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Asian stocks rise with Wall St. on tariff roadmap

Asian stocks followed Wall Street's gains on Friday. The dollar fell as investors reacted to the fact that President Donald Trump did not immediately implement his reciprocal tariffs, and also because U.S. inflation data eased investor concerns.

Trump's plan to impose reciprocal duties on all countries taxing U.S. imported goods has stoked fears of a trade war and pushed gold prices up to a new record high this week. Gold prices were set to rise for the seventh consecutive week.

Trump's directive on Thursday did not include new tariffs. Instead, it sparked an investigation that could last weeks or even months into levies placed on U.S. products by other trading partners. Then, a response was developed.

The analysts at Barclays said that the delay does not necessarily reflect a reduced likelihood of the tariffs being imposed.

It is difficult to say with certainty, given the recent volatility in the global financial markets over the news of the proposed tariffs of 25% on Canada and Mexico.

Trump launched a trade conflict last week, imposing tariffs first on Mexico and Canada, then pausing the duties, and sticking to those on Chinese goods.

The Hang Seng Tech Index, a measure of Chinese technology stocks, reached its highest level in the last three years Thursday, thanks to the success of a Chinese start-up, DeepSeek.

Hong Kong's benchmark stock index rose by 1.6% on Friday. This brings its weekly gains up to about 5%. It is the fifth consecutive week that it has gained and its strongest performance weekly in four months.

The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.54% and is now hovering around the two-month-high it reached on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei dropped 0.55%, but is still on track to make gains for the entire week.

Watch for Inflation

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for Final Demand rose by 0.4% in January after a gain of 0.5%, which was upwardly reviewed. This exceeded the 0.3% increase predicted by economists.

The Fed's preferred inflation target measure is personal consumption expenditures, which includes the PPI. But the PPI components that make up the PCE were weak and raised hopes for a lower reading than expected.

The consumer price index (CPI) for Wednesday showed the largest increase in almost 1-1/2 years.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes was unchanged at 4.535% during Asian hours, after falling 10 basis points Thursday. This marked its largest daily decline in a whole month.

In addition to the PPI data the initial U.S. jobless claims dropped 7,000, to a seasonally-adjusted 213,000. This is slightly lower than the 215,000 and indicates that the job market remains stable.

Traders have pushed the expectations of a Fed rate cut back further this year. They fully priced in a 25 basis-point cut in October. The Fed is expected to ease its stance by 33 basis points this year.

Christopher Dillon is a fixed income specialist at T. Rowe Price. He says that while the Fed will likely be on hold in the coming months, the European Central Bank may aggressively reduce its policy rate.

Many emerging market policymakers have to consider volatile currencies when setting monetary policies... He said that many emerging market policymakers are moving at a faster pace than the Fed.

The Philippine central banks kept their key interest rates unchanged on Thursday. According to the governor, the bank was hedging itself against global uncertainty.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) was unchanged at 107.07, after falling 0.8% on Friday, its largest one-day percentage decline since January 20.

Early Asian trade saw the euro near its highest level in over two weeks, at $1.0459. This was due to optimism surrounding potential peace talks between Ukraine & Russia.

(source: Reuters)