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India and EU are closing in on a trade agreement as US trade negotiations drag on

India expects to close a long-awaited trade agreement with the European Union this month. Trade Secretary Rajesh Agrawal announced on Thursday that it would be New Delhi’s “largest” agreement as it searches for new markets in response to U.S. Tariff pressures.

Both sides see the deal as an opportunity to strengthen economic ties, and reduce their reliance on China or Russia. In 2024, bilateral trade between India an the EU will total 120 billion euros (140 billion dollars), making the EU India's largest trading partner.

Agrawal stated that the two sides are "very close" in finalising the agreement and they were exploring if it could be completed before the leaders meet at New Delhi later this month. He said that talks were ongoing on a U.S. Trade Pact and that a deal will be reached once both sides are ready. Negotiations broke down last year due to a breakdown in communication between both governments.

India's Foreign Ministry announced that Antonio Costa, the president of the European Council and Ursula von der Leyen, President of European Commission, will visit India from January 25-27. They will also co-chair an India-EU Summit on January 27.

According to sources familiar, the European Commission, who is negotiating for the 27 EU members, expressed cautious optimism to EU envoys on Wednesday evening.

They said that the main issue is steel and cars. India wants to reduce import duties that are as high as 100% on EU cars, but the EU wants India's steel exports to be restricted by the EU.

carbon border levy

Safeguards

Imports of steel from the EU as a whole will be reduced.

The deal, if concluded, would open India's huge and heavily protected consumer markets of over 1.4 billion people up to European goods. It could reshape the global trade flow as protectionism increases and a U.S. India pact is still stalled.

Both sides are pushing for a broad deal after von der Leyen, and Indian Prime Minster Narendra Modi, agreed to speed up negotiations to reach a deal by 2025. The talks, which were relaunched by the United States President Donald Trump in 2022 and gained momentum when he imposed tariff increases on trading partners, including India, have gained momentum. Brussels recently signed agreements with Mexico and Indonesia, and intensified talks with India. New Delhi reached agreements with Britain, Oman, and New Zealand. Brussels has welcomed the India agreement, even though it is less ambitious in scope and extent of tariff reductions than other free trade agreements.

Agriculture Off the Table

An official from the Indian Trade Ministry said that certain sensitive agricultural products have been excluded.

Officials have stated that India will not include its dairy or agriculture?sector in any trade agreement, citing the necessity to protect millions subsistence farmers.

The EU wants to see steep tariff reductions on medical devices, cars, wine, spirits, and meat. It also wants stronger rules for intellectual property. India wants duty-free access to labour-intensive goods, and faster recognition of the auto and electronics sectors.

The agreement will also expand trade in services, digital trade and intellectual property, and foster cooperation in green technologies. It is also expected to spur European investment into Indian manufacturing, renewable energies and infrastructure. The challenges of regulatory alignment and protection of sensitive industries remain. In addition, the EU insists on trade partners adhering to international labour and environmental standards. The Paris Climate Change Agreement has yet to be finalized. Reporting by Shivangi Asharya and Manoj Kumar Editing by Aidan Lewis Mark Potter and Ed Osmond

(source: Reuters)