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Stocks flat as traders digest Fed comments, oil falls

The gauge of world stock markets remained unchanged to begin the third quarter on Wednesday, as the U.S. Central Bank head stated that inflation expectations had?fallen?"but policy will not be loose. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell due to optimism about U.S. - Iran talks. The traders also kept an eye out for any possible Japanese intervention on the currency markets after the yen hit new lows of 40 years against the dollar. Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, said that inflation expectations and risks have decreased in recent weeks. Kevin Warsh said that he would stick to the U.S. Central Bank's 2% target for inflation and "disappoint anyone" who expects loose monetary policies.

His comments have weighed heavily on the dollar. This is because rising expectations for Fed rate increases this year are a major factor in the rise of the dollar. Inflation has risen well above the central bank's annual 2% target. Many analysts still believe that the inflation situation will improve in coming months.

Steve Englander, Standard Chartered Bank New York's head of global G10 research and North America Macro strategy, said that there was no evidence that the imbalance between inflation and activity is increasing.

Englander said that you can wait to see how the longer-term trends in technology play out. The Fed is in control of the unit labor costs. The yen's last day performance against the dollar was flat. Interest rate futures indicate that the Fed will not make any changes at its meeting later this month. However, a hike is expected in September. The trades are also looking at Thursday's economic report, which is expected to show that U.S. employers created 110,000 new jobs in June. According to the median estimate by economists polled, the unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.3%. ADP's National Employment Report showed on Wednesday that private employment increased by 98,000 last month. This was below the forecasts of economists who expected 118,000 new jobs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 50.38 points or 0.10% to 52,368.89. The S&P 500 gained 3.37 points or 0.04% to 7,502.61, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 69.65 or 0.27% to 26,143.71. MSCI's index of global stocks fell 0.68 points or 0.06% to 1,119.78. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.38% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 fell by?11.45 or 0.45%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.70 points or 0.04% to 1,723.59.

Japan's Nikkei index gained 0.6%, after it surged 37% in the last quarter. Strong tech demand lifted sentiment among major manufacturers to an 8-year high. South Korea's main stock index dropped about 2% after a rally of 68% last quarter, driven by AI-driven chip demand.

Oil prices dropped on energy markets as optimism about U.S. Iran talks eased supply concerns. Price Futures Group senior analyst Phil Flynn said that there is more optimism now that more oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. The market signals that we will probably be producing more oil in the world than ever before once we have overcome this issue. U.S. crude dropped 1.83%, to $68.23 per barrel. Brent was down 2.21% to $71.34 a barrel. Both crude oil and Brent are up nearly 20% on the year despite sharp price drops last quarter.

Spot gold increased 1.4% on Tuesday after its biggest quarterly decline since 2013.

(source: Reuters)