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The price of coffee in the world has fallen as the market remains volatile

The ICE coffee exchange saw a sharp drop in prices on Friday. Arabica coffee fell 8%, as the market remained volatile.

Prices of cocoa were also sharply down, though both coffee and chocolate were expected to make strong gains this week.

Market participants reported that speculative funds looking for a new home flooded into the coffee and cocoa markets on Monday. They were also tempted by fears about El Nino weather patterns strengthening and leading to more adverse weather conditions in important growing regions.

The ICE then increased its'margin requirements or down payments for coffee and chocolate futures contracts. This lowered the liquidity of the market, and subsequently increased price volatility.

There's a lack of liquidity, and many of these speculators trade intraday. "They are out by the market close," said an agri-commodities analyst from a multinational trade house.

ICE arabica futures fell 8.2% at 1304 GMT to $319.25 a lb after closing up 12.3% Thursday. After a 16% increase on Monday, the contracts were down by?6% Tuesday.

ICE robusta futures dropped 6% to $3,801 per metric tonne, but were on track for a 2% weekly gain.

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center forecasts an 81% probability of a very powerful El Nino in October-December, which would be among the biggest El Nino events ever recorded.

Dealers reported that El Nino's excess rains have slowed in Brazil, the top growing country.

London cocoa contracts fell 9.8%, to PS4,341 per ton, but they were on track to gain 15% in weekly gains, after reaching eight-month highs Thursday. New York cocoa contract prices plummeted by 9.2%, to $5,858 per ton.

El Nino can be particularly problematic for cocoa, as it disrupts the weather patterns in No. Ecuador is the third largest cocoa producer, as well as West Africa where 70% of chocolate ingredients are grown.

The price of cocoa futures almost tripled by 2024, 'after the West African crop failed due to an El Nino weather phenomenon that was'seen from mid-2023 until mid-2024.

A?dealer said that the cocoa market appeared to be unstoppable against a background of poor pod counts and El Nino. The?dealer added that the rally had been "dominated by speculation".

White sugar dropped 1.5%, to $471.30 per ton, after hitting a two-month high on Wednesday of 15.39 cents. (Reporting and editing by May Angel)

(source: Reuters)