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Oil prices fall on US-Iran progress, global shares rise in turbulent trade

Oil prices fall on US-Iran progress, global shares rise in turbulent trade

Oil fell over 2% Thursday, as a possible U.S. Iran nuclear deal increased the possibility of an increase in global crude supply. Wall Street indexes traded mixedly during choppy trading.

European shares ended higher after reversing losses. Corporate earnings were in the spotlight and gold prices rose over 1%.

Data on Thursday showed that U.S. producer price fell unexpectedly and retail sales were mixed.

Emerging market stocks declined, but global equities increased by 0.3%.

In his opening remarks to a two-day event, Jerome Powell, the chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, said that they felt it necessary to reconsider their current monetary policy in terms of both inflation and jobs.

The prospects of a breakthrough in peace were shattered when Russian President Vladimir Putin turned down a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

Brent futures fell over 2% after U.S. president Donald Trump said that he was close to reaching a deal with Iran and that Tehran "sort of" accepted the terms.

Ali Shamkhani is an advisor to Iran's Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He said in an interview with NBC that Iran would pledge to never make nuclear weapons, and to get rid of their stockpiles containing highly-enriched uranium.

BNP Paribas' economist Paul Hollingsworth noted that the oil price drop exacerbated deflationary forces already at play in Europe, where U.S. trade concerns are still lingering.

Hollingsworth stated that "everyone finds it difficult to navigate through the volatility of the announcements."

The STOXX 600 index in Europe rose by 0.6% to recover from the earlier losses led by the energy industry. The majority of major regional indexes rose.

The number of unemployed people in April was stable.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise 271.69 points or 0.65% to 42,322.75, S&P 500 gain 24.35 points or 0.41% to 5,916.93, and Nasdaq Composite fall 34.49 points or 0.18% to 19,112.3.

Walmart reported solid sales in the first quarter, but was the latest retailer to warn of the high cost of Trump's tariffs. It also did not give a profit forecast for the second quarter due to uncertainty.

Powell, the Fed's Powell, said that "we may be entering a phase of more frequent and possibly more persistent supply shocks".

Britain's economy grew by a quicker-than-expected 0.2% in March, data showed. The industrial production of the 20-nation Eurozone also grew much more than expected, although first-quarter GDP growth was disappointing.

The yield on benchmark German Bunds of 10 years fell by 1.2 basis points, to 2.614%.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 9.1 basis points, to 4.437% as investors worry about Trump's presidency.

Budget package

The U.S. government's debt would increase by trillions of dollars.

DATA DELUGE

The investors were greeted by a plethora good news this week. From a truce in the U.S.-China Trade War to a raft headline-grabbing deals from the Middle East, during Trump's Gulf Tour.

By Thursday, most of the optimism was gone. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell 0.15%.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. He said, "We had a big party and everyone was hungover. Now we are just recovering and waiting for the following big party."

The dollar struggled to maintain its gains from the beginning of the week. Its index was down by 0.2% against major currencies.

The euro is gaining ground.

The Korean won was particularly volatile for the second consecutive day after the news broke that South Korea's deputy minister of finance, Choi Jiyoung, met Robert Kaproth on May 5 to discuss the dollar/won exchange rate.

Gold futures in the United States settled at $3,226.6, up 1.2%.

(source: Reuters)