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Wall Street falls after US data is weak, but oil prices are recovering.

Wall Street falls after US data is weak, but oil prices are recovering.

Wall Street fell on Friday, but global stocks were still set to gain weekly gains as positive earnings helped sustain the rally that was sparked by an agreement between the U.S. and China.

Oil prices are still low and continue to support stocks and bonds.

A University of Michigan study showed that U.S. consumers' sentiment continued to deteriorate in May, as inflation expectations for the next year increased. Households remained worried about the impact of President Donald Trump’s aggressive and often erratic trading policy.

The yields on U.S. Treasuries dropped after data showed that housing starts were lower than expected.

Wall Street's major indexes fell on Friday but are still on course for a strong weekly gain. MSCI's global stock index retreated by 0.09%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.03%. The S&P 500 fell 0.07%. And the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.27%.

Investors cheered the tariff truce that was reached between the United States of America and China, which greatly reduced the risk of global recession.

Nabil Milali is a Multi-Asset & Overlay strategist at Edmond de Rothschild. He also pointed out that news of the European Union's and U.S.'s agreement to intensify their talks on a potential trade agreement and a better-than-expected results season.

"The fact we are getting more positive surprises for European stocks is very good."

The STOXX 600 pan-European index gained 0.13%, marking its fifth consecutive week of gains.

U.S. import price

Unexpectedly rose

In April, a rise in capital goods costs offset the cheaper energy products.

"We are at the beginning of a transition in trade." In April, it was unclear what the impact would be. However, we do know that uncertainty has pushed residential builders out of balance, said Jeffrey Roach Chief Economist at LPL Financial, Charlotte, North Carolina.

The main MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks ex-Japan has risen more than 3% in the past week. Meanwhile, S&P 500 has gained 4.5%.

The oil price has been choppy all week. It rose on the U.S. China deal before dropping 2% on Friday due to increased supply pressure caused by an OPEC+ production increase and the prospect for an Iranian nuclear agreement.

Brent futures rose slightly on Friday and are expected to finish the week higher.

The low oil prices, by recent standards, are supporting expectations of a slowing inflation. Also, the U.S. data on Thursday, which showed no dramatic impact of U.S. Tariffs, helped both stocks and bonds.

Market bets on the Federal Reserve's easing this year have increased to 57 basis point from 49 bps.

Kenneth Broux is head of corporate FX and rates research at Societe Generale.

This put a halt to the Fed's hawkish re-pricing.

The 10-year Treasury benchmark yield dropped 2.2 basis points, continuing the drop of Thursday. The yields on government bonds in the Eurozone were also lower.

Walmart, the largest retailer in the world, has announced that it will have to raise prices this month because of the high tariff costs.

Milali, Edmond de Rothschild’s Milali, said that the relief was only temporary as the tariff shock remains "very significant."

The dollar has edged up against a basket currency.

Gold spot fell by 2.12%, to $3,171.20 per ounce. This erased the previous session's gains.

(source: Reuters)