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FinMin: Italian state finances are able to absorb shocks due to the Middle East Crisis

FinMin: Italian state finances are able to absorb shocks due to the Middle East Crisis
FinMin: Italian state finances are able to absorb shocks due to the Middle East Crisis

Italian state finances are able to absorb the negative impact of the Middle East crisis, said Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti on Saturday as the government prepared to update its budget targets and growth estimations for 2026 and subsequent years.

Giorgetti stated that he still hoped for a downward adjustment of the deficit last year to 3% from 3.1% of national production by the national statistics office ISTAT. This would allow Italy to 'exit' early this year EU's excessive-deficit procedure.

Giorgetti, speaking at a financial conference in Cernobbio (northern Italy), said: "We face this crisis from a position of relative strength, because our numbers are not exceptional but they are definitely positive."

A source familiar with the matter stated that Prime Minister Giorgia meloni's Government expects Italy's Economy to Grow by 0.5%, 0.6% or even 0.7% this year and 0.7% by 2027 if policy remains unchanged.

The two forecasts are both slightly below the 0.7% and 0.8% GDP growth targets that the government set in September.

GOVERNMENT SEES SLOWER Growth Ahead

These figures are still subject to change before they are published on April 10. They do not include any potential stimuli measures that the government might adopt to help households and businesses cope with rising energy prices.

Giorgetti stated that despite the bleak economic outlook, the state finances were in a good position to absorb any shock from the Iran War.

Italy did not achieve its goal of bringing the deficit under the 3% key ceiling for the European Union as originally planned, but ISTAT stated that if additional information becomes available, ISTAT could revise these figures by April 21.

In September, the Treasury set a goal of 2.8% for this year's ratio of deficit to GDP.

Giorgetti called for an EU-wide coordinated approach to adopt measures to deal with the current crisis and stated that Italy is not experiencing any shortages of energy at this time.

The government has set aside 417.4 millions euros ($480.34) to cut excise duty on fuels until April 7. However, prices have not changed much and industry lobbyists are calling for more effective measures.

Giorgetti stated that "we will listen to the different groups to identify the most urgent issues".

(source: Reuters)