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US stocks rise as oil prices decline monthly

The European share market ended Friday flat, but it still recorded a 10th consecutive weekly gain. Wall Street indexes rose in choppy gains after U.S. data on inflation that were in line with expectations. This reinforced the bets that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates two times this year.

Oil prices dropped 1% and are on course for their first monthly drop since November, as markets prepare for Washington's new duties and Iraq's decision resuming oil exports to the Kurdistan Region.

A White House official confirmed that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will leave the White House on Friday morning after a heated Oval Office discussion with President Donald Trump.

U.S. Treasury Yields dropped to new multi-month highs after a closely monitored report by the Federal Reserve revealed that annual inflation had subsided and consumer expenditures slowed in December.

The MSCI index of world stocks dropped by 2.93 points or 0.34%.

The crypto prices fell as the Trump-fueled boom fizzled.

Bureau of Economic Analysis of the Commerce Department reported that the 12-month change of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ticked down from 2.6% to 2.5% in December.

The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the core PCE, which excludes volatile goods such as food and fuel, dropped to 2.6%, from a revised upwards 2.9%. The central bank targets a 2% inflation rate.

Both measures were in line with expectations of economists.

The threat of rising tariffs has helped boost the dollar but also raised concerns about the economic impact of widespread duties in the U.S.

Recent U.S. economic data have been weak, and traders have responded by pricing in further policy easing.

According to LSEG, the markets priced in 61 basis point of additional rate cuts for this year on Friday. However, the first rate reduction is not fully price in until July.

The inflation figures are still high, even though they were within expectations. However, on a year to year basis, there was a slight improvement from the previous reading. But the report shows that inflation is still sticky, said Peter Cardillo.

The pause will continue. The Fed could be in a bind because recent macro figures are showing signs of an economy that is cooling.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise 64.20 points or 0.15% to 43,304.35. The S&P 500 also rose 8.12 points or 0.14% to 5,869.69, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 18.12 points or 0.11% to 18,564.87.

The STOXX 600 pan-European index closed flat.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback against its six main peers) rose by 0.14% to 107.51.

Emerging Market stocks dropped 28.01 points or 2.49% to 1,096.02.

The prospect of increased U.S. Tariffs sent markets into a frenzy and rekindled concerns about escalating trade wars.

Trump announced on Thursday that 25% of the duties on imports coming from Canada and Mexico would be in effect from March 4, not April 2, as he suggested earlier. He also said that goods from China would be subject to a 10% additional duty. He also proposed 25% tariffs for shipments coming from the European Union this week.

Bitcoin gained 0.35%, reaching $84,588.18. It had previously fallen below $80,000.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 6.2 basis points to 4.225 percent.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve fell by 8.3 basis points, to 3.997%.

Spot gold dropped 1.05%, to $2.845.88 per ounce.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 2.45% to 576.86 while the Nikkei, Japan's stock market, dropped 1,100.67 or 2.88% points to 37,155.50.

(source: Reuters)