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Gold drops to a two-month low due to inflation driven by war fueling rate hike bets

Gold prices dropped to a 'nearly two-month low' on Wednesday. This was due to expectations that monetary policy would be tightened to combat rising inflation. The war in Iran is still far from over. As of 9 am EDT (1300 GMT), spot gold was down by 1.6% to $4,433.85 an ounce. It had fallen earlier in the day to its lowest price since March 30. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 1.6% to $4431.60. The Middle East continues to have the biggest influence. Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals and vice president, said that there was some optimism but that it is fading as the conflict continues. He added that inflation fears are increasing due to this ongoing conflict. Since the U.S. - Israel war against Iran began in late February, the price of gold has been on the rise. Brent crude oil has increased by 31% since the Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed, which is a crucial passage for one fifth of the world's oil. This has caused inflation to rise and central banks around world to raise interest rates.

Iran's State TV reported that the country had obtained an unofficial draft of a preliminary framework for a Memorandum of Understanding with the U.S. Under the agreement, Tehran would restore the commercial shipping through Strait of Hormuz back to its pre-war level within one month, while the U.S. will withdraw military forces from the area and lift the naval blockade. After this report, gold prices briefly recovered some of their losses. The'market' still expects energy-driven price inflation to cause the U.S. Federal Reserve, by the end this year, to raise its benchmark "overnight" interest rate by 25 basis points. Gold is not yielding, despite being a hedge against inflation. Neel Kashkari, the Minneapolis Fed's?President, said that while it is "far too early" to say when the central bank will change its policy rate, it must be focused on containing inflationary risks. Investors are focusing on U.S. data due later this week, such as the U.S. Investors are looking at the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for April to get clues about the direction of monetary policy.

Silver spot fell by 3.2%, to $74.46 an ounce. Platinum dropped 2.1%, to $1,916.60. Palladium rose 0.6%, to $1,387.54. (Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; Editing by Paul Simao)

(source: Reuters)