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UN chief raises alarm over AI threat after Trump plays down
U.N. Secretary General Antonio?Guterres warned on Wednesday world leaders?that rapidly evolving artificial intelligence poses risks that?cannot?be ignored. This puts him at odds with Donald Trump, who has argued that existing safeguards are enough. Guterres, speaking ahead of the U.N. General Assembly meeting in New York next week, told reporters that the need for stronger supervision would be the major focus of his discussions with the global leaders who will be visiting the city. Guterres said, "We cannot ignore the concerns raised by those who are at the forefront of AI development." "The first duty of any government is to protect their citizens, including against the threat of artificial intelligence." After Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon announced last week that he was resigning, the public is becoming more concerned about the dangers of AI. "People building AI believe earnestly that it could kill all of us?by the?end?of the decade." Some of the biggest companies in the industry have called for a slowdown of AI's development. Trump claimed on Monday that there are already guardrails to regulate and prosecute AI firms in the U.S., downplaying concerns raised by industry leaders. Guterres is a long-time advocate of global AI governance. In 2023 the U.N. established a 39 member advisory body on AI. Members included tech company executives, officials from government and academics, including those from the U.S. and Japan. Diplomats have said that the U.N. Security Council may also meet on AI next week during the annual gathering in New York of world leaders. In 2023, the 15-member council held its first meeting on artificial intelligence. Guterres stated that the countries at the forefront of AI should "establish mechanisms for contact, information exchange and common guardrails to avoid a race to the bottom which could one day lead to a global 'disaster. Trump said that China would be able to benefit from the "doubt" being cast about AI development. Next week, he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington. It was reported earlier that two countries were planning a separate gathering in mid-September, to discuss AI risks. Guterres stated on Wednesday that "we need to have a shared understanding about how to progress the safe, secure, and responsible development AI" while also identifying situations where increasingly powerful systems might require additional safeguards or measures to mitigate potential risks.
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Poland's Orlen buys 16 extra crude cargoes amid Saudi disruption
Poland's Orlen announced on Wednesday that it had purchased?16,000,000 barrels of additional oil for its Polish,?Lithuanian, and Czech plants. Traders said the company was rushing to secure crude in order to cover disruptions in Saudi supply until November. Saudi Arabia's petroleum industry is struggling to cope with the effects of a series of attacks from Iran-aligned militias, one of which shut down its East-West Pipeline?on 10 September. Saudi Aramco, the state-owned oil company, has been Orlen’s biggest supplier of oil since 2022. It provides around 40%. Orlen announced in a Wednesday statement that it had contracted for 16 additional deliveries of fuel to its refineries located in Poland, Czech Republic, and Lithuania, including those from Norway, Great Britain and Algeria. Saudi Arabia has not said when it will re-open its East-West Pipeline. Market sources say Orlen buys to cover the demand in September and October. Orlen published two new tenders on Wednesday to purchase crude oil. One was for North Sea crude oil and the other was for Brazilian or Guyanese crude oil. Orlen, which was a major oil consuming country a decade ago, has weaned off Russian crude in the last few years. It signed a contract with Equinor of Norway last month to supply?25% its needs in Sverdrup crude. Orlen said that the remaining part of the demand was covered by a contract signed in August with Equinor, Norway. He added that the company monitors the raw materials market and has a diverse supplier portfolio.
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UN chief raises alarm over AI threat after Trump plays down
U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres warned leaders of the world on Wednesday that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence poses serious risks that can't be ignored. This puts him at odds against President Donald Trump, who argues that "existing safeguards" are adequate. Guterres, speaking?ahead? of the U.N. General?Assembly meeting in New York next week, told reporters that the need for stronger supervision would be the major focus of his discussions with global leaders who are coming to the city. Guterres said: "We cannot ignore the concerns raised by those who are on the frontlines of AI development, in particular." "It is the responsibility of every government to protect their citizens, including against the threat of artificial intelligence." After Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon announced last week that he was resigning, the public's concern about AI dangers is increasing. Some of the largest companies in the industry have called for a slowdown in the development of AI. Trump claimed on Monday that there are already guardrails to regulate and prosecute AI firms in the U.S., downplaying concerns raised by industry leaders. Guterres is a long-time advocate of global AI governance. In 2023 the U.N. established a 39 member advisory body on AI. Members included tech company executives, government officials and academics, from countries like the U.S. Diplomats have said that the U.N. Security Council could also meet on AI next week during the annual gathering of world leaders, which will take place in New York. The 15-member council met on artificial intelligence for the first time in 2023. Trump said that China would gain from doubts being cast on AI development. Next week, he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping?in Washington. It was reported earlier that lower-level government officials from both countries would be leading a meeting between the two countries in mid-September, to discuss AI risks. Guterres stated on Wednesday that "we need to have a common understanding of how to develop AI in a safe, secure, and responsible manner, while also identifying the times when more powerful systems might require additional safeguards or measures to mitigate potential risks."
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EGA: EU Aluminium Scrap U-turn Could Affect German Expansion
Emirates Global Aluminium's chief financial officer said that it was "very disappointed" at the EU's decision to abandon a proposed export tax on aluminum scrap. The move will affect the decision-making process for a planned expansion of recycling in Germany. Sources familiar with the talks said that the EU retracted its proposal earlier this month for a 15% duty on exports of aluminium scrap, which was intended to prevent so much material from leaving the EU. They were concerned it would complicate the signing of a final free trade agreement with India. The industry lobby European Aluminium has expressed "profound disappointment, anger and shock" over the decision. Pal Kildemo, EGA's finance chief, said on Wednesday at the Fastmarkets?Aluminium Conference? in Budapest: "I think many people were disappointed by what happened the previous?day. This includes ourselves." "We invested a lot of money... to participate in the higher recycling rates in Europe." When this becomes part of larger trade politics, that's bad for our industry. EGA announced last week that it had completed its purchase of 80% of Eco?Green which collects and sorts more than 70,000 tonnes of recycled aluminum per year in Italy. It bought German'recycler Leichtmetall in 2024 and announced last December a six-fold expansion of the capacity at the 'unit. This included 110,000 tons of scrap sorting and melting capacity per year, as well as 150,000 tonnes of casting and melting capacity per year. Kildemo said that EGA still has to "make a build decision" for this expansion. The less uncertain you are, the easier it will be to make a decision. Kildemo explained that it would influence the decision-making process. "I cannot say whether the project will proceed or not without this duty, but it is a negative." Kildemo added: "It is not the end of discussion."
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Copper prices rise with active Chinese demand
Prices of copper rose on Wednesday as a result of signs of demand from 'China, the world's largest consumer, although traders were wary of possible volatility in advance of the Federal Reserve of America's decision to raise interest rates. In open-outcry official trading, the price of a metric tonne of three-month 'copper' on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1.1% to $14,231 per metric ton. Metal used for power and construction is down by 4% after hitting a record-high of $14,875 in the past week. The premium of COMEX futures prices against the?London price fell dramatically. The Yangshan copper premium On?Wednesday, the?measure of Chinese demand for 'imported copper' rose by 7%, to $118 a ton. This was its highest level in nearly four years. David Wilson, BNP Paribas' head of metals strategies, said that Chinese buyers were taking advantage of a recent drop in copper prices to replenish their stocks, which helped boost import premiums. The U.S. Copper Comex stock market has seen a slowdown in the last few days after it was reported that the White House still had not decided on refined tariffs for copper as officials continue to assess fears that higher prices may increase manufacturing costs. LME copper has become less tight, and spreads have moved into contango Although this appeared to be driven by sentiment rather than a significant increase in inventory, as the uncertainty surrounding U.S. Tariffs persists. Zinc prices rose 0.3% to $3,835 in official activity. This was supported by tight inventories outside China which keeps the premium of the LME Cash contract over the 3-month contract. at $124 per ?ton. Aluminum increased by 1.1%, to $3288. This is due to concerns about the impact of the Iran War on Gulf producers' supplies. Aluminium Bahrain produces aluminium at "around 80%" of pre-Iran War levels, according to its CEO. Nickel rose 1.7% to $16,240 after hitting $15,820 earlier in the session, its lowest level since December 30. Lead increased by 0.8% to $1.888, and tin rose 1.3% to $52,650.
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Retail sales in the US rose sharply in August
Retail sales in the U.S. rebounded much more than expected during August, as households stocked up on motor vehicles and restocked for the new school term. This reinforced the economy's resilience at a time when consumers are becoming more concerned about high inflation. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Wednesday that retail sales rose 1.2% in August after a 0.5% decline in July. This was the first drop in nine months. The economists polled predicted that retail sales (which are mainly?goods, and are not adjusted to inflation) would rebound by 0.8% following a previously reported drop of?0.6% in July. Estimates varied from a 0.2% increase to as high as 1.1%. The increase in receipts at service stations was partly due to higher gasoline prices. The U.S. war against Iran and the high oil prices have caused supply chain stress, which has led to households continuing to spend. The consumer has become more selective, and is looking for lower priced goods. This month, consumer sentiment declined. Recent stock market gains and steady wage growth are supporting spending. Savings is also down and households are tapping into their nest egg. The strong retail sales combined with rising price pressures, and a labor market that has regained its equilibrium after stumbling through most of the summer, have further strengthened?financial markets' expectations that Federal Reserve will increase interest rates on Wednesday. Retail sales, excluding automobiles and gasoline, building materials, and food services, surged by 1.4% in August after a 0.4% drop that was not revised. The economists expected that core retail sales, the ones which most closely correspond to consumer spending in terms of GDP, would rise by 0.4%. Estimates of economic growth for the third-quarter currently exceed 2.0% annualized. Last quarter, the economy grew by 1.5%.
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Sources: Drone attacks have put Russian refineries in Syzran and Saratov on hold.
Three industry sources confirmed that the Rosneft owned oil refineries in the Volga River?cities of Syzran & Saratov have ceased?processing? following Ukrainian drone attacks earlier this month. The plant in Syzran was shut down on Tuesday. Saratov's operations were suspended last Friday. This week, despite the announcement made by U.S. president Donald Trump that both countries had agreed to cease their attacks on energy infrastructures of each other, Russia and Ukraine have continued to attack each other. The shutdown of refineries in Russia will probably worsen the domestic fuel shortages, which were already a problem due to restrictions on gasoline, diesel and jet fuel exports. Rosneft has not responded to our request for comment. SYZRAN'S MAIN UNIT DAMAGED Sources claim that a drone attack damaged several facilities at the Syzran refinery, including the CDU-6 main crude distillation unit, which has a daily capacity of 17,100?metric tons, or 71% of its processing capacity. The refinery's repairs could take a minimum of a month. When the strike on September 15 occurred, the refinery's CDU-5, which has a daily capacity of 7,100 tonnes, or 29%, was being repaired following an earlier drone attack in July. SARATOV ATTACKED AGAIN Saratov's refinery has stopped processing crude oil since September 11, following another drone strike. Sources said that the plant had also suspended operations on September 8, due to fires and equipment damage caused by a previous drone strike. The plant was planning to resume processing between September 10 and 11th. Saratov's refinery was also closed for several weeks following a drone attack on August 2. The?Syzran refining plant, located in Russia’s Samara region has a capacity to process crude oil of 150,000 barrels a day or 8.5 million tonnes per year. Saratov refinery's capacity is 140,000 barrels per day or 7.0 million tons of metric tonnage. Separate industry sources claim that the Syzran Refinery will process 4.3 million tonnes of crude oil in 2024, and produce?0.8 millions tons of gasoline and 1.5 million?tons diesel, and 0.7million tons?of fuel?oil. According to industry sources, Saratov refinery will process 5.8 million tonnes of crude oil in 2024 and produce 1.2 million metric tons of gasoline, as well as 1.9 million metric tons of diesel fuel, and 1.0 metric tons of fuel.
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Google signs largest carbon-removal agreement yet and aims to scale up new model
Google's biggest carbon-removal agreement yet involves backing a Brazilian project run by developer Terradot. The project aims to?cut methane emission from rice farming?and.capture carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Executives told. It is the largest rock-weathering project in history, covering more than 200,000 acres of land in the southern state Rio Grande do Sul. The goal is to speed up a natural process by which certain rocks absorb CO2 out of the air. Google's head for carbon removal Randy Spock said that the initiative is the first of its kind to combine methane removal and carbon removal. Methane is a "super-pollutant" greenhouse gas, which warms the air?more rapidly than carbon dioxide. It helps slow down global warming. However, carbon dioxide removal will still be needed to remove centuries' worth of accumulated emissions. "We need to do both." Spock stated that we do not have the luxury to focus all our resources solely on scaling up long-term 'carbon removal' or on tackling short-lived superpollutants. The project will generate one million metric tonnes of credits for methane abatement by 2030, and one million tons of credits for carbon removal by 2040. These credits are generated and verified separately. The carbon-removal component of the deal is 10x larger than previous rock weathering projects. According to an assessment of 2021 by the U.N., rice paddies are responsible for 10 to 12 percent of global methane emission. Environment Programme. The COP31 climate talks to be held in Turkey later this summer will focus on accelerating action against methane. Lower Costs The pressure is on the big tech companies to invest in clean energy and carbon removal to combat emissions from AI-driven data centres. Google has invested in Terradot after taking a stake in the company in 2024. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said that removal was needed to achieve the global climate goals. However, critics argue it could allow companies to pollute now. The companies stated that the model could be replicated and 'expanded' across Brazil’s 1.5 million hectares of rice fields, as well as in other rice-growing areas such India and Vietnam. Terradot will launch multiple pilots in different countries by 2026. Commercial scale-up is scheduled for?2028. Google and Terradot didn't disclose the price for the credits. However, a publicly revealed?2024 agreement for 90,000 tonnes of carbon removal by Terradot implied that the price was around $300 per ton. This is a lot higher than the $100 threshold many developers target to stimulate broader demand. James Kanoff, CEO of the company, said that while it is not yet $100 per ton at this time, "it represents a significant step towards that". Terradot stated that verification can add up to $100 per ton in enhanced rock weathering costs. This allows carbon removal to continue for longer, before third-party verifying would reduce this cost.
What Trump 2.0 could indicate for trade, migrants, climate change and electric automobiles
Donald Trump's second presidential term might have big implications for U.S. trade policy, climate change, the war in Ukraine, electrical automobiles, Americans' taxes and prohibited immigration.
Trump on Monday vowed to enforce tariffs on the United States' leading 3 trading partners including a 25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada and an extra 10% tariff on goods from China.
While a few of his campaign propositions would require congressional approval, here is a summary of the policies he has said he will pursue when he takes office on Jan. 20:
MORE TARIFFS
In his very first significant tariff pledge given that the election, Trump vowed an extra 10% tariff on Chinese items, and said he would provide executive orders on his first day in workplace to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% tariff on all imports from the two U.S. next-door neighbors. Critics state tariffs could cause greater prices for American consumers and international economic instability.
New tariffs would appear to violate the regards to the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade, which Trump signed into law throughout his first term in workplace and took effect in 2020.
He has likewise stated he needs to have the authority to set greater tariffs on countries that have actually put tariffs on U.S. imports. He has threatened to impose a 200% tariff on some imported cars and trucks, saying he is identified in specific to keep cars and trucks from Mexico from entering the country.
However he has actually also recommended that allies such as the European Union could see higher responsibilities on their goods. Trump has targeted China in particular. He proposes phasing out Chinese imports of products such as electronic devices, steel and pharmaceuticals over four years. He seeks to forbid Chinese companies from owning U.S. real estate and facilities in the energy and tech sectors.
Trump has stated tariff is his preferred word and views them as income generators that would help fill government coffers.
MASS DEPORTATIONS
Trump has actually pledged to reinstate his first-term policies targeting prohibited border crossings and to advance with sweeping new constraints.
He has vowed to restrict access to asylum at the U.S.-Mexico border and to embark on the most significant deportation effort in American history, which would likely trigger legal obstacles and opposition from Democrats in Congress.
He has said he will use the National Guard, and, if required, federal soldiers, to accomplish his objective, and he has not ruled out establishing internment camps to process people for deportation.
Trump has stated he would look for to end automatic citizenship for kids born to immigrants, a relocation that would run versus the long-running interpretation of the U.S. Constitution's 14th Amendment.
He has likewise recommended he would withdraw protected legal status for some populations such as Haitians or Venezuelans.
Trump says he will reinstitute the so-called travel ban that restricts entry into the United States of individuals from a. list of mostly Muslim-dominant countries, which stimulated. several legal battles throughout his very first term. A few of Trump's earliest appointments showed an urgency to. follow through on his migration agenda. Trump has named a. border czar, Tom Homan, and will make Stephen Miller, the. architect of his immigration plans, a White Home deputy chief. of staff.
DRILLING AWAY
Trump has actually pledged to increase U.S. production of nonrenewable fuel sources. by alleviating the allowing procedure for drilling on federal land. and would motivate brand-new natural gas pipelines. He has actually stated he. would reauthorize oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife. Refuge in Alaska. Trump has pledged to create a National Energy Council to. coordinate policies to enhance U.S. energy production that will be. led by his choice for interior secretary, North Dakota Governor. Doug Burgum.
Whether the oil market follows through and raises. production at a time when oil and gas rates are reasonably low. remains to be seen.
Trump has actually stated he will again pull the United States out of. the Paris Climate Accords, a framework for minimizing worldwide. greenhouse gas emissions, and would support increased nuclear. energy production. He would likewise roll back Democratic President Joe Biden's. electric-vehicle mandates and other policies targeted at minimizing. auto emissions.
He has actually argued that the U.S. requires to be able to boost energy. production to be competitive in establishing synthetic. intelligence systems, which take in large amounts of power.
TAX RELIEF. Along with his trade and energy agendas, Trump has actually assured to. slash federal guidelines that he states limitation job development. He. has actually pledged to keep in place a broad 2017 tax cut that he signed. while in workplace, and his economic team has actually gone over a further. round of specific and corporate tax cuts beyond those enacted. in his very first term.
Trump has actually promised to reduce the business tax rate to 15%. from 21% for companies that make their products in the U.S.
. He has actually said he would seek legislation to end the tax of. tips and overtime incomes to help waiters and other service. employees. He has vowed not to tax or cut Social Security. advantages.
Trump has also said that as president he would pressure the. Federal Reserve to lower rates of interest - however would stop short. of demanding it.
Most, if not all, of his tax proposals would need. congressional action. Budget analysts have actually alerted that the bevy. of tax cuts would swell the federal financial obligation.
GETTING RID OF DIVERSITY PROGRAMS
Trump has vowed to need U.S. colleges and universities. to defend American custom and Western civilization and to. purge them of diversity programs. He said he would direct the. Justice Department to pursue civil rights cases against schools. that take part in racial discrimination.
At K-12 schools, Trump would support programs permitting. parents to use public funds for private or spiritual. instruction.
Trump also wishes to eliminate the federal Department of. Education, and leave states in control of schooling.
NO FEDERAL ABORTION BAN
Trump selected three justices to the U.S. Supreme Court who. became part of the majority that got rid of Roe v. Wade's. constitutional defense for abortion. He likely would continue. to select federal judges who would uphold abortion limitations.
At the exact same time, he has said a federal abortion ban is. unneeded and that the problem ought to be fixed at the state. level. He has actually argued that a six-week restriction favored by some. Republicans is overly harsh and that any legislation should. include exceptions for rape, incest and the health of the. mom.
Trump has actually suggested he would not seek to restrict access to the. abortion drug mifepristone after the U.S. Supreme Court rejected. a challenge to the federal government's approach to controling it.
He supports policies that advance in vitro. fertilization (IVF), birth control and prenatal care.
A PUSH TO END WARS. Trump has been vital of U.S. support for Ukraine in its war. with Russia, and has stated he might end the war in 24 hours if. elected - although he has not said how he would achieve this.
He has actually recommended Ukraine might need to yield a few of its. area if a peace offer is to be struck, a concept Ukraine has. regularly declined. Trump's choice for his nationwide security consultant, U.S. Agent Michael Waltz, was important of the Biden. administration's decision in November to enable Ukraine to utilize. U.S.-provided rockets to strike within Russian territory.
Trump has likewise stated that under his presidency the U.S. would. fundamentally reassess NATO's function and NATO's mission.
Trump named U.S. Senator Marco Rubio, a China hawk, as his. secretary of state, charged with carrying out his foreign policy. goals. Trump has actually backed Israel in its fight versus Hamas in Gaza but. has prompted it to wrap up its offensive. He can be anticipated to. continue the Biden administration's policy of equipping Israel. At. the exact same time, Trump is likely to promote historic. normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, an. effort he made during his 2017-2021 presidency and which Biden. has likewise pursued.
Trump has actually stated if he becomes president, he will stop the. suffering and destruction in Lebanon, however has actually not stated how he. will attain that.
He has recommended building an iron dome - a huge. missile-defense guard comparable to Israel's - over the whole. continental United States.
Trump has likewise floated sending armed forces into Mexico to. fight drug cartels and using the U.S. Navy to form a blockade. of that nation to stop the smuggling of fentanyl and its. precursors. His shift group has been drawing up lists of potential. high-ranking U.S. military officers to fire as part of a purge. of the Pentagon of those thought to be disloyal to Trump.
EXAMINING OPPONENTS, AIDING ALLIES. Trump has vowed at times to use federal law enforcement. companies to examine his political foes, consisting of election. authorities, attorneys and party donors.
Trump tapped previous Florida Chief law officer Pam Bondi as. his U.S. attorney general. Bondi has said those who brought. criminal charges against Trump should have trials of their own,. telling Fox News in 2023 that the district attorneys will be. prosecuted, the bad ones.
Along that line, Trump has stated he will consider appointing. a special prosecutor to probe Biden, though he has actually not defined. the grounds for such an investigation.
And he has actually said he would think about firing a U.S. attorney who. did not follow his instructions - which would constitute a break. with the longstanding U.S. policy of an independent federal law. enforcement device.
Trump has actually stated he will consider pardoning all of those who. have actually been convicted of crimes in connection with the Jan. 6,. 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.
In addition to criminal examinations, he has recommended. utilizing the federal government's regulative powers to penalize those he. deem critics, such as tv networks.
PURGING THE FEDERAL BUREAUCRACY
Trump would look for to decimate what he terms the deep state. -- profession federal workers he says are clandestinely pursuing. their own programs-- through an executive order that would. reclassify thousands of workers to enable them to be fired. That. would likely be challenged in court. He has actually said he will establish an independent federal government effectiveness. panel headed by billionaire supporter Elon Musk and previous. governmental prospect Vivek Ramaswamy to root out waste in the. federal government. The federal government already has watchdogs such as. the Office of Management and Budget, and private investigators basic. at federal firms.
Trump would punish federal whistleblowers, who are. usually shielded by law, and would institute an independent. body to keep an eye on U.S. intelligence companies.
(source: Reuters)