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Gold gains continue as US-Iran hopes for peace ease inflation concerns

Gold rose for the third session in a row on Thursday. This was aided by a growing?optimism about a?peace?agreement between the United States. The emergence of a peace?agreement between the?U.S. and Iran has helped to ease concerns about inflation, as well as the possibility of higher interest rates for extending time.

As of 11.50 am EDT (1550 GMT), spot gold had risen 1%, to $4,733.59 an ounce. This was after the metal reached a peak for two weeks earlier in session.

U.S. Gold Futures increased 1.1% to $4.744.00.

Bob Haberkorn is a senior market strategist with RJO Futures. He said that if the ceasefire held, he could see gold reaching $5,000/oz.

The market is focusing on the Middle East situation and the direction that the U.S. Federal Reserve will be taking.

Sources and officials have said that the United States and Iran were moving toward a temporary truce to end?their conflict.? Tehran is reviewing a plan which would stop the war but leave unresolved the most controversial issues.

The oil prices continued to fall on the hope that an agreement could lead to a gradual opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Inflation is often a result of rising energy costs. In this scenario, policymakers might be less likely to reduce interest rates in order to contain the price pressures. Gold, despite its role as a hedge against inflation, becomes less appealing in a high-rate environment since it has no yield.

In a recent note, TD Securities stated that there is a path for gold to rise above $5,200/oz once the oil-driven 'inflation' and conflict pressures subside.

It added that "a later pivot towards the Fed's mandate of maximum employment, lower yields, and a softening U.S. Dollar,?plus renewed central-bank and investor demand,?could reignite the bull trend."

The markets await the U.S. monthly employment report this Friday to determine how the Fed plans to move forward with its monetary policy in 2019.

Data showed that China's central bank piled up gold in April for the 18th consecutive month.

Silver spot rose 4.5%, to $80.82, its highest level since April 17.

Palladium dropped 1.5%, to $1,514,08, while platinum fell 0.6%, at $2,047.79. Ashitha Shivprasad, Bengaluru (reporting) and Barbara Lewis (editing).

(source: Reuters)