Latest News

Oil pushes up, stocks fall and Treasury yields rise

?Global stocks fell on Wednesday and Treasury yields surged after data showed that U.S. Inflation picked up as predicted, while oil 'prices' resumed their rise as the U.S. - Israel war?on Irandragged out. The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.3% in the month of February. This was in line with expectations and higher than the 0.2% rise in January. CPI increased 2.4% over the past year, while core rates, which exclude food and energy, rose 2.5%. Both are in line with expectations. Wall Street's major stock indexes ended flat or lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped about 0.6% while the S&P500 and Nasdaq Composite were barely changed.

The consumer price index did not reflect the sharp rise in gasoline prices and other items that has occurred since the Middle East 'war' broke out 12 days ago. The markets already indicate that traders are increasingly confident about the likelihood of central banks raising interest rates in the near future.

"February's numbers of inflation were going in the right directions, but the Middle East conflict has changed the course." We will see inflation instead of deflation as a result of energy. As the fertiliser market is chaotic, food prices could be showing signs of inflation.

On Wednesday, oil prices rose nearly 5% due to fears of a supply disruption. Analysts said that the proposal by the International Energy Agency for a record-breaking release of reserves was not enough to calm these concerns. Brent futures?rose $4.18 or 4.8% to settle at $91.98 a 'barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate CLc1 finished the session $3.80 or 4.6% higher at $87.25 a 'barrel. The MSCI All-World Index fell 0.2%, and European shares dropped. This left the STOXX 600 index down 0.6%. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan closed 1 percent higher. Investors are on edge, as the Middle East conflict could freeze global energy trading and spark a price spike. This is a threat that world leaders have been scrambling to address. Since the start of the conflict, ships have been hesitant to enter the Strait of Hormuz because of threats against vessels. Iran's military said that oil could reach $200 per barrel. Three other vessels were also hit by projectiles. Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central 'Bank said that on Tuesday they would do all they could to control inflation and avoid a repetition of?the energy price shock in 2022. The?euro dropped around 0.34%, to $1.157. Meanwhile, the pound remained unchanged at $1.341. The dollar rose 0.6% to 158.9, as the yen fell further.

BOND YIELD SURGE ADDS ADDITIONALLY TO THE OVERHEATING CONCERNS U.S. Treasuries dropped?again Wednesday, pushing up the yield on 10-year benchmark note by 9 basis points to 4,226%.

Concerns about other market segments, including private credit and massive investments in AI, are heightened by the recent surge in bond yields. Investors also were'reminded' of the vulnerabilities in private credit by a source 'close to JPMorgan Chase who said that the bank was tightening lending and had lowered the value of certain loans held by private credit groups. Blue Owl Capital, Ares Management and other publicly traded asset managers lost ground Wednesday due to the jitters felt in the financial sector. (Reporting from Lawrence Delevingne, Boston; and Amanda Cooper, London. Rae Wee contributed additional reporting from Singapore. Pooja Deai, Bernadette, Baum, Maclean, Nick Zieminski, and Aurora Ellis edited the story.

(source: Reuters)