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Surprise US stockbuild, Trump tariffs weigh on the market as oil prices remain steady
The price of oil was stable on Thursday, as investors assessed the risks of a supply shortage amid President Donald Trump’s call for a quick resolution to the Ukraine war through additional tariffs. However, a surprising build-up in U.S. crude stock weighed on the prices. Brent crude futures September expiring on Thursday fell 10 cents or 0.1% to $73.14 per barrel at 0345 GMT. Brent's October contract, which is more active, was down 14 cents or 0.2% at $72.33. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude for September fell 5 cents or 0.1% to $69.95 per barrel. Both benchmarks closed 1% higher Wednesday. Oil contracts are stuck in a holding pattern, as neither buyers or sellers can muster enough conviction to move prices either higher or lower. This is especially true on the eve of the deadline for the new U.S. Tariffs set for August 1. Sachdeva continued, "On the one hand, Trump’s hawkish remark on Russian oil sanctions continue to support tight-market premiums. On the other hand, a strong dollar, tepid growth indicators globally, and that unexpected EIA increase are capping gains." Trump announced that he would begin imposing measures against Russia, including 100% secondary duties on its trading partners if the country did not end the war in 10-12 days. This was a move up from a 50-day earlier deadline. Toshitaka Takawa, an analyst with Fujitomi Securities, said that the concern about secondary tariffs on countries who import Russian crude oil will restrict supplies continues to drive interest in buying. The U.S. warned China, which is the biggest buyer of Russian crude oil, it would face high tariffs if they continued to buy. The U.S. Treasury Department issued new sanctions Wednesday against over 115 Iran linked individuals, entities, and vessels. This is an indication that the Trump administration has intensified its "maximum-pressure" campaign following the June bombing of Tehran's nuclear sites. The Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. crude inventories increased by 7.7 millions barrels during the week ended July 25, to 426.7million barrels. This was due to lower exports. Analysts expected a draw of 1.3 million barrels. The gasoline stocks dropped by 2.7m barrels to 228,4m barrels. This was far more than expected, which predicted a 600k barrel draw. ? Tazawa, of Fujitomi Securities, said that the U.S. crude stock data revealed a surprising build, but an unexpected gasoline draw confirmed the strong driving season demand. This resulted in a neutral effect on the oil market. (Reporting from Yuka Obayashi, Tokyo; Jeslyn Lerh, Singapore; Editing done by Lincoln Feast.)
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French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch
Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France and Benelux or even individual stocks. Airbus Airbus, the European planemaker, posted a second-quarter profit that was higher than expected, thanks to its helicopter and defence units. It also maintained its full-year predictions as it strives to catch up with delayed jetliner delivery. BIC French stationery BIC reported Q2 revenues of 598 millions euros, and is expecting a full-year growth of 0-3%. The company's H1 adjusted EBIT for 2025 was 147 millions euros with a 13.7% margin. BIC's adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be 15.0% in 2025, and its free cashflow to exceed 240 million euro. Elis Elis announced a H1 net profit of 152.5 millions euros and an adjusted EBIT of 358.3 million euros, and confirmed the 2025 financial goals that were communicated in March. Emeis Healthcare operator Emeis announced half-year revenue of 2,91 billion euros. H1 EBITDAR stood at 401 millions euros. The group has confirmed its 2025 guidance. Eramet Eramet, a French mining and metals company, reported a H1 adjusted revenue of 1,528 millions euros with an EBITDA adjusted of 191million euros. FDJ United Gambling company FDJ United has reported revenues for H1 of 1,897 millions euros, and an EBITDA recurring of 441million euros. Klepierre Klepierre increased its outlook for 2025, citing "good performance" during the first half. They now expect a growth of 5% in EBITDA as opposed to 3% before. Renault Renault appointed Francois Provost as its CEO on Wednesday. The company chose a little-known insider for the job to guide it through the growing competition and low demand that led to a profit warning at the beginning of this month. Tikehau Capital Asset Manager Tikehau announced on Wednesday a record net flow of 4 billion euro, an 18% increase year-on-year for the first half of 2025, and a sharp increase in net income. Vinci Vinci reported a H1 revenue figure of 34,852 millions euros and an EBIT of 4140 million euros. The company announced that it will pay an interim dividend per share of 1.05 euro. Guidance remains unchanged. Vusiongroup French tech company Vusiongroup announced H1 sales of 648 million euro on an adjusted basis. This represents a 50% rise compared to H1 2024, and exceeds guidance. The company confirmed its outlook for the full year. Wendel Wendel reported a net profit of 4.3 millions euros for H1 and sales of 4.177.6million euros. The company manages 45 billion euros in assets. The company announced that it would implement a semi-annual intermission of 1.50 euro. Pan-European market data: European Equities speed guide................... FTSE Eurotop 300 index.............................. DJ STOXX index...................................... Top 10 STOXX sectors........................... Top 10 EUROSTOXX sectors...................... Top 10 Eurotop 300 sectors..................... Top 25 European pct gainers....................... Top 25 European pct losers........................ Main stock markets: Dow Jones ............... Wall Street Report ..... Nikkei 225............. Tokyo report............ London report ........... Xetra DAX............. Frankfurt items......... CAC-40................. Paris items............ World Indices..................................... Survey of global bourse outlook ......... European Asset Allocation........................ News in a glance Top News ............. Equities.............. Main Oil Report ........... Main currency report..... (Gdansk Newsroom)
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Energean Invests in Croatian Gas Field in Adriatic Sea
British gas producer Energean has taken the final decision to invest in the Irena gas field in the North Adriatic Sea off Croatia, it said on Wednesday.The gas field is located in the Izabela concession, an offshore gas development area in the North Adriatic Sea, which is operated by Edina, a 50-50 joint venture between Energean and Croatian oil and gas company INA–Industrija Nafte.Energean has a 70% working interest in the concession, it said in a statement.The first gas at the Irena gas field is expected to be produced in the first half of 2027. Peak production is estimated to be around 1,400-1,700 barrels of oil equivalent per day, Energean added.The total estimated capital expenditure for the project is 71 million euros ($81 million), with Energean’s share at 50 million euros.($1 = 0.8723 euros)(Reuters)
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Nippon Steel to Supply Material for Vestas Wind Towers
Nippon Steel signed a cooperation memorandum with Denmark's wind turbine maker Vestas Wind Systems on Wednesday to supply steel for Vestas' wind towers for European, Asian and Japanese markets, Japan's industry ministry said.The agreement was part of a broader push by Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) to strengthen the supply chain for wind generation in the country where renewables are key to reducing import costs and dependency on fossil fuels.Offshore wind is a pillar of Japan's renewable energy strategy, but the country remains heavily reliant on imported wind turbines and components.Vestas has a number of contracts in Japan, including for a 375-megawatt offshore wind farm off the coast of Happo-Noshiro in Akita prefecture in northern Japan to be built by Eneos Corp, Iberdrola and Tohoku Electric Power.In June, METI announced a cooperation framework with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy for the offshore wind sector. Siemens Gamesa, the wind turbine division of Siemens Energy, agreed a deal with Japanese electronic parts maker TDK for magnets to supply the wind turbines.METI launched a similar framework with GE Vernova, a major U.S. energy equipment company, to promote public-private cooperation in wind power, hydrogen and ammonia among other areas.Japan aims to achieve 45 gigawatts of offshore wind capacity by 2040 to reduce its reliance on imported coal and gas for power generation. But, its plans have stalled despite three major rounds of auctions, due to soaring costs and delays.(Reuters)
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Asian stocks fall on weak China data and yen firms following BOJ decision
Asian stocks fell on Thursday due to weaker than expected Chinese data and a drop in copper prices. The yen, however, firmed up after the Bank of Japan increased its inflation forecast and kept rates unchanged. The revised forecast indicated cautious optimism that Japan’s trade agreement with the U.S. will help the economy avoid a sharp downturn, and set the BOJ's interest rate hike later in the year. The yen rose 0.6% to 148.62 dollars per yen immediately after the central banks unanimously maintained short-term rates at 0.5%. The Japanese stock market showed no reaction to this decision, with the last 0.9% increase. Investors also digested a trade agreement between the U.S.A. and South Korea as well as a Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates unchanged and strong earnings by megacap tech companies. Nasdaq Futures soared by 1.2% following better-than expected earnings from Microsoft Meta Platforms. S&P futures rose 0.8% while the U.S. Dollar held steady following a two-month peak. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG in Sydney. He said that both tech companies have reported "lightning fast" earnings, reporting increased revenue from cloud computing, and artificial intelligence enabled ad targeting, respectively. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell by 0.7% but was still on course for its fourth consecutive month gain in July. Hong Kong and China stocks led the declines following official PMI gauges showing weaker than expected economic activity in July. The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting panel voted on Wednesday 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged for the fifth meeting in a row. Two Fed governors dissented for the first time since more than 30 years. The comments made by Fed chair Jerome Powell after the decision undermined confidence that borrowing rates would start to drop in September. The dollar index stood at 98.812, which was just a little below the two-month peak of 99.987 that it reached on Wednesday. The index will clock its first gain in 2025, a 3.1% increase for the month. "Despite the Federal Reserve's recent decision to hold rates at the same level, there is still a chance that they will cut them at future meetings as they weigh the softening of economic data against the possibility of persistent inflation," Manusha Samanthaweera, Fixed Income Investment Director at Capital Group, said. The U.S. Gross Domestic Product growth was higher than expected during the second quarter. However, the report's details painted a picture that showed an economy in decline and plagued with uncertainty due to President Donald Trump’s protectionist policies. The Korean won increased by 0.3% following Trump's announcement that the U.S. would charge a 15 percent tariff on South Korean imports in exchange for South Korea investing $350 billion into U.S. projects, and purchasing $100 billion of U.S. Energy Products. The announcement is part of a series of deals on trade policy that were rushed to be announced before the August 1 deadline in order to avoid the imposition April 2 "Liberation Day' tariffs. Trump's tariff campaign cast a shadow over global markets. Negotiations on trade with India are still underway after Trump announced earlier that the U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on goods imported to the country. Copper futures fell 19% in the meantime after Trump announced that the U.S. would impose a tariff of 50% on copper pipes, wiring and other copper products. However, the details of this levy were not as comprehensive as expected, and did not include copper input materials like ores, concentrates, and cathodes. Brent crude futures, due to expire Thursday, were down by 0.19%, at $73.1 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude, for September, was unchanged at $70.01 per barrel. The Brent October contract, the more active one, eased by 0.14% at $72.37 per barrel. (Reporting and editing by Tom Hogue, Jamie Freed and Ankur Banerjee. Additional reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter.
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Gold returns to 1-month high on renewed trade uncertainty
Gold prices rose on Thursday after a session low of one month, as the trade uncertainty resulting from new U.S. Tariff announcements boosted bullion's appeal. However, expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut in September dwindled. As of 0230 GMT, spot gold was up 0.5% to $3,292.24 an ounce. Bullion fell to its lowest level since the 30th of June at $3,267.79. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.2% to $3287. Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst, said that gold at levels below $3,300 has drawn traders to it as a "value play", especially with the current economic uncertainty which is accompanied by Trump's secondary trade tariff threats. The U.S. president Donald Trump issued a series of announcements regarding tariffs on Wednesday. These ranged from the removal of an exemption for low-value overseas shipments to changes in levies previously announced on copper imports and Brazilian goods. Trump announced that he had reached a deal with South Korea, which included a U.S. 15% tariff on all imports. He also confirmed ongoing negotiations with India following his declaration of a 25% tariff for Indian goods on Friday. He expressed optimism in trade negotiations with China and said he expected a fair agreement to be reached. The U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Chair Jerome Powell’s comments dampened the expectations of rate reductions in September. In an environment of low interest rates, gold, which is often considered to be a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty, performs well. "Support in the $3,250 area is proving to be a critical level that could protect against a more significant move to the downside." Waterer stated that any breach would open the door to a drop as low as $3,200. A poll predicts that the U.S. Core PCE Index data will be released later today. It is expected to increase by 0.3% from month to month and 2.7% on an annual basis. (Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Eileen Soreng) Spot silver fell 0.3% to $37 an ounce. Platinum rose 0.6%, to $1320.98. Palladium gained 2.5%, to $1234.77. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu Sahu in Bengaluru, Eileen Soreng and Anmol Choubey)
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Data on China's factory activity shows that iron ore prices continue to fall.
The price of iron ore futures fell for the second session in a row on Thursday as weaker than expected factory activity data from China, the top consumer, raised concerns about demand. As of 0230 GMT, the most traded September iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 1.44% lower. It was trading at 786.5 Yuan per metric ton. As of 0220 GMT, the benchmark September iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was down 0.75% at $100.95 per ton. An official survey released on Thursday showed that China's manufacturing activity declined for the fourth consecutive month in July. This suggests that a surge of exports in anticipation of increased U.S. duties has begun to fade, while domestic demand remains sluggish. The price of the main steelmaking ingredient fell on Wednesday, after the hopes that Beijing will announce more stimuli measures at its July Politburo Meeting that sets the economic course for next year faded. ANZ analysts wrote in a report that the policy statement from a Chinese leaders' meeting left investors underwhelmed. It included a more aggressive fiscal agenda and moderately lax monetary policies. The readout did not provide details on large-scale stimuli measures, they added. Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, also fell in price, by 6.16% and 2.73 %, respectively. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have fallen. Rebar fell 2.57%, while hot-rolled coils dropped 2.42%. Wire rod also lost 2.47%. Stainless steel declined 0.93%.
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Asian stocks fall on weak China data and plunging copper price
Asian stocks fell on Thursday, after weaker than expected Chinese data and a drop in copper prices. Investors also weighed the impact of a new trade agreement between South Korea & the U.S. Investors weighed the Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates unchanged and megacap tech companies' strong earnings when determining whether or not to buy the dollar. Nasdaq Futures soared 1.2% after Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported earnings that were better than expected. S&P futures rose 0.8% while the U.S. Dollar held steady following a two-month peak. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG Sydney. He said that both companies' earnings reports have "shot the lights out", reporting increased revenue from cloud computing, and AI-enabled ad targetting, respectively. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.7% but is still on course for a fourth consecutive monthly increase in July. Hong Kong and China stocks led the declines following official PMI gauges showing weaker than expected economic activity in July. The markets are now waiting for the Bank of Japan to announce its monthly policy decision in the afternoon. Traders will be looking for any clues that Governor Kazuo ueda might give about the probability of another rate increase this year. The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting panel voted on Wednesday 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged for the fifth meeting in a row. Two Fed governors dissented for the first time since more than 30 years. The comments made by Fed chair Jerome Powell after the decision undermined confidence that borrowing rates would start to drop in September. Citi analysts said that it would take two months for Fed officials to be convinced that tariff effects are only going to lead to modest one-time increases in prices and that the policy rate should move toward neutral. The dollar index stood at 98.812, just below the high of 99.987 that was reached on Wednesday. The index will clock its first gain in 2025, a 3.1% increase for the month. "Although Federal Reserve kept rates at their recent rate setting decision the possibility of rate reductions at upcoming meetings remains alive as they balance the softening economy data with the possible for persistent inflation," Manusha Samanthaweera, Fixed Income Investment Director at Capital Group. The U.S. Gross Domestic Product growth was higher than expected during the second quarter. However, the report's details painted a picture that showed an economy in decline due to the uncertainty caused by Trump's protectionist policy. The Korean won increased by 0.3% following Trump's announcement that the U.S. would charge a 15 percent tariff on South Korean imports in exchange for South Korea investing $350 billion into U.S. projects, and purchasing $100 billion of U.S. Energy Products. This announcement is just the latest in a long line of deals on trade policy that were rushed to be announced before the August 1 deadline, so as to avoid the impositions of "Liberation Day", April 2, tariffs. These deals continue cast a shadow over global markets. The price of copper futures fell 19.4% when Trump announced that the U.S. would impose a tariff of 50% on copper pipes, wiring and other copper products. However, the details of this levy were not as comprehensive as expected, and did not include copper input materials like ores, concentrates, and cathodes. Trump announced on Wednesday that trade negotiations with India were still in progress after previously announcing the U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on products imported from India. The U.S. is also going to suspend its "de minimis exemption" that allowed low value commercial shipments to ship to the United States with no tariffs. Tax breaks are a major part of China's low cost e-commerce platforms, such as Shein or PDD's Temu. Oil prices rose on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day, as investors were worried about supply shortages, amid Trump's call for a quick resolution of the Ukraine war and his threats to impose tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil. Brent crude futures, due to expire Thursday, climbed 0.33% to $73.48 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude for September rose 0.21% to $70.15 a barrel.
Trump trades roiled after fiery debate as financiers weigh opportunity of Harris success
Financiers rushed to move their placing on Wednesday following a closelywatched debate between Republican politician Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, as wagering markets swung in Harris' favor after the event.
Shares of Trump Media & & Innovation Group, the business that owns Reality Social, slumped around 14% on Wednesday, while bitcoin and crypto stocks pulled back. Solar stocks, seen by experts as taking advantage of a Harris win, rallied and health care shares fell.
In a combative argument late Tuesday, Trump and Harris clashed over everything from the economy to migration and Trump's. legal woes, as each looked for a campaign-altering minute in what. has been a closely-fought race.
Their exchanges left investors with couple of new details on. problems that might sway markets, consisting of tariffs, taxes and. policy. But online forecast markets showed bets on a. more powerful possibility of a Harris win in November: Harris' chances in. PredictIt's 2024 governmental general election market enhanced. to 55 cents from 53 cents before the argument, while Trump's chances. slipped to 47 cents from 52 cents.
There is a general view that Harris won the dispute, said. Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in. Singapore. It's undoubtedly not a slam dunk for Harris, however the. chances of a Trump success have actually slipped a bit.
While the presidential race is quite on financiers'. minds, political issues have actually recently coalesced with more. instant market catalysts, consisting of worries over a possibly. softening U.S. economy and unpredictability over how deeply the Fed. will need to cut interest rates. The S&P 500 notched its worst. weekly percentage loss given that March 2023 last week after a. second-straight underwhelming tasks report, though the index is. still up around 13% this year.
Still, some financiers believe even a little shift in. understandings of the candidates could show considerable in a. contest that could come down to 10s of countless votes in a. handful of states. The 2 prospects are efficiently incorporated. the seven battleground states likely to decide the election,. according to polling averages put together by the New york city Times.
The US Presidential debate achieved its objective by offering a. definitive edge to one of the candidates in what has actually been an. exceptionally close race, said Charu Chanana, Head of FX. Technique and Global Market Strategist at Saxo. Crypto and. energy stocks may deal with headwinds as market sentiment adjusts. to the shifting political dynamics.
Trump has actually positioned himself as a pro-cryptocurrency. prospect.
While it was tough to different election-fueled moves from. macroeconomic-driven action in the dollar, rates and stocks. following Wednesday's highly-awaited report on U.S. consumer. rates, financiers indicated a number of corners of the market where. the dispute appeared to have made an impact.
Financiers
hammered the shares
of Trump Media & & Innovation Group, which have been. popular amongst retail traders and conscious the former. president's chances of a win in the 2024 election. The stock. fell by as much as 18% to a brand-new post-IPO low of $15.30. Bitcoin. was down around 3%, while shares of cryptocurrency-focused. companies such as crypto miners Riot Platforms Marathon. Digital likewise fell.
At the exact same time, U.S.-listed shares of solar companies,. viewed as taking advantage of a Harris win, rose with Sunrun,. up 8%, and SolarEdge Technologies, up 9%, among the. biggest gainers in the sector.
Health insurance company stocks consisting of Humana, CVS. Health and UnitedHealth were likewise down on. Wednesday. Some analysts believe Harris' push to lower drug. costs may weigh on the sector.
TAXES AND TARIFFS
Trump has assured lower business taxes and a harder. position on trade and tariffs. He has also said a strong dollar. harms the U.S., though some experts think his policies could. spur inflation and eventually buoy the currency.
Harris last month described strategies to raise the corporate tax. rate to 28% from 21%, a proposal that some on Wall Street. believe might harm corporate earnings.
On Tuesday night, Harris assaulted Trump's intent to. impose high tariffs on foreign goods - a proposal she has. likened to a sales tax on the middle class - while touting her. strategy to use tax advantages to families and small companies.
Trump protected his tariffs proposal and said they would not. result in greater prices for Americans.
The Chinese yuan, which had actually come under pressure in the. U.S.-China trade war throughout Trump's term, edged up against the. dollar on Wednesday.
Trump also criticized Harris for the consistent inflation. during the Biden administration's term. Inflation, he said, has. been a catastrophe for individuals, for the middle class, for every single. class.
Nevertheless, economic policies might be up in the air for a. while longer.
There wasn't much substantive conversation of policy, stated. Sonu Varghese, worldwide macro strategist at Carson Group. Neither. prospect promoted for significantly various financial policies than. currently in location. Ultimately, a lot of economic policies that. we see implemented next year will depend on the makeup of the. Senate and your home.
(source: Reuters)