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Russian rouble slips to its weakest against the dollar given that October 2023

The Russian rouble damaged further on Wednesday, striking its lowest against the U.S. dollar because October 2023, as sanctions threats and volatile oil exceeded increased forex sales by the state.

At 1045 GMT the rouble was down 0.5% at 97.20 against the dollar, hitting the 97 mark for the first time because October last year, LSEG information revealed.

The rouble was down 0.12% versus the yuan at a 1 year low of 13.51, according to LSEG data. In trade on the Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX), the rouble was flat at 13.65 versus the yuan.

On the occasion that the dollar rises to 100 roubles, the government may again increase the compulsory sale of export profits, as it did a year earlier, said Finam expert Alexander Potavin.

Analysts pointed to numerous aspects behind current rouble weakness, including Oct. 12 expiration of a licence from the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control ( OFAC), enabling commercial banks to handle MOEX.

The licence was issued to permit banks to unwind operations with MOEX after Western sanctions on the exchange and its cleaning agent, the National Cleaning Centre, were presented on June 12.

The sanctions stopped all sell dollars and euros at MOEX, making China's yuan the most traded foreign currency in Russia. Trade in dollars and euros has actually moved to the over the counter (OTC) market, obscuring cost data.

There is issue in the market that Chinese banks supplying yuan liquidity for exchange trading may take out for compliance factors after the OFAC licence ends.

Other factors pushing the rouble down included weaker oil costs over the August-September duration, exporters withholding forex due to international deals issues as well as development in cross-border settlements in roubles, experts and traders said.

Increased foreign exchange sales by the state in October are supporting the Russian currency.

One-day rouble-dollar futures, which trade on the Moscow exchange and are a guide for OTC market rates, were down 0.35%. at 96.50. The central bank's main currency exchange rate, which it. calculates utilizing OTC data, was set at 96.10 to the dollar.

The rouble was flat at 106.17 versus the euro,. LSEG information showed.

Brent petroleum, a global standard for Russia's. main export, edged up 0.8% to $77.79 a barrel after plunging. more than 4% in the previous session on a possible ceasefire in. Middle East conflict between Hezbollah and Israel.

(source: Reuters)