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US stocks rise, European shares soar with Russia-Ukraine discussions in mind

US stocks rise, European shares soar with Russia-Ukraine discussions in mind

Wall Street stocks rose on Monday, following their European counterparts' gains after mixed economic figures and ahead of the talks between U.S. president Donald Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin to end the Ukraine War.

The weekend's U.S. strike against Yemen's Houthi group threatened to escalate tensions within the oil-rich Middle East. This drove crude prices higher due to supply concerns.

The three major U.S. indexes are in positive territory. However, the Nasdaq is still struggling to gain ground due to the weakness of the "magnificent seven" grouping of AI-related stocks.

Trump said that he will speak with Putin Tuesday about a possible Russia-Ukraine truce-fire proposal which could ease some geopolitical uncertainties.

Oliver Pursche is senior vice president of Wealthspire Advisors in New York. He said: "There's been a big selloff so I expect some sort of rebound. "And the prospect that Russia and Ukraine could develop a ceasefire which could lead to a more lasting peace is positive for markets not only in the US, but globally."

The lower-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data can be attributed to cheaper gasoline. A solid rebound in Online Receipts, and a positive surprise in the core measure show underlying consumer strength.

Pursche said that "we had (retail sales for February) relatively lower than expected, which would tend indicate less inflationary forces that could potentially offset the impact of tariffs."

The U.S. Federal Reserve, along with other central banks, are expected to meet for policy meetings in the coming week. However they are likely to remain on the sidelines while the full ramifications and impact of Trump's tariff war are assessed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 475.61, or 1.15 percent, to 41.964.18, while the S&P 500 gained 57.39, or 1.00 percent, to 5,696.10, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed by 147.94, or 0.82 percent, to 17,900.33.

The rally in European shares continued as Germany's plans to reform its debt helped boost confidence that Europe’s largest economy would increase spending and jump-start growth.

Investors are also focused on the outcome Ukraine-Russia ceasefire talks which could translate into lower energy prices for Europe.

European stocks have outperformed global peers so far in this year.

The pan-European STOXX 600 Index rose by 0.79% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 index increased by 18.02 points or 0.83%.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 9.40 points or 1.12% to 845.54.

Emerging market stocks gained 12.97 points or 1.16% to 1,132.58. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose by 1.26% to 589.02 while Japan's Nikkei gained 343.42 points or 0.93% to 37,396.58.

The U.S. Treasury curve flattened due to mixed retail sales figures, but shorter-dated yields increased on fears that the U.S. Economy will slow down if the Fed keeps its restrictive policy rate unchanged.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 0.6 basis points from late Friday to 4,314%. The 30-year bond rate fell by 1 basis point to 4.6045%, from 4.615% on Friday.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve), rose by 4.4 basis points, to 4,059% from 4.015%, late Friday.

The dollar was near its lowest level in five months as uncertainty arising from Trump’s trade policies caused the greenback to weaken, while other currencies, such as the euro, were boosted by domestic factors.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen, the euro and others) fell by 0.35%, falling to 103.37. At $1.0923, the euro rose 0.4%.

The dollar gained 0.31% against the Japanese yen to 149.06.

The Mexican peso (MXN=>) strengthened by 0.04% against the dollar to 19.935.

The Canadian dollar rose 0.6% against the greenback, to C$1.43 a dollar.

The supply side was supported by the U.S.'s vow to continue attacking the Iran-aligned Houthis of Yemen. Meanwhile, encouraging economic data out of China supported the demand.

Brent crude settled at $71.07 a barrel, an increase of 0.69%. U.S. crude was up 0.60% at $67.58 a barrel.

Investors focused on the Federal Reserve's rate announcement this week, which is expected to be announced next week.

Spot gold increased by 0.49%, to $2.998.75 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose by 0.23% to $3.001.50 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)