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Canadian banks' credit quality in focus as Q3 bad loan provisions seen up

Canada's big 6 banks will probably reserved an overall of C$ 4.5 billion in loan loss arrangements in the third quarter, analysts forecasted, up nearly 27% from a year ago, as insolvencies increase and lending institutions prepare for charge card and other delinquencies in a difficult economy.

The banks, which control a huge piece of the country's. banking market share, might feel the impact of raised borrowing. costs, slowing work and possibility of an economic downturn. weighing on consumer and organization sentiment.

Third-quarter results are likely to reflect a challenged. Canadian economy, with banks expected to report slow loan. growth, while credit costs creep higher, BofA Securities. expert Ebrahim Poonawala said.

Overall, the TSX banking index's 8.3% growth so. far this year has actually underperformed the broader TSX index's. 10% gain.

The advantages of Bank of Canada's two rate cuts this year on. deposit expenses and interest cost are unlikely to be totally. shown in the 3rd quarter, however with home mortgage renewals. around the corner, 3 upcoming rate cuts could help reduce. pressure on credit in the second half of the year.

With the Bank of Canada being more aggressive than. expected on rate cuts, we are more worried about the. near-term outlook ... there will need to be much. stronger-than-anticipated revenues to sustain assistance for the. banks, Jefferies analyst John Aiken stated.

US OPERATIONS IN FOCUS

Eyes will be on TD Rely On Thursday, the very first bank. to report third-quarter outcomes as investors wait for details of. the U.S Department of Justice's examination into shortages. in its anti-money laundering program.

TD, which has actually made a big push into the U.S. for many years. through acquisitions, has stated it would grow in the region. organically through constructing new branches after its proposition to. buy First Horizon failed and the probe has led to a time out in its. expansion plan.

Bank of Montreal is likewise expected to show a rise in. loan loss arrangements due to a potential loss on a loan to U.S. solar company SunPower.

The overhang associated to its credit performance, slow. loan development and U.S. direct exposure in general will likely continue. until after the November U.S. election and the Fed begins to. shift towards a rate cutting cycle, National Bank expert. Gabriel Dechaine stated. Perseverance is needed, he noted.

Loan loss arrangements are expected to rise at five of the 6. banks between 28.4% and 45%, while CIBC is anticipated to see a. reversal of its loan loss provision, according to LSEG data.

(source: Reuters)