5% drop in the sharia compliant lender Dubai Islamic Bank. Alpha Dhabi Holding, a major Abu Dhabi-based company, lost 0.8%. Fertiglobe, a?fertilizer company, reported a sharp rise in its quarterly profit. The Qatari Index was down by 0.1%. Trump warned that the U.S. would resume strikes if negotiations fail. He said that Washington was having "good talks" and that a possible deal to end the conflict with Iran was in sight. Iran said it would retaliate if any more attacks were made. (Reporting and editing by Andrei Khalip in Bengaluru. Ateeq Sharif is based in Bengaluru.
-
Copper prices fall as bets on rate hikes weigh down on demand
The copper price fell on Tuesday as investors assessed a possible pause in the 'U.S. Strikes?on Iran. By 0700 GMT, the benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange had fallen by 0.4% to $13,678 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.13% to 104,810 Yuan ($15.487.03) per ton. The market awaits the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting on Wednesday and weighs the impact that a reduction in oil prices will have after the lull between U.S.-Iran fighting. Analysts from Chinese broker Galaxy Futures stated that "as tensions between the United States and Iran ease, crude oil prices have fallen. However, expectations of more Federal Reserve rate increases?have increased." According to CME FedWatch, 62% of market participants believe that the Fed will keep interest rates steady, and 38% expect a minimum 25 basis point increase. This is up from just 16% one week ago. Copper market fears that higher rates will dampen economic activity and reduce demand. Red metal has benefited from the expectation of increased demand for AI infrastructure, electric vehicles and electrification. Stock markets that are jittery also weigh. On Tuesday, chipmakers led Asian stocks?down? on concerns about funding requirements of the AI boom. Galaxy Futures analysts stated that "with the?market entering into a week of heavy earnings reporting, sentiment remains fairly cautious." Aluminum was up by 0.19% at the SHFE and down by 0.44% at the LME. Total stocks in LME registered warehouses On Monday, the lowest level since 1998 was reached. Other?LME Metals: Zinc lost 0.43%;?lead fell 0.16%; nickel dropped 0.71% and tin lost 1.56%. On the SHFE, zinc fell 0.3%, while lead was unchanged, nickel dropped 1.35%, and tin declined 1.33%. $1 = 6.7676 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and editing by Varun H. K. and Mrigank. Dhaniwala).
China, cost cuts and expenses: the fuel driving Volkswagen's crisis
In May, Volkswagen financing chief Arno Antlitz alerted that Europe's top carmaker had about two or 3 years to prepare for cutthroat competitors from abroad, generally China.
Last week, he cut that already-tight schedule by a year, sending out shockwaves through the international auto sector by threatening to shut plants in the business's home market for the first time.
While a lot of Volkswagen's challenges - from a weakening Chinese market to a slower than anticipated switch to electrical cars, have actually pestered it for a while, 2 recent developments have made things even worse for the German group, according to interviews with seven company sources, investors and experts. First, concerns have grown that Asian competitors, including BYD , Chery and Leapmotor, could speed up plans to develop production capacity in Europe if Brussels goes ahead with planned hefty import tariffs on China-made EVs.
Second, Volkswagen recently cut prices for VW brand name cars and trucks to counter tougher competitors, a move that according to works council boss Daniela Cavallo has cost the company numerous millions of euros in revenues.
Not just were the discounts steeper than originally prepared for, however they persuaded management that the high cost base in Germany is jeopardising Volkswagen's capability to complete with more agile competitors, a company source stated, without providing details of the cost cuts.
The source decreased to be identified due to the level of sensitivity of the matter. Volkswagen decreased to comment.
This is among the largest vehicle producers on the planet which is not producing large returns out of all that scale, Cole Smead, CEO of Volkswagen shareholder Smead Capital Management, said. Do I believe they can sustain that level of production in a. country that requires so little? It's impossible.
Beginning top of restructuring costs, the discounts have. undermined the VW brand name's efforts to decrease costs by more than. 10 billion euros ($ 11 billion) by 2026.
As a result, the VW passenger car brand name saw its earnings. margin crash to 0.9% in the 2nd quarter from an already. meagre 4% in the first.
By contrast, margins at Renault and Stellantis. , the two other big European volume carmakers, were. 8.1% and 10% respectively in the first half of the year.
VW's squeezed margins - at a time when Chinese competitors have. increased imports into Europe - have actually stired worries of what could. happen when they produce in your area in future.
After all, carmakers - consisting of the Chinese - are completing. for a smaller piece of the pie: Europe's automobile market is 13%, or. two million automobiles, smaller than before the pandemic, CFO. Antlitz stated.
Mentioning the many difficulties, DZ Bank analyst Michael. Punzet said he anticipated Volkswagen to cut its full-year group. margin target again when it publishes third-quarter outcomes.
It already slashed the target to 6.5-7.0% in July due to. provisions over the possible closure of a Brussels factory of. high-end subsidiary Audi.
FIGHT OVER COST
As demand diminishes, offering mass-market vehicles has actually ended up being a. fight over who makes them at the most affordable cost.
The thinking about discovering solutions through growth is gone. Everyone is losing share, and companies need to adjust,. Jefferies expert Philippe Houchois said. Antlitz stated last week that the VW brand name - which accounted for. majority of group production last year - had actually been spending. more cash than it earned for some time, adding the business. would not be successful if that pattern continued.
Volkswagen's vehicle capital, a key gauge of operating. health, turned unfavorable in the very first half of 2024 to minus 100. million euros, versus a positive 2.5 billion in the same period. in 2015.
Strong competitors is not just an issue in the house.
Profits from China, Volkswagen's single biggest market, have. nearly halved over the past years to 2.6 billion euros in 2023. Anticipated to increase to around 3 billion euros by 2030, they will. hardly recuperate.
Another huge issue is energy and labour costs in Germany,. which are amongst the greatest in Europe and have actually also become a. significant headache for the country's chemicals and steel sectors.
New less expensive competitors, greater energy costs, and high. labour costs all line up for a really difficult outlook particularly. for European mass brands, Citi experts said today.
(source: Reuters)