Latest News

Wall Street, European shares and oil prices are under pressure as Hormuz and inflation is in focus

Wall Street, European shares and oil prices are under pressure as Hormuz and inflation is in focus
Wall Street, European shares and oil prices are under pressure as Hormuz and inflation is in focus

European shares and major Wall Street indices fell on Monday as markets focused on the outlook of Federal Reserve interest rate?and a possible deal between the U.S.?and Iran for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

After Iran demanded that the United States meet several conditions before the Strait could be reopened, oil prices?jumped?.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall 0.12% to 53.974.62 while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.17% at 26,645.08. S&P 500, however, defied the trend and rose 0.02% to 7,759.27.

The U.S. stock market hit a new record on Friday, after traders cut their bets about Fed rate increases due to a less-than-expected job report.

The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.16% and Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 dropped by 0.14% on Monday.

The MSCI global stock index clung on to gains with a gain of 0.05%.

Iran announced on Sunday that it was nearing the 'final stages' of a deal to allow Oman transit through the Strait of Hormuz. However, the Iranian government reiterated that this waterway will only be reopened once the United States meets other conditions. These include compensation, the end of sanctions and military threats.

Brent crude futures rose?3.06%, to $86.11 a barrel. U.S. crude increased 3.26%, to $80.73. The global benchmark prices are still well below the peak reached in late April, when oil prices topped $126 per barrel.

This week, the key event is Wednesday's U.S. inflation reading for July. It will influence Fed officials thinking about rates. Investors will also watch euro zone employment figures and U.S. consumer price figures to get clues about the interest rate outlook.

The economists surveyed by are expecting the consumer price index data to show a 3.4% increase year-on-year on Wednesday. This is compared to a 3.5% rise the previous month.

Mohit Kumar is a senior European analyst at Jefferies. He said that the key to this year's Fed hikes will be this week's report on inflation.

Kumar said that if oil prices were to remain stable and fall from their current levels, the Fed would not need to raise rates.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed up 0.61% at 1,628.74.

Emerging Market Stocks rose by 0.66%, to 1,668.75.

EARNINGS HELP POWER STOCK

In recent weeks, stock markets have soared to record levels around the globe. This was largely due to strong corporate earnings.

Analysts from BofA stated that after Alphabet's and Amazon's investment gains were excluded, earnings per share had increased by 30% over the previous year. The 76% rate of EPS beating was the highest since 2021.

JPMorgan strategists revised their estimate of 2026 earnings per share to $365. This represents a 35% annual increase. They also raised their S&P500 price target from 7,800 to 8,000. It is currently 7,758.

This week's earnings are lower, but include semiconductor maker Applied Materials and networking equipment maker Cisco, as well as cloud infrastructure technology provider CoreWeave.

BONDS and CURRENCIES

The yield on the benchmark?U.S. The yield on benchmark?U.S. 10-year notes increased 3.03 basis points, to 4.688%.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen and the euro) rose by 0.15%, to 99.79. Meanwhile, the euro fell by 0.11%, to $1.1545.

Investors were wary about any possible intervention, but the Japanese yen fell 0.75% at 158.97?per dollar.

A summary of the opinions expressed at their July meeting by Bank of Japan policymakers showed that they were concerned about rising inflation, which could lead to a quicker-than-expected rate of interest rate hikes. This strengthened the case for an increase in September. Reporting by Chris Prentice, Harry Robertson, and Wayne Cole, in New York; Editing by Sharon Singleton and Jan Harvey, and Andrew Heavens

(source: Reuters)