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Stocks choppy, oil rises as doubts persist about US-Iran peace deal

The trading on Wall Street was choppy Thursday, after stocks had reached the levels seen just before the selloff prompted by U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran. Meanwhile, rising oil prices were a reflection of the continued uncertainty about the prospects for a peace deal.

Source: A Pakistani mediator has made progress on "sticky" issues in the conflict. Iran, however, warned that the fate of the nuclear program was not resolved.

Israel is waging an parallel campaign in Lebanon against the militant group Hezbollah, which is backed by Iran. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Truth Social that Israeli and Lebanese officials had agreed to a 10-day truce at 5 pm EST (2200 GMT).

The Dow?Jones industrial average rose 0.11% in New York to 48,518.06, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.24% to 7,039.70 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.29% from a previous retreat to 24,084.48. U.S. stocks had reached new records on Wednesday. European stocks are recovering more slowly. The pan-European STOXX 600 dropped 0.03% on Friday.

The market's recent moves are more driven by sentiment than fundamentals. "We are still waiting on earnings reports and the economic data doesn't really justify the high level of enthusiasm," said Melissa Brown.

Earnings season has picked up pace. U.S. beverage giant PepsiCo gained 2% following a quarterly profit forecast that was exceeded. After reporting results, Charles Schwab and Travelers insurers as well as Abbott Laboratories in the healthcare sector all dropped.

OIL MARKETS ARE SCEPTICAL Oil markets rose after falling earlier on the hope of a solution to the Middle East conflict. The trading was volatile Wednesday after a source from Tehran said that Iran might consider allowing safe transit through a part of the Strait of Hormuz in its negotiations with the United States.

Brent crude rose 3.31% to $98.04 a barrel. U.S. crude gained 2.29% on the day.

John Evans, an oil market analyst at PVM, said: "We are sceptical about any immediate resolution to this conflict." There is always an opposite to any headline. After data showed that initial claims for unemployment benefits in the states were lower than expected last week, the U.S. Dollar rose. The index that measures the dollar against a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies, rose 0.23%, to 98.23. The index had fallen for eight consecutive sessions up until Wednesday, losing most of its gains as the war made it a safer haven.

Chinese stocks rose over 1% in China after forecast-beating data showed that exports had helped the giant economy grow by 5% in its first quarter. The yuan also reached a new three-year-high of 6.8152 to the dollar on the overseas markets.

Investors weighed the possibility that a easing of tensions between the U.S.A. and Iran could lead to a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This would boost precious metals prices.

Spot gold rose by 0.26%, to $4.802.59 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.08%, to $4.803.70 per ounce. The Iran war has led to higher energy prices, which have dampened expectations for interest rate reductions. This in turn has weighed on gold prices, as it does not produce interest income.

(source: Reuters)