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Scientists predict a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season in 2026

Scientists from the U.S. Government said on Thursday that they anticipate a tropical storm season below normal in 2026. This will likely produce one to three hurricanes, with winds sustained at least 111 mph (179 kph).

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its outlook for the coming season. It begins on June 1 and ends November 30.

The forecasters predicted that eight to fourteen named tropical storms will form with winds at least 39mph. Three to six hurricanes, with winds at least 74mph, are likely to follow.

Ken Graham, a director of the U.S. National Weather Service, said: "Don't allow words like below-normal to change your preparation." It only takes one."

Graham urged residents along the 'Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the United States to stockpile non-perishable foods, medicines, and emergency supplies like radios and flashlights.

NOAA's forecast is in line with other agencies

NOAA's outlook is consistent with private and academic forecasts made earlier this year. These forecasts predicted limited storm formation between August and October during the peak tropical season, due to the formation of an El Nino system that sends strong wind across the south of the U.S., which rips apart potential storms.

The National Weather Service predicts that El Nino is likely to form during this year's tropical seasons.

Between 1991 and 2020, the average hurricane season produced three major storms out of seven named storms.

Matthew Rosencrans is the lead hurricane season forecaster for NOAA. "The last forecast we made was in 2015," he said. He predicted that there was a 55% chance of the season producing fewer storms and hurricanes than average.

The names of the first storms in this season are Arthur, Berta Cesar Dolly Edouard Fay. Reporting by Anjana Anil from Bengaluru, and Erwin Seba from Houston. Editing by Nathan Crooks. Franklin Paul. Rod Nickel.

(source: Reuters)