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Saudi Arabia reports a 1.3% GDP growth in 2024. Non-oil sector is a major contributor.

Saudi Arabia's economy is expected to grow in 2024. The real gross domestic products increased by 1.3% over the prior year, according to preliminary data released Thursday. Non-oil activities boosted GDP.

Estimates from the General Authority for Statistics show that GDP growth soared by 4.4% compared to the same period one year ago. This is the highest quarterly rate of growth in two years. Non-oil activities increased 4.6%.

Oil activities decreased by 4.5%, while government activities increased 2.6%.

Saudi Arabia's economy shrank by 0.8% in 2023, as lower oil prices and oil production cuts hit the growth of the world's largest crude exporter.

Saudi Arabia, which is a leading member of OPEC+, has continued to suffer from the impact of the extended cuts in oil production.

The International Monetary Fund has reduced its GDP growth forecast for Saudi Arabia for 2025 to 3.3%. This is mainly because of extended cuts in oil production. It also lowered its forecast for 2030.

The growth rate for 2024 was estimated at 1,4%, higher than the Saudi government's estimate of 0,8%.

"We should be cautious when using GDP to measure growth because we need to consider other indicators," said Finance Minister Mohammed al Jadaan at the World Economic Forum earlier this month in Davos.

The total GDP doesn't matter. We are focusing on the non-oil GPD, which has grown very well over the past few years. This growth is likely to continue in the medium-term.

As part of its efforts to transition away from hydrocarbon revenue, the kingdom is on a tight schedule to complete massive infrastructure projects.

The government has projected a fiscal surplus of $27 billion by 2025. It also expects to have a deficit that is equivalent to approximately 3% of the GDP in the coming years, as it increases spending and invests in domestic projects. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing, Raju Gopalakrishnan).

(source: Reuters)