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Maguire: New five-year plan to cut subsidies will focus on China's EV exports.

China's car industry has been a major disruptor of the global automaker industry for the last decade. Its electric vehicle producers have replaced combustion engine cars at home, and have also flooded the global market with record exports.

The country may have to reverse its electric vehicle exports and output following a major policy shift that will reduce EV subsidies in the upcoming five-year plans.

China's top industrial policymakers have omitted electric cars from the list of strategic industries in their 2026-2030 Development Agenda, China's main industrial strategy blueprint.

Industry analysts interpret the omission as Beijing's willingness to let the market shape the EV industry after years of state-sponsored support.

The subsidy reductions are expected to lead to a much-needed downsizing and rationalisation of the overcrowded sector that includes more than 150 different car manufacturers.

The global auto market is expected to be affected by these changes. Many markets have been overloaded with cheap Chinese exports, which were shipped overseas when domestic markets were saturated.

In the future, rival automakers may see growth opportunities in foreign markets that were previously clogged.

The following is a list of the top destinations in the world for Chinese EVs sales over the past few years. This will give you an idea of where other automakers can find growth as Chinese companies start to retreat.

MASSIVE REACH

According to data from the energy think tank Ember (which includes Ember's own research), China exported EVs to more than 200 countries in 2025, bringing in a total of nearly $48 billion.

Belgium was the top destination overall from January to September of this year, with sales worth approximately $5 billion.

Brazil, Australia, and United Arab Emirates were also among the top 10 Chinese EV destinations in 2018. They purchased another $6.5 Billion of Chinese electric vehicles between them. This shows the broad range of markets that Chinese vendors have tapped.

Europe is the largest market for Chinese EVs. Since the beginning of 2018, the continent has accounted for half of the total Chinese EVs exported. Europe has already imported about $20 billion worth of Chinese electric vehicles in 2025.

Since 2018, exports to other Asian countries accounted for approximately 20% of the total and $12.5 billion in 2018.

Latin America and Middle East are next biggest markets with sales of approximately $6 billion and $4 billion respectively in 2025.

RAPID GROWTH

EV exporters have expanded their sales to other regions, so that now every major auto market in the world has at least a sample of Chinese EV offerings.

Africa has seen the biggest year-over-year increase in the imports of Chinese electric vehicles in 2025. The continent recorded a 184% jump in Chinese EV purchases from January to September in comparison to the same period in 2024.

Ember data show that Africa has imported about $1 billion worth of Chinese electric vehicles so far this calendar year. This is a small amount compared to Europe, which imports around $20 billion. However, it is more than twice the amount Africa will receive in 2024.

Middle East saw the second largest increase in Chinese EV imports in 2025. The jump was 71% from the same period in 2024, to $4.5 billion.

Oceania, primarily Australia and New Zealand, has seen a 45% increase in sales this year. Asia (+43%) Europe (+10%), and Latin America (+17%) have also experienced steep increases in Chinese EV imports year-over year.

In fact, North America is the only region that has seen a decline in Chinese EV exports. This has occurred primarily due to the ongoing U.S./China trade dispute.

SURGE SALES

EVs are a significant part of the export revenue that Chinese companies have received.

Fourteen countries have already spent more than a billion dollars on Chinese EV imports in 2025. Another 12 have spent between $500 and $999 millions.

The most impressive part is that 31 nations, from Ecuador to Armenia, Tajikistan and Myanmar to Myanmar have spent between $100 and $499 millions on Chinese EV imports this year.

In the future, a large number of rapidly growing markets could be a lucrative hunting ground for other automakers. This is especially true if China's EV production drops sharply once the consolidation of the sector begins.

These are the opinions of a columnist who writes for.

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(source: Reuters)